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Author Topic: Today's Outlook  (Read 494783 times)

Patrick

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #780 on: September 30, 2014, 07:40:25 pm »
Welcome back, I felt very disconnected from the markets for the last few days!
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #781 on: October 01, 2014, 08:38:49 am »
Thanks  :)

Dow ended -0.17%, Nas -0.29%, S&P -0.29%, futures red.

First case of E confirmed in the US, forecast worldwide 1.4 mil cases by January 2015.  Biotech stocks taking off as result.

F&G @ 12 ‘EF’, T40 -89 pips 8:15 @ 44 078

Gold spot 1206.47

Yesterday FTSE -0.36%, DAX & CAC up +0.54% & +1.33%

In Asia Pacific midday today:

Hang Seng & Shanghai closed for holiday.

Nikkei +0.2%
Sydney +0.3%
Kospi -0.7%
Sensex + 0.1%
Taipei +0.1%

JSE Alsi yesterday ended -0.07% @49 336, T40 -0.11% @44 160.

Major moves up Eastplats +13.31%, Nuworld +7.86%, Sibanye +4.75.

Major moves down Ellies -6.35%, DRDGold -4.71%, Reunert -3.43%.

New lows for Northam 3654, Richemont 9208, and intra-day lows for Grindrod 2230, ARM 13966, Lonmin 3241.

Traded most to negative this week RCH, NPN, WHL, to positive TKG.

Village Main Reef FY revenue R1.5 B.

Jubilee secured funding for upgrades.

Eco Calendar:

Hong Kong & China National Day

09:55 German Manufacturing PMI
10:30 GB Manufacturing PMI
14:15 US Non-farm
14:44 SA Vehicle Sales
16:00 US ISM Manufacturing PMI

Yesterday’s SA trade balance, previous -6.82B (revised from -6.88B), expected -8.00B, came in at -16.30B.  Somebody got it wrong.

T40 now 8:32am @ -113 pips.

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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #782 on: October 01, 2014, 09:09:36 am »
"Yesterday’s SA trade balance, previous -6.82B (revised from -6.88B), expected -8.00B, came in at -16.30B.  Somebody got it wrong"

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jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #783 on: October 03, 2014, 09:05:34 am »
Phew, F&G 'Extreme Fear' @ 3, VIX  @ 16.16.

Europe ended yesterday with FTSE -1.70%, DAX -1.98%, CAC -2.80%, MIB -3.92%, IBXEX -3.12%. (Draghi effect)

European futures up.

Dow ended -0.02%, Nas +0.18%, S&P +0.01%, futures up.

T40 +159 pips @ 43 158 (8:49am), Spot Gold 1210.83.

Bounce most probable today.

Asia Pacific at midday today:

Nikkei Average -0.1%
Hang Seng -0.8%
Shanghai closed
ASX 200 +0.3%
Kospi closed
Sensex closed
Taiex  +1.5%

Eco Calendar:

09:30 SA PMI prev 51.1
11:30 GB Services PMI 59.1 exp
15:30 US Non-farm
15:30 US Unemployment rate, prev & exp 6.1%
17:00 US ISM Non-manufacturing PMI

Alsi ended -1.40% @ 48 189, T40 -1.66% @ 42 956.

New highs for Capitec 25144.

New lows for:

/big breath in/  >:(

Astrapak, Dawn, ARM, Grindrod, Assore, Metair, Implats, Harmony, Lonmin, Richemont, Exxaro, Angloplat.

Traded most to negative this week NPN, RCH, AMS, to positive TKG, APN
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #784 on: October 06, 2014, 08:52:11 am »
Dow ended +1.24% (17 010), Nas +1.03% (4476), S&P +1.12% (1968) after better than expected unemployment rated, non-farms & PMI.

Just in:  Germany Factory Orders came it at -5.7%, expected -2.5%, prev +4.9%, and that also covers eco data for today.

In Asia midday today:

Nikkei Average +1.4%
Hang Seng Index +0.5%
Shanghai closed
ASX 200 -0.4%
Kospi -0.2%
Taiex -0.1%

The JSE has granted a listing issue to The South African National Roads Agency SOC Limited, better known and despised (at least by me) as SANRAL.  Authorised Programme size R31,910,000,000.00.

Pick ‘n Pay Stores H1 HEPS to rise between 51.01 to 55.09c, and PnP Holdings H1 HEPS to rise between 25.30 to 27.32c.

Eskom price increase 12.7% 2015/16 fin year, gold price below $1200, Rand down 1.7% (after strong US data).

T40 +344 pips (8:39) @ 43 532, F&G @ 5 “EF”, VIX 14.55

Alsi ended Friday +0.88% 48 613, T40 +0.99% 43 383 (technical bounce on oversold + US data)

Major up Naspers 5.87%, major down DRD -8.56%, Lonmin -4.54%, GFields -4.23%, AngGold -3.53%, Harmony -2.04%.

New low Lonmin @ 3040, Harmony @ 2327, Metair @ 3110, Northam @ 3370
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #785 on: October 07, 2014, 08:47:59 am »
Just  in: SA Foreign Reserves came in at 49.13B (USD), expected 49.47B, prev 49.77B.  If you’ve wondered, foreign reserves relates to a country’s gold holdings and convertible foreign currencies held in its central bank.  (Two other reports says 43.3B though.)

Earlier this morning, AUZ kept interest rate at 2.50% as expected and prev.

SA Business Confidence at 11:30am, previous 89.0.

