Author Topic: Today's Outlook  (Read 489345 times)

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #585 on: March 14, 2014, 08:07:12 am »
Hmmmm

There is no way you could not have seen this one coming.

Markets down passionately last night and today.

In the US Dow -1.41%, Nas -1.46%, S&P -1.19% and in Asia Nikkei -3.36%, Hang Seng -1.22%, Shanghai -0.90%, Sensex -0.61%, Singapore -0.47%

Tencent down -5.49%

Your only options at this stage are:  be active ( i.e. short or go for gold) or inactive (i.e. hold on, don't look at your positions and come back when its over.) 

Easy.  Don't despair.

Any other info this morning is immaterial, I’ll just stop here.

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #586 on: March 14, 2014, 08:31:08 am »
I'll do just that MP,

don't look at your positions and come back when its over  :TU:  :frustrated:  :wall:  :wall:  :wall:  :wall:  :wall:  :wall:

Gold 1369 vs 1371 , $/R 10.82 vs 10.77      , Copper 6.43 vs 6.49  , Nickel 15.64  vs 15.61       , Oil 98.20 vs 98.23


GLEN.L

-1.56%



BHP

+0.08%



GLNCY

-2.04%



0805.HK

-2.13%



HMY

+4.52%



^DJI 

-1.41%

Asian shares dropped to a one-month low and the yen pushed higher on Friday, as heightened tension in Ukraine ahead of a weekend referendum drove investors out of riskier assets
jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

Aragorn

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #587 on: March 14, 2014, 08:42:52 am »

Your only options at this stage are:  be active ( i.e. short or go for gold) or inactive (i.e. hold on, don't look at your positions and come back when its over.) 

LT portfolio =  :'(
Trading Port =  ;D
Loving the shorts atm
Not idly do the leaves of Lorien fall.

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #588 on: March 17, 2014, 07:57:45 am »
Gold 1384 vs 1369  :TU:, $/R 10.68 vs 10.82      , Copper 6.48 vs 6.43  ??? , Nickel 15.81  vs 15.64  :TU:      , Oil 99.06 vs 98.20

Asian shares hovered around one-month lows on Monday as Western countries issued fresh warnings of more sanctions on Moscow after Crimea voted overwhelmingly to break from Ukraine to join Russia, as expected. Japan's Nikkei led losses with a fall of 0.7 percent, sliding to a one-month low while U.S. stock futures dropped
jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #589 on: March 17, 2014, 08:06:23 am »
The only green you will see today will probably be from celebrations relating to St Patrick’s Day and HAR.

Crimea voted overwhelmingly with preliminary result of 93% to become part of Russia yesterday.  US, Europe & UK not willing to acknowledge results, sanctions as early as today to be enforced on Russia.

Magnitude 7 earthquake just off Chilean coast last night, 100 000 evacuated.  Tsunami alert now cancelled.   Malaysian plane still missing.

US ended with DOW -0.27%, NAS -0.36%, S&P -0.29%, futures negative atm.

In Asia @ 7:15 (1:15pm Hong Kong) markets:

Nikkei -0.6%
Hang Seng -0.4%
Shanghai +0.5%
Kospi +0.2%
Taipex -0.1%
ASX -0.22%

Eco Calendar:
12:00 EUR CPI

Fear & Greed @ 43 (Fear), just a week ago @ 81 (Extreme Greed)

T40 @ +16 pips atm (7:39)

Duals:

HMY:US +1.89%
MT:NA -0.05%
BHP:AU -0.53%
VOD:LN -1.00%
NPNNY:US -2.79%
TLKGY:US -2.44%
CFR:US -1.99%
BARC:LN -1.91%
700HK -3.10%

« Last Edit: March 17, 2014, 08:08:28 am by Moneypenny »

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #590 on: March 18, 2014, 07:55:27 am »
Gold 1360 vs 1384  , $/R 10.77 vs 10.68      , Copper 6.56 vs 6.48  , Nickel 16.19  vs 15.81  :TU:       , Oil 97.94 vs 99.06

GLEN.L 

+3.23%

BHP

+1.43%



GLNCY

+2.84%



0805.HK 

+3.78%



HMY

-4.51%



^DJI

+1.13%

Asian shares rose on Tuesday and the yen remained well off recent highs as the threat of immediate military conflict in Ukraine receded, though investors remained cautious ahead of this week's U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting
jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #591 on: March 18, 2014, 08:45:26 am »
Alsi +0.87%,
T40 +095%,

AMS +5.27%,
GLN +4.36%,
EXX +4.28%,
Implats +3.40%,
Kumba +3.10%
NPN -5.01%,
Sibanye -2.38%,
Harmony -2.03%

Dow ended +1.13%, Nas +0.82%, S&P +0.97%, futures flat.

Nikkei ended +0.9%, Topix +1%

T40 +159 pips atm, Fear & Greed @ 49 ‘Neutral’

Eco Calendar:
12:00 German ZEW Economic Sentiment
14:30 US Building Permits
14:30 US Core CPI

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #592 on: March 19, 2014, 08:28:41 am »
Gold 1354 vs 1360  , $/R 10.73 vs 10.77      , Copper 6.48 vs 6.56  , Nickel 16.22  vs 16.19         , Oil 99.50 vs 97.94


GLEN.L

+1.58%



BHP

+0.66%



GLNCY

+2.07%



0805.HK

+0.25%



HMY

-1.94%



^DJI 

+0.55%


Asian share markets slipped on Wednesday, with investors still observing the Ukraine/Crimea crisis and ahead of a closely-watched Federal Reserve policy review later in the session. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.2 percent, with relief over a perceived ebb in Ukrainian tensions replaced by caution over the Fed's policy review. Global markets have been buffeted in recent weeks by the crisis in Ukraine, slowing growth
jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #593 on: March 19, 2014, 08:42:32 am »
Fear and Greed @ 52 ‘Neutral’.

