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Author Topic: Today's Outlook  (Read 506831 times)

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #735 on: July 18, 2014, 08:30:57 am »
Dow ended -0.94%, Nas -1.42% S&P -1.19%.

In Asia this morning Nikkei -1.2%, Hang Seng -0.5%, Topix -0.8%, Sydney flat.

Why? Cause Malaysian civilian aircraft hit by surface to air missile (BUK missile launcher) in Ukraine yesterday, Putin hints at revenge after latest sanctions implemented by US, Israel calling up 18 000 additional reservist after yesterday’s ground offensive started in Gaza, Hamas responded with ‘Israel will pay a heavy price.’

Obviously then, Fear & Greed indicator @ 34 ‘Fear’, previous close 55 ‘Neutral’.  VIX 14.54 +3.54, previous close (+32.18%) @ 11.00.

T40 (8:08 am) -266 pips @ 46 352.

Yesterday Alsi -287 (-0.55%), T40 -304 (0.65%)

New highs Tongaat, Brait, Clicks, Sappi, Billiton (intraday)

By index Resources -1.01%, Mining -1.33%, Health Care -1.55%, General Retail -1.34%. 

Up Oil and Beverages

No noteworthy economic reporting today.

Other news: Super typhoon to hit China shortly.
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #736 on: July 21, 2014, 08:30:57 am »
Super typhoon Rammasun hit China last Friday, losses estimated @ $2 billion so far.  Third super typhoon Matmo on its way to Taiwan hitting in 48 hours (1st one named Neoguri hit Japan recently).  Not done yet, super typhoon Guam forming now, possibly hitting Philippines later this week.

Fighting continuing in Gaza, even through cease-fire.
 
In Ukraine separatist not releasing 251 bodies but choose to keep them in refrigerated train cars until ‘experts’ can examine them there.  Also not releasing any info on black boxes.

Dow ended +0.73%, Nas +1.57%, S&P +1.02%, futures negative.

In Asia this morning Nikkei closed, Hang Seng -0.2%, Shanghai -0.4%, Sydney +0.2%

F&G 42 ‘Fear’, VIX 12.06 (-17.06%)

T40 @ 46 664 (+0.11%) @ 8:16am

Mostly traded to negative this month APN, to positive ANG.

Eco Calendar:

Japan closed for Marine Day

08:00 German PPI came in 0.0%, exp –0.7%, prev -0.8% (MoM),  YoY exp & actual -0.7%

T40 ended -0.18% @ 46 558, Alsi -0.18% @ 51 695.

Moving up Advtech +4.55%, Harmony +3.09%, Sibanye +2.59%, down Truworths -3.61%, Implats -2.90%, Clover -2.56%, Clicks -2.50%.

New high Brait @ 7698, Astral 14090, new low Exxaro @ 13501.
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #737 on: July 22, 2014, 08:16:12 am »
States ended last night with Dow -0.28%, Nas -0.16%, S&P -0.21%, futures positive.

In Asia this morning Nikkei +1%, both Hang Seng & Shanghai  > +1.%  at break, Sydney flat.

T40 @ 7:41am  46 370 +70 pips (+0.15%)

VIX @ 12.81 +0.75 (+6.22%), F&G @ 37 ‘Fear’

Economic Calendar:

14:30 US Core CPI (MoM) pev 0.3%, exp 0.2%
16:00 US Existing Home Sales, prev 4.89M, exp 4.97M

Alsi yesterday -0.53%, T40 -0.60%.

Anglo American Plat to sell labour intensive SA mines and will be focusing on merchandised mines in future.  Recent 5-month strike, coupled with 20% increase demands culprits. Killing the goose that lays the golden eggs;  very short-sighted, trading temporary increase for future lay-off. Maybe Sibanye with Chinese investor backup to step-up, although they have a very different work ethic than locals imo, you know, honour, duty and benefit of all mankind.  Ja, ja I know, babbling – but I feel very uninspired atm so forgive me. :(

New highs for Eastplats, Sappi, Brait, RMBH & new intraday low for Exxaro @ 13500.
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #738 on: July 23, 2014, 09:09:53 am »
Apologies for delay, training routine changed. ::) will update soon.
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #739 on: July 23, 2014, 09:17:24 am »
"Ja, ja I know, babbling – but I feel very uninspired atm so forgive me"...

My wife and I am in the engineering field, wife is at home, strikers forced the company she work for closed... us, we have to see on daily basis if we can get to work. Have been visited by these people 3 times.

So ja, feel the same as you.
« Last Edit: July 23, 2014, 09:26:15 am by jaDEB »
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jaDEB

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Nivek

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #740 on: July 23, 2014, 09:24:11 am »
If I was told to train in the mornings I think I'd go on strike  ;D
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #741 on: July 23, 2014, 10:08:49 am »
 :D

Dow ended +0.37%, Nas +0.71%, S&P +0.53% last night. Futures currently +0.13%, +0.11%, +0.09%.

Europe now FTSE +0.02%, DAX +0. 40%, CAC +0.20%, Gold $1307.19

Eco Calendar:

03:30 AUZ CPI (YoY) came in at 3.0%, expedted 3.1%, QoQ exp 0.6% came in at 0.5%
10:00 SA CPI (MoM) prev 0.2%, exp 0.4% - just in worse than expected @ 0.3%
10:30 GB MPC Meeting Minutes
13:34 GB BoE Carney

T40 @ 46 923 +82 pips atm  (Edit: fell to 46 778 -87 pips after 10:00 eco news)

Yesteday Alsi +0.99% @ 51 931, T40 +1.10% @ 46 789, Kumba H1 earnings down 16%

Moving higher were Eastplats, Assore, Telkom & down Sappi, AECI

Also new high for Eastplats 1189, Telkom 5041, Remgro 23645, RMBH 5606, Billiton 37225, Firstrand 4362.

