Author Topic: Today's Outlook  (Read 843246 times)

Moonraker

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1095
  • Karma: +31/-0
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #150 on: May 24, 2013, 02:29:23 pm »
Monday 27th May

US > Memorial Day Holiday
UK > Spring Bank Holiday

Trade there could be tempered and cautious going into the long weekend. Let's hope for a pleasant surprise on the US durable
goods figure, i.e. above the expected 1,5%, to be released shortly.

Just out: April durable goods orders rise 3.3 percent versus 5.9 percent fall in March (Should lend some positive impetus).  :)
« Last Edit: May 24, 2013, 02:35:55 pm by Moonraker »

Nivek

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 295
  • Karma: +6/-1
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #151 on: May 27, 2013, 09:27:46 am »
Nikkei's taking a beating again, down 3%+ so far.

Moneypenny

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1891
  • Karma: +37/-0
    • View Profile
    • Bu Valiere
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #152 on: May 27, 2013, 11:14:45 am »
Nikkei's taking a beating again, down 3%+ so far.

QE in action :-\

Moneypenny

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1891
  • Karma: +37/-0
    • View Profile
    • Bu Valiere
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #153 on: May 28, 2013, 08:21:47 am »
Sweet additions Patrick, thank you.  :TU:

Today SA GDP @ 11:30, US Consumer confidence @ 16:00, futures positive atm, Asia positive, IGM +162, Gold @ 1389

Interesting read from Zero Hedge received over the weekend, at last somebody feeling the way I do :

Spain has already gone bankrupt. It is not spoken of in this fashion, no one mentions it in public but that is the truth of it. The money, some $172 billion, was funneled to the banks and not to the sovereign in one more European ruse to distract everyone but the results are the same. Now it is becoming apparent that even this amount of money was not enough so more will have to be given. The money will go to the Spanish banks, the debt will be guaranteed by Spain, the contingent liability will not be counted as part of Spain's debt to GDP ratio but we will know the truth of it. Whatever direct money from Spain that goes into their banks will be called an "investment" and put on the left side of their balance sheet as an asset and the mockery will continue but I can still read a ledger; thank you very much

Patrick

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2551
  • Karma: +47/-2
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #154 on: May 28, 2013, 11:01:09 am »
Interesting read from Zero Hedge received over the weekend, at last somebody feeling the way I do :

Spain has already gone bankrupt. It is not spoken of in this fashion, no one mentions it in public but that is the truth of it. The money, some $172 billion, was funneled to the banks and not to the sovereign in one more European ruse to distract everyone but the results are the same. Now it is becoming apparent that even this amount of money was not enough so more will have to be given. The money will go to the Spanish banks, the debt will be guaranteed by Spain, the contingent liability will not be counted as part of Spain's debt to GDP ratio but we will know the truth of it. Whatever direct money from Spain that goes into their banks will be called an "investment" and put on the left side of their balance sheet as an asset and the mockery will continue but I can still read a ledger; thank you very much

That warranted a new smiley:  :wtf:

It sounds absurd, what would you think the long term implications are?

Moneypenny

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1891
  • Karma: +37/-0
    • View Profile
    • Bu Valiere
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #155 on: May 28, 2013, 02:22:44 pm »
Absolutely nothing, I think we'll only see a movie in about 5-10 years time 'bout how close the world economy came to the abyss, until then smoke and mirrors after every new emerging crisis.  Time has to pass, those in power (politicians, central bankers) first have to leave office and those replacing them will show this time as an example of what not to do. They will admit it only once were are in a growth curve again, obviously as to avoid world wide panic which is understandable.  I would prefer changing policies and taking the bad medicine but nobody wins elections that way, so we'll skip along, singing our happy song.

and on that note:

SA GDP Prev 2.10%, Exp 1.60% Act 0.90% we are up 400+ points on Top40, before this number we were down 140 odd points. :LHST:
« Last Edit: May 28, 2013, 02:36:04 pm by Moneypenny »

Moonraker

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1095
  • Karma: +31/-0
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #156 on: May 28, 2013, 04:29:43 pm »
US (28/05/13)

The latest consumer confidence reading for May came in at 76.2, while economists polled by Briefing.com expected the survey to come in at 72.5. This follows the prior month's reading of 68.1.


