Author Topic: Today's Outlook  (Read 840880 times)

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #930 on: January 23, 2015, 08:19:30 am »
Asian stocks extended a global rally on Friday after the European Central Bank launched a landmark bond-buying stimulus program that buoyed investors' risk appetite, drove bonds higher and kept the euro pinned near 11-year lows. Crude oil prices bounced after Saudi Arabia announced that King Abdullah had died and his successor, Salman, moved quickly to name his own heir to rule the world's biggest oil exporter

0700.HK +0.99%
NPSNY    +1.65%

DJIA  +259.70 +1.48%  17,813.98
S&P 500  +31.03 +1.53%  2,063.15
FTSE 100  +68.59 +1.02%  6,796.63
Nikkei 225  +158 +0.91%  17,487
Crude Oil (WTI)  +0.98 +2.12%
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Orca

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #931 on: January 23, 2015, 02:41:16 pm »
oilprice.net

In an analysis published in 2009, Therramus pointed out that Black Monday fell into a broader pattern in which nearly every stock market crash and recession of the preceding 50 years had occurred shortly after a large and abrupt change in the price of oil. In the case of the 1987 Dow crash, it was foreshadowed by a tumble in oil price that ensued in the wake of disputes within OPEC - which had come to a head in the previous year.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #932 on: January 26, 2015, 09:53:26 am »
0700.HK +2.71%
NPSNY    -0.61%

 Dow
17,673 -141 0.79%
Nasdaq
4,758 +8 0.16%
S&P 500
2,052 -11 0.54%
GlobalDow
2,500 -3 0.14%
Gold
1,291 -1 0.05%
Oil
44.84 -0.73 1.60%

http://blogs.barrons.com/asiastocks/2015/01/23/tencent-can-pull-in-10-billion-yuan-annually-from-wechat-advertising/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo

The recent narrative about Tencent Holdings (0700.HK/TCEHY) is its advertising capabilities. Unlike Facebook (FB) or Twitter (TWTR), which make most of their money from advertising, gaming revenue is the big chunk at Tencent. For the nine months ending September, of the total 58 billion in sales, “value-added services,” or gaming and gaming-related sales, came up at 46 billion yuan. Tencent made only 5.7 billion yuan from online advertising.

Pacific Crest analyst Cheng Cheng just joined the new narrative. “We see the potential for upward of RMB10 billion in annual revenue for Tencent in Weixin advertising in the next 12 to 18 months,” wrote Cheng in a note published today. If he was right, this would be a substantial chunk. Wall Street analysts expect Tencent to make 98 billion in sales in 2014.

Tencent’s WeChat is a compelling advertising platform, wrote Cheng:

    Due to the massive amounts of user time spent on Weixin (No. 1 app in China), massive user reach and unique user identification capabilities, we think Weixin will be an excellent platform for brand advertisers to reach their targeted audience with the correct frequency.

How did Cheng get the 10 billion yuan estimate? He looked at peers’ unit revenue and multiplied with WeChat’s number of monthly active users:

    In exploring Weixin’s advertising opportunity, we believe comparing it to other social networks that have existing advertising revenue streams will be useful. Specifically, we are looking at Facebook, Twitter and Weibo. As of the most recent quarter, Facebook (Asia-Pacific users), Twitter (non-U.S. users) and Weibo have achieved advertising-based monetization of $1.18, $0.50 and $0.39 per MAU per quarter, respectively. If we apply those metrics to Weixin’s most recent MAU count and adjust for non-Chinese MAUs, we would get a quarterly revenue opportunity of between RMB972 million and RMB2.9 billion for Tencent.
jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #933 on: January 26, 2015, 10:21:54 am »
Alsi ended -0.11% @ 49 816, T40 -0.18% @ 43 647.

Up Hudaco +16.13%, EOH +3.66%, Tsogo +3.82%, Capitec +3.13%.

Down Glencore -7.17%, DRD -6.88%, Harmony -5.69%, Anglo -3.97%, Angloplat -3.97%, Lonmin-3.44%, Billiton -3.19%, Telkom -2.69%.

New Highs for EOH @ 11875, Capitec @ 36289, Aspen @ 43625, Massmart @ 17455, Mediclin @ 11800, Remgro @ 26555.

New low Grindrod @ 1937, Afrox @ 1510.

F&G @ 28 ‘ Fear’, T40 now +0.22% @ 43 666.

Up today NPN, BAW, REM, down ANG, KIO.

Eco Calendar:

11:00 German Ifo Business Climate for Jan.

All European markets negative atm, ranging between -0.50% to -1.16%.

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #934 on: January 27, 2015, 08:17:50 am »
0700.HK -2.92%
NPSNY    +3.74%

 Dow
17,679 +6 0.04%
Nasdaq
4,772 +14 0.30%
S&P 500
2,057 +5 0.25%
GlobalDow
2,506 +2 0.07%
Gold
1,279 -1 0.11%
Oil
45.18 +0.03 0.07%

The main European indices were expected to open higher, though foul weather in the United States will curb activity on Wall Street. The Federal Reserve also starts its first policy meeting of the year, in what is a busy week for earnings. Japan's Nikkei gained 1.4 percent, while Australia's main index added 0.8 percent



Microsoft Corp. on Monday said its earnings fell more than 10% during the quarter ended December on costs related to its streamlining effort and its integration of the mobile phone business acquired from Nokia last year.