Japan Topix ends -0.1%, Nikkei ends +0.4%.

In the US, Dow ended +0.55%, Nas +1.24%, S&P +0.71%.

Eco Calendar:
10:00 SA CPI prev 0.7%, exp 1.1%
11:30 GB MPC Meeting Minutes & Unemployment rate prev & exp 7.2%
13:00 SA Retail prev 3.5%, exp 2.9%
20:00 US FOMC Economic Projections
20:00 US FOMC Statement
20:00 US Interest rate, prev & exp 0.25%
20:30 US Fed Chair Janet Yellen Speaks

Alsi +0.52%, T40 +0.56%

T40 -62 pips (8:35)

JD Group up +28.40%, Oando +10.91%, Adcock +7.28%, Naspers +4.50%, Telkom +3.86%.

Other side: Harmony -5.19%, Goldfields -4.57%, Sibanye -4.40%, S-Ocean -3.20%, Anglo Gold -2.22%, Aveng -2.00%.

New high Angloplat @ 48478, Bidvest @ 27500


Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #594 on: March 20, 2014, 08:52:10 am »
Tencent’s (China) posting slowest quarterly profit growth in 2 years yesterday (influencing Naspers negatively here) as well as tumbling metal prices blamed for sell-off.   T40 ended -0.9% @ 42 006,  Alsi -0.8% @ 46 666.

Naspers -4.91%, Kumba -4.21%, Pick ‘n Pay -3.75%, Adcock -3.55%, Lewis -3.36% Mittal -3.10%, Abil -3.03%.

Telkom +3.44%, Oceana +4.24%, Fambrands +3.13%

Greed & Fear @ 51 ‘Neutral’, T40 @ -305 pips (-0.73%) now 8:38

Copper lowest level in more than 3 years.

Satellite images might have found Flight MH370, 1460 miles from Perth in South Indian Ocean, planes on their way to investigate.

Last night Yellen suggested that a rate hike could come as early as spring 2015 in the US, markets not impressed. US ended -0.70%, -0.58%, -0.60%, futures negative atm.

In Asia this morning, all red with Nikkei -1.65%, Hang Seng -1.49%, Singapore -0.64%

Eco Calendar:

16:00US Existing Home Sales

Tomorrow:  21/3

Public Holidays for SA: Human Rights Day & Japan: Spring Equinox Day

Watch out for Chinese Manufacturing PMI, Monday morning bright & early @ 3:45am


Duals:

BARC:LN +2.31%
TLKGY:US +1.60%
MT:NA +0.96%
VOD:LN +0.49%
700:HKTENC -1.59%
NPNUS: -7.18%
HMY:US -5.10%
SNFH:US -4.56%
GLNCY:US -4.05%
CFRUY:US -2.84%
CFR:VX -2.10%
BHP:AU -1.94%

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #595 on: March 20, 2014, 10:08:08 am »
China's Hang Seng index in bear market after 20% decline since 2 Dec 2013.

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #596 on: March 24, 2014, 08:27:34 am »
Gold 1328 vs 1354  , $/R 10.89 vs 10.73      , Copper 6.47 vs 6.48  , Nickel 15.91  vs 16.22         , Oil 99.26 vs 99.50


GLEN.L. .

+0.75%



BHP. .

+0.89%



GLNCY. .

+0.35%



0805.HK. .

-0.65%



HMY. .

+0.30%



^DJI. .

-0.17%

Asian shares gave up earlier gains on Monday after the China HSBC flash manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to an eight-month low in March. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.2 percent after the China data's release after gaining as much as 0.5 percent. "The concerns around China's growth are likely to remain over the coming weeks as the slowdown in orders over the winter months and Chinese Luna New Year…
jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #597 on: March 24, 2014, 09:30:28 am »
Eco Calendar:

Chinese Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.1, expected 48.7.

10:30 German Manufacturing PMI

Dow ended -0.17%, Nas -0.98%, S&P -0.27%, futures green.

Asia, Nikkei ended +1.76%, Hang Seng +1.69%, Shanghai +0.90%, Sensex +1.12%, Singapore +1.39%.

Fear & Greed @ 55 indicating ‘Neutral’

T40 @ +0.26% (109 pips)

FYI:
Last week of UK daylight savings time (FTSE), changing 31 March – from next week FTSE opens @ 9:00 am local time, not 10:00 am.
US already changed 10 March, now opening 15:30 local time, not 16:30.

« Last Edit: March 25, 2014, 08:36:54 am by Moneypenny »

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #598 on: March 24, 2014, 09:47:14 am »
That means Top Gear is earlier ...  ???

jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #599 on: March 25, 2014, 07:59:02 am »
Gold 1314 vs 1328   ???, $/R 10.83 vs 10.89      , Copper 6.53 vs 6.47  , Nickel 16.16  vs 15.91   :whistle: , Oil 99.55 vs 99.26

Asian stocks swung between gains and losses, after the biggest rally in a month for the regional benchmark index yesterday, as data showed a slowdown in U.S. manufacturing and investors weighed the prospect of a recession in Russia.



GLENCORE-S (0805.HK)
 -HKSE Follow

 39.40 0.95 +2.47% Mar 24

HAR 3.23 0.15 - 4.44%

jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it