Author Topic: Today's Outlook  (Read 843187 times)

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #90 on: April 26, 2013, 08:24:23 am »
...and LDT's today for those who do that kind of thing.

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #91 on: April 26, 2013, 02:31:41 pm »
US GDP exp 3.0%, actual 2.5%

Moonraker

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #92 on: April 26, 2013, 04:49:08 pm »
First quarter GDP deflator: +1.2% actual, +1.6% Briefing.com consensus, +1.0% prior

April final Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey: 76.4 actual, 72.4 Briefing.com consensus, 72.3 prior

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #93 on: April 26, 2013, 05:58:07 pm »
VIX ticking up steadily, $15.15 at this moment.   

Nas and S&P neg since start, Dow just joined neg, all picking up speed.

Signing off, have a good weekend all. :)

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #94 on: April 29, 2013, 02:32:17 pm »
Germany
CPI YoY Exp 1.4% Prev 1.4% Act 1.2%,
MoM Exp -0.2%, Prev 0.5% Act -0.5%

US
Personal Income & Personal Spending, both less than prev mnth
« Last Edit: April 29, 2013, 02:35:53 pm by Moneypenny »

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #95 on: April 30, 2013, 08:38:02 am »
Another day in paradise?

09:00  Spanish GDP  Prev -0.8% Exp -0.5%, Act -0.5%
09:55  Ger Unemployment Prev Prev 6.9%  Exp 6.9% Act 6.9%
09:55  Ger Unemployment Change Prev 13K, Exp 2K, Act 4K
11:00  Eur CPI YoY Prev 1.7% Exp 1.6% Act 1.2%
11:00  Eur Unemployment Prev 12.0% Exp 12.1% Act 12.1%
14:00  SA Trade balance -9.52B Exp -8.50B Act 7.77B  :D Wat sę hulle nou weer van 'n blinde hoender...


« Last Edit: April 30, 2013, 02:07:55 pm by Moneypenny »

Patrick

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #96 on: April 30, 2013, 08:44:53 am »
I'm waiting with anticipation for the 2 big events you listed in the other thread...

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #97 on: April 30, 2013, 09:05:48 am »
You referring to the double top?  I was kind of expecting two strong down days, two strong up days this week, i.e. down, up, down, up all to do with expectation and reality but yes, not so strong after all at least for day one, too many chocolate kisses and utopia promises out there, and don't forget the happy hippies.  ;D  I still can't convince myself to go long in this market, rather waiting for ups and short it, and still thinking longer term is down not up.  So I guess we disagree then? ;D

Edit:  Oh, my bad :) - you're referring to the two events 1st & 2nd.  Me too, waiting and watching - at least we will get some sort of direction then.
« Last Edit: May 03, 2013, 11:45:58 am by Moneypenny »

Moonraker

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #98 on: April 30, 2013, 06:53:14 pm »
February Case-Shiller 20-city Home Price Index: +9.3% actual, +8.7% Briefing.com consensus, +8.1% prior

Q1 Employment Cost Index: +0.3% actual, +0.5% Briefing.com consensus, +0.5% prior

April Chicago PMI: 49.0 actual, 52.0 Briefing.com consensus (Not too good hey ?)

April Consumer Confidence: 68.1 actual, 61.0 Briefing.com consensus, 59.7 prior



Moonraker

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #99 on: May 01, 2013, 02:49:30 pm »
The Federal Open Market Committee releases its statement at 2 p.m. in Washington following a two-day meeting. None of the 47 economists in a Bloomberg News survey conducted from April 25 to April 29 forecast that the central bank will change the pace of its bond-purchase program this month.

Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will probably reduce the Federal Reserve’s monthly bond buying in the fourth quarter to $50 billion from $85 billion, economists said in a Bloomberg survey. The central bank will probably leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25 percent following the meeting.

The ECB announces its monthly interest-rate decision tomorrow.

Orca

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #100 on: May 01, 2013, 07:53:12 pm »
No Lehman Bros scenario repeat so no big retractment as in 50% as the other forum states.  A correction yes, but no repeat of the 2008/9 crash.
May has been a bad month for 3 years but we have lived through it without much damage. What will cause it? We have had bad news many times since the crash but revived very quickly.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Moonraker

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #101 on: May 01, 2013, 08:13:46 pm »
Quote from: Orca
After reading market reports today, I am seriously thinking of switching to cash. Tax implications will be a minor problem if I can avoid a correction.
Orca, rather unusual to see a statement like that from you. What gives ?  :D

Nivek

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #102 on: May 02, 2013, 07:42:11 am »
Hope everyone enjoyed a relaxing day off yesterday.

Asia down today after US payroll data. China down after manufacturing slowdown.

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #103 on: May 02, 2013, 08:48:13 am »
Maybe a good thing for investors we had a holiday yesterday with Fed's usual 'may, may-not'-attitude, DOW down with 145 points :o at one stage with gold, silver & copper taking a beating.  Today much happening with Italian, French, German & Euro PMI from 9:45 - 9:58.  SA Manufacturing PMI @ 11:00, EU interest rate 13:45 and ECB press conference @ 14:30 as well as US Continuing, Initial jobless, Non-farm productivity and Trade Balance at same time. Enough to confuse even the most perceptive trader, luckily we love a challenge. ;D

Edit:

ECB cut 25 basis points (expected) and they are as always 'ready to act' (also expected) ::)

Now we can move forward without 'central bonkers' confusing issues. :)

« Last Edit: May 02, 2013, 03:19:34 pm by Moneypenny »

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #104 on: May 03, 2013, 08:31:13 am »
US Nonfarm & unemployment rate @ 14:30, Asia mixed, US futures flat/red.

Remember LDT today.
« Last Edit: May 03, 2013, 08:33:22 am by Moneypenny »