Shares fell about 3% in recent after-hours trading as the company's collection of software like Windows,
jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #935 on: January 27, 2015, 09:33:17 am »
VIX @ 15.52, Moon’s F&G @ 31 ‘Fear’, T40 trading @ 44314 +0.50% now.

Spot Gold @ 1283.38, Plat @ 1258.3, Brent Crude @ 4918.0, Wall Street Cash @ 17664.9, FTSE Cash @ 6861.7. (9:13am today).

Trading up today locally Ashanti, AngloPlat, Intu, Reinet, AngloAmerican PLC, trading down MrP,  Shoprite, Naspers, MTN, Tiger.

Asian Markets today:

Nikkei +1.72%
Hong Kong -0.42%
Shanghai -0.65
ASX +0.83%

Economic Calendar:

11:30 GB GDP (YoY) Q4 prev 2.6%, exp 2.8%.
11:30 GB GDP (QoQ) Q4 prev 0.7%, exp 0.6%.
17:00 US CB Consumer Confidence Jan prev 92.6 exp 95.1.
17:00 US New home sales, prev 438K exp 450K.

Yesterday Alsi ended 50 337 +1.05%, T40 44 197 + 1.26% / 550pts.

Up were IVT-N +26.75%, Resilient +4.69%, Naspers +3.34%, Sasol +3.21%.

Down were Invicta -27.19%, Grindrod -6.34%, AngloP -5.00%, Gfields -4.28%, GrnadP -4.15%, Northam -4.20%, AngloG -3.82%, DRD -3.69%, Kumba -3.47%, Implats -3.34%.

New high IVT-N @ 268, Nasp @ 170400, Grwpnt @ 3050, Mondi @ 20300, PSG @ 13456, Aspen @ 44318, MedC @ 118800.

New low Invicta @ 8207, Grindrod @ 1828, PPC @ 2165, Kuba @ 21205, Afrox @ 1470.


jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #936 on: January 28, 2015, 09:00:10 am »
NPSNY -1.71%
0700.HK    +0.29

Asian stock markets followed Wall Street into the red on Wednesday, while the dollar was on edge following speculation the Federal Reserve could take a dovish turn in its post-meeting statement later

 Dow
17,387 -292 1.65%
Nasdaq
4,681 -91 1.90%
S&P 500
2,030 -27 1.32%
GlobalDow
2,488 -2 0.08%
Gold
1,292 -1 0.07%
Oil
45.56 -0.67 1.45%
jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #937 on: January 28, 2015, 10:29:24 am »
Top movers trading-wise today: 

Kumba, AngloPlat, AngoAmerican PLC, AngloGold Ashanti, Richemont, Aspen, Imperial, Sasol.

Moving to negative side:

Assore, Growthpoint, CZA, Reinet, MTN.

T40 @ +0.72% @ 44 862 (10:15 am).

Dow ended -1.65%, Nas –1.90%, S&P -1.32%.

VIX @ 17.22 (+10.95%) +1.70, Moon’s F&G @ 28 ‘Fear’.

Economic Calendar:


21:00 US FOMC Statement

Alsi ended +0.74% @ 50 711, T40 @ 44 531 +0.76%.

Up GFields +7.90%, Harmony +7.80%, AngGold +5.47%, Reinet +4.33%.

Down IVT-N -18.50%, Cargo -10.19%, Barworld -3.78%.

New highs Lewis @ 8990, FirstR @ 5149, Curro @ 3289, Nedcor @ 25641, StadardB @ 15036, Capitec @ 37333, Spar @ 18037, Mondi @ 21032.

New low Invicta @7900, PPC @ 2142, Kumba @ 21390, Grindrod @ 1783 intraday.

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #938 on: January 29, 2015, 08:31:50 am »
Asian shares extended losses on Thursday after the Federal Reserve took an upbeat view on the U.S. economy and signalled that it remains firmly on track to raise interest rates this year despite an uncertain global outlook

NPSNY -1.00%
0700.HK    -1.31%

 Dow
17,191 -196 1.13%
Nasdaq
4,638 -43 0.93%
S&P 500
2,002 -28 1.36%
GlobalDow
2,455 -11 0.44%
Gold
1,283 -4 0.33%
Oil
44.41 -0.04 0.09%
jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #939 on: January 30, 2015, 09:15:07 am »
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up about 0.1 percent on the day, but up more than 1 percent for the month. Japan's Nikkei stock average (.N225) added about 0.8 percent, clawing back some of the 1.1 percent lost the previous session, its biggest one-day drop in two weeks.