Moneypenny

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1891
  • Karma: +37/-0
    • View Profile
    • Bu Valiere
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #157 on: May 29, 2013, 07:41:46 am »
Rand sliding at more than 1.5 percent to a fresh 4-year low after the release of weaker-than-expected first quarter GDP growth numbers.  The rand hit 9.7582 per dollar, its weakest level since March 2009, compared with Monday's close at 9.5914.

Rand/£ 14.75,
R/$ 9.82 and Euro 12.62
Gold 1386 & Plat 1460

Asia was mostly green, now last 24 minutes of trading with only Nikkei and Shanghai still holding on, IGM T40 @ -141.

German unemployment rate @ 9:55 with 6.9% as expected, but number of people unemployed previous month was 6K, Expected 5K Actual 21K

German CPI @ 14:00

« Last Edit: May 29, 2013, 10:06:48 am by Moneypenny »

Nivek

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 295
  • Karma: +6/-1
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #158 on: May 29, 2013, 02:29:55 pm »
German CPI prev 1.2% forecast 1.3% actual 1.5%.

Where is this rand going to settle  ???

Moneypenny

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1891
  • Karma: +37/-0
    • View Profile
    • Bu Valiere
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #159 on: May 30, 2013, 07:40:46 am »
Rand $ 9.79
£ 14.82
Euro 12.69

VIX up 2.42% @ 14.83,  IGM +26, Gold up @ 1396

Asia red with Nikkei @ -5%

11:30 SA PPI Prev 0.90%, Exp 0.50% Act 0.40%
14:30 US GDP Exp 2.5% Act 2.4%
14:30 US US Initial jobless claims Exp 340K Act 354

and remember CML, PPC, RBX, SPP divvies 2morrow.

Edit:  Confirmed, Japan stocks entered correction with >10% (12% to be exact) drop from peak recently, gold moving @ 1403
« Last Edit: May 30, 2013, 02:47:58 pm by Moneypenny »

Moonraker

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1095
  • Karma: +31/-0
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #160 on: May 30, 2013, 04:34:07 pm »
Pending home sales for April rose 0.3%, which was worse than the 1.5% increase forecast by the Briefing.com consensus. Today's reading follows last month's rise of 1.5%.

Bad news is good news.

Nivek

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 295
  • Karma: +6/-1
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #161 on: May 31, 2013, 09:52:28 am »
How was the rand after hearing from number 1 yesterday, we need a showerhead smiley!

India GDP prev 4.5% prev revised 4.7% actual 4.8%.

Sunday Bernake speaks again.


Moonraker

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1095
  • Karma: +31/-0
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #162 on: May 31, 2013, 03:29:15 pm »
Trade data for April, released on Friday afternoon by the South African Revenue Service, showed a deficit of R15.02bn as exports increased only 3%, while imports recorded an increase of 12.1%. This brings the cumulative deficit for the year to R57.01bn already, compared to only R36.62bn at April last year.

The deficit for the month was worse than the expected R9.9bn and March's deficit of R7.8bn, said Annabel Bishop of Investec Group Economics. "The rand jumped from R10.16 to the US dollar to R10.22 for a US dollar on the publication of the worse than expected trade figures," she said.

Moonraker

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1095
  • Karma: +31/-0
    • View Profile
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #163 on: May 31, 2013, 04:14:41 pm »
May Chicago PMI: 58.7 actual, 49.3 Briefing.com consensus, 49.0 prior

May UoM Consumer Sentiment Survey: 84.5 actual, 83.7 Briefing.com consensus, 83.7 prior



Moneypenny

  • Global Moderator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1891
  • Karma: +37/-0
    • View Profile
    • Bu Valiere
Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #164 on: June 03, 2013, 07:39:41 am »
A day of Manufacturing PMI:

09:13 Spanish
09:43 Italian
09:48 French
09:53 German
09:58 European
10:28 GB
11:00 SA
14:00 US

New Zealand, China, Hong Kong green although in Japan Nikkei 225 @ -3.28% & Topix -3.45%, when you're big in Japan all-right, ;) and before I derail myself, Aus 200 & 300 both -0.50% more or less atm.

IGM @ -275, better started off  AM @ neg 325, US futures all green at 0.26%, 0.17% and 0.15%