New central bank governor is technocrat Kganyago from 9 Nov, R11.23.

Last night Dow ended -0.10%, Nas -0.46% and S&P -0.15%, futures red atm.

Samsung Q3 operating profit down 60%.

Gold futures $1205.20, Crude 90.27.

Asia Pacific today:

Nikkei -0.2%
Hang Seng +0.5%
Shanghai closed for holiday
ASX200 -0.7%
Kospi +0.2%
Sensex -0.3%
Taiex -0.7%

F&G @ 5 ‘EF’, VIX 15.31, T40 -0.03% 43 882 (8:28am).

Traded mostly to positive this week KIO, NPN, MTN, INL, SHF to negative ANG, SOL, FRS.

T40 closed +1.27% @ 43 932, Alsi +1.14% @ 49 166.

Moving up were Assore +5.11%, Kumba +4.89%, Naspers +4.09%, Nuworld +3.85%, Telkom +3.27%, Imprial +3.18%, Anglo +2.77.

Moving down Ellies -16.22%, PNRFoods -4.18%, DRD -3.22%.

New highs for Aspen 34650, SABVest 4500, Resilient 7699, Capitec 25250 & new lows for Ellies 145, Harmony 2255, Lonmin 2862, Metair 3002, intraday low Grindrod 2206.
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #786 on: October 08, 2014, 10:23:09 am »
Dow -1.61%, Nas -1.57%, S&P -1.52%, Europe red atm,  SA T40 -374 pips 10:11am

F&G 5 ‘EF’, VIX 17.32 above 50-day MA.

Eco Calendar:

20:00 US FOMC Meeting Minutes

Alsi ended yesterday -0.92% 48 712, T40 -0.98% 43 500

New high Astral 16170, Aspen 35229 & new low Afrox 1703, Grindrod 2205

Taking hits now Kumba, Ashanti, Mondi, Mediclinic, Anglo PLC. -1.97% Harmony -1.74% TKG -1.55%, APN -1.22%

Trading most to negative this week ANG, SOL.
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #787 on: October 09, 2014, 08:28:17 am »
30 Jun 2014 Gold 1314 . $/R 10.58 Copper 6.94 Nickel 18.64 Oil  105.63
09 Oct 2014 Gold 1225 . $/R 11.07 Copper 6.73 Nickel 16.61 Oil    87.58
Remarks         :wall:          :wall:      :wall:                :wall:             8)


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jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #788 on: October 10, 2014, 08:18:39 am »
Spoiler Alert:

:-X

T40 already on -559 pips (-1.27%), FTSE -78.8 points, Germany -109.0 points (@ 7:49am)

F&G @ 3 EF, VIX 18.92 36% above its 50-day MA.

Technical overview (moving averages on daily) based on end of US session last night:

EUR/USD 1.2694  Sell
GBP/USD 1.6117 Strong Sell
S&P 1928.21 Strong Sell
Dow 16659.25 Strong Sell
DAX 9005.02 Strong Sell
Gold 1224.50 Neutral
Crude 84.47 Strong Sell

Dow ended 16659 -1.97%, Nas -2.03% 1.925, S&P -2.08%, futures on DJIA F -2.05%, S&P F -2.13% (closing) DJ1:IND -0.28%, SP1:IND -0.23%, ND1:IND -0.47% @ (7:50am)

Asia ranging negative today  > -1.53% , ASX -2.05% (7:40am)

Duals closing overseas:

SNHFY: US -4.28%
GLNCY:US -4.26%
BCS:US -4.10%
VOC:LN -3.40%
CFRUY:US -2.91%
BHP:AU -2.74%
TENC:HK -1.61%

Alsi ended yesterday +0.21% @ 48 133, T40 +0.16% @ 42 913

Moving up were Harmony +7.58%, DRD +6.25%, AngGold +5.31%, GFields +4.49%.

Moving down Oceana -2.93%.

New highs for Astral 16497, Capitec 25500, Aspen 35499.

New lows for Ellies 111, Basread 550, Altron 1913 & intraday lows for Ricemont 9025, PPC 2796.

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #789 on: October 10, 2014, 08:39:45 am »
-693 pips, -1.61% (8:38am)

10 Min Chart Today
« Last Edit: October 10, 2014, 08:46:08 am by Moneypenny »
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #790 on: October 10, 2014, 08:44:48 am »
The bigger picture on the daily chart.
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #791 on: October 10, 2014, 09:08:10 am »
Early trade:

Assore -4.61%
Oce -3.42%
Mittal -3.33%
Naspers -2.99%
Lonim -2.02%
Coronation -2.22%
Anglo -2.22%
Discovery -1.65%
Bil -1.54%
Mass -1.43%
Aspen -1.33%
Barc -0.92%
Steinh -1.25%
CFR -1.09%
Shopr -0.84%
Adcock -1.56%
Inv -0.49%
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #792 on: October 10, 2014, 09:33:09 am »
Thanks MP.
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jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #793 on: October 10, 2014, 09:56:06 am »
You’re welcome and today all can stand under my “short” umbrella for cover. ;D




No clouds in my storms,
Let it rain.
I hydroplane into fame coming down with Dow Jones.
When the clouds come, we gone.
We Rocafella, We fly higher than weather, and G5's are better.

You know me
An anticipation for precipitation stack chips for the rainy day.
Jay, Rain Man is back
With Little Ms. Sunshine, Rihanna where you at?


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Patrick

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #794 on: October 10, 2014, 10:08:35 am »
Is your umbrella big enough for us all? :whistle:
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