NPSNY +1.01%
0700.HK    -2.53%

   
Dow
17,417 +226 1.31%
Nasdaq
4,683 +45 0.97%
S&P 500
2,021 +19 0.94%
GlobalDow
2,466 -3 0.14%
Gold
1,261 +5 0.41%
Oil
44.48 -0.04 0.09%
jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #940 on: February 03, 2015, 08:50:42 am »
Asian stocks sagged on Tuesday amid ongoing growth concerns, while the Australian dollar plumbed six-year lows after the Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates to a record low

NPSNY.  +2.52%   
0700.HK. . -0.66%

Dow
 17,361 +196 1.14%


Nasdaq
 4,677 +42 0.90%


S&P 500
 2,021 +26 1.30%


GlobalDow
 2,465 -0 0.01%


Gold
 1,278 +1 0.09%


Oil
 49.86 +0.29 0.59% 
jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #941 on: February 04, 2015, 08:46:19 am »
Asian shares took Wall Street's lead to reach three-month peaks on Wednesday as revived risk sentiment dented the U.S. dollar and sovereign bonds, though it was unclear how long this latest mood swing would last

NPSNY -0.27%
0700.HK    -0.37%

Dow
 17,666 +305 1.76%


Nasdaq
 4,728 +51 1.10%


S&P 500
 2,050 +29 1.44%


GlobalDow
 2,511 +9 0.37%


Gold
 1,264 +4 0.29%


Oil
 52.50 -0.54 1.02%

ACL

Shareholders are advised that the loss per share for the year
ended 31 December 2014 is expected to be lower than in 2013,
mainly due to the impairment charge last year of R1 950
million related to the closure of the Thabazimbi mine. The
loss per share is expected to reduce from 535 cents per share
to a range between 33 and 43 cents per share (92%-94%
improvement).



The Smiths - BIGMOUTH STRIKES AGAIN  :TU:
jaDEB

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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #942 on: February 05, 2015, 08:04:20 am »
Asian stocks and the euro handed back gains and slipped on Thursday after the European Central Bank adopted a hard line on Greece's debt, dealing a major blow to Athens' efforts to secure improved bailout terms with its creditors

NPSNY -2.41%
0700.HK    +1.34%

Dow
 17,673 +7 0.04%


Nasdaq
 4,717 -11 0.23%


S&P 500
 2,042 -8 0.39%


GlobalDow
 2,505 -0 0.00%


Gold
 1,273 +9 0.67%


Oil
 48.05 -0.40 0.83

Dead Or Alive - You Spin Me Round (Like A Record).
jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #943 on: February 05, 2015, 10:33:54 am »
Dow ended +0.04%, Nas -0.23%, S&P -0.39%.

Europe now with FTSE -0.17%, DAX +0.18%, CAC +0.39%, MIB -0.33%, IBEX -0.19%.

ECB yesterday rejected Greek bonds as collateral suggesting that Drahi is not impressed with newly formed Greek government’s plans to renegotiate bailout terms. Greek 10-yr yields jumped 83 points to 10.539%. Poor Alexis, he seems to be a decent guy.

Moon’s F&G @ 44 ‘Fear’, prev day closed 43.

Vix @18.33.

T40 @ -0.51% @ 45 136.

Down today SOL, BIL, NPN, SHL, up APN.

Up this month ANG, NPN, BIL, SOL, APN, SHF, MTN.

Economic Calendar:

09:00  GER Factory orders came in better @ 4.2%, expected 1.5%.
11:30  SA Business confidence for Jan, prev 88.3.
14:00  GB Interest rate prev & exp 0.50%.
15:30  US Non-farm Productivity (Q4) prev 2.3%, exp 0.5% & Initial jobless, exp 290K prev 265K.

T40 back to -0.25% (10:28).

New highs yesterday Telkom @ 7412, Cashbuild @ 2427, Santova @ 380, Steinhoff @ 6239, EOH @ 12450, new low Raubex @ 1961.

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #944 on: February 06, 2015, 11:07:00 am »
Dow ended +1.20%, Nas +1.02%, S&P +1.05%.

Europe today FTSE -0.30%, CAC -0.33%, MIB +0.25%.

VIX @ 16.85 -1.48pts, Moon’s F&G @ 52 ‘Neutral’.

T40 0.02% @ 45 462 (10:52).

Trading up today SOL, AGL, SHF, ANG, trading down LON, MTN.

Economic Calendar:

08:00 SA Foreign Reserves ($) for Jan prev 49.10B, exp 48.89B, actual 47.61B.

08:00 SA Net FX Reserves ($) for Jan prev 42.727B, exp 42.960B, actual 42.150B.

15:30 US Non-farm Payrolls Jan prev 252K, exp 234K.

15:30 US Unemployment Rate for Jan, prev & exp 5.6%.


Alsi ended 51 688 (+0.11%) yesterday, T40 @45 450 (+0.09%).

New highs for Telkom @ 7795, EOH @ 12721, Steinhoff @ 6254, Sanlam @ 7345, Farmbrands @ 11750, Cashbuild @ 20560 intraday.

New low Rockwell @ 220, Aquarius @ 224, Raubex @ 1950.