New low Ellies 285

Top trading to positive last hour were Bil, Investec, Anglo American, Kumba, Assore.

Top trading to negative last hour MTN, AgloGold Ashanti, Richemont, SABMiller


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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #742 on: July 24, 2014, 09:50:56 am »
Dow -0.16%, Nas +0.40%, S&P +0.17%, futures red -0.14 to -0.19% range.

Asia mixed this morning, Europe red so far.

VIX -.88 % @ 11.52, T40 -46 pips  -0.10% (9:32am), F&G @ 40 ‘Fear’

Most stock trading to negative last hour, ANG, MND, SOL, SHF, MLA, IMP, NPN, SAB except VOD, KIO, STD but small gains, not really worth mentioning.

Eco Calendar:

03:45 Chinese HSBC Manufacturing came in better than expected @ 52.0 (exp 51.0)
09:00 French Man PMI worse than expected @ 47.6, expected 48.1
09:30 German Man PMI better than expected @ 52.9, exp 52.0
10:00 Euro Man PMI exp 51.7
10:30 GB Retail sales (MoM) prev -0.5%, exp +0.3%
14:30 US Initial jobless exp 308K
16:00 US New home sales exp 479K

Alsi -0.04% @ 51 910, T40 -0.10% @ 46 743.

New high Nedcor 24098, RMBH 5644, Billiton 37495, Telkom 5045 (intraday), new low Ellies 283.

NUMSA’s strike entering third week with new offer today to members.
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #743 on: July 25, 2014, 10:04:07 am »
Dow closed last night -0.02%, Nas -0.04%, S&P +0.05%, futures flat.

VIX +2.78% @ 11.84, F&G 43 ‘Fear’

Asia-Pacific earlier today, Nikkei +1.14%, Hang Seng +0.25%, Shanghai +1.04%, Sensex -0.76%, Singapore -0.35%.

In Europe now (9:39am) FTSE -0.09%, DAX -0.18%, CAC -0.64%.

Back home T40 currently -0.25% @ 46 327, Rand breaks 10.50 resistance.

Alsi ended yesterday @ 51 621 -0.56%, T40 -0.63%@ 46 448.

New high for Nedcor 24323, Capitec 23900, Woollies 8475, Remgro 23825, RMBH 5668 intraday, as always new low Ellies 263.

Steinhoff International (SHFN) down hard yesterday -5.56%,  ja ne? ::)

Trading to positive last hour IVT, to negative RCH.

NUMSA strike to continue, Telkom & MTN in discussion, Anglo American 1st half profit rises on higher output.

New listing yesterday, Alexander Forbes. (up 3.83% to 841)

Economic Calendar:

10:00 EUR German Business Climate exp 109.4, prev 109.7  (Edit: just in 108.0)
10:30 GB GDP (QoQ) prev & exp 0.8%
14:30 US Core Durable Goods Orders, prev 0.0%, exp 0.6%
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #744 on: July 28, 2014, 09:03:28 am »
DOW -0.72%, NAS -0.49%, S&P -0.50%, futures flat to green.

VIX 12.69 (+7.18%), F&G 33 ‘Fear’

In Asia this morning Nikkei +0.4, Hang Seng +1%, Shanghai +2.2%, Sydney -0.1%

T40 @ 46 657 (+0.50%) 8:29am

Most traded to positive this month APN, to negative SHF

NUMSA still not happy, but saying there are ‘developments’.

Eco Calendar:

Singapore & Indonesia on Holiday.

16:00 US Pending Home Sales prev 6.1%, exp 0.5%

On Friday, Alsi ended -0.14% @ 51 550, T40 -0.14% @ 46 384.

New highs for Anglo @ 29450, Capitec intraday 24198.

New low, as always Ellies @ 260.
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #745 on: July 29, 2014, 09:28:13 am »
NUMSA accepted 10% wage increase for lowest-paid workers (annually fixed for 3 yrs) ending strike which started 2 July.

Alsi +0.73% (51 927) T40 +0.76% (46 738). Closing just below all time record, led by Banking & Mining shares. 

Gold Index +2% (although gold price lower; but helped by lower R). 

Bank Index +1.61%

New high Firstrand 4377, MrPrice 20544 PickPay 6047, Nedcor 24436, Standard 14946, Anglo 29657, Capitec 24599 intraday.

New low 660 PSG-KST
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #746 on: July 30, 2014, 08:04:39 am »
US Dow -0.42%, Nas -0.04%, S&P -0.45%

Asia Nikkei +0.2%, Hong Kong +0.8%, (break), Shanghai -0.1% (break), Sydney +0.6%

Japan output falls most since 2011.

US & EU increase Russian sanctions.

Twitter Q2 revenue exp $282.84 mil, actual $312.2 mil. (20% more users, due to soccer world cup)

Alsi +0.61% 52 242, T40 +0.68% 47 056.

SA jobless rate increases to 25.5% Q2.

Barclays Africa H1 earning +10%, rev + 7%

New high ZED 594, MrP 20697, FirstR 4459, NedC 24540, Anglo 29741, Bil 37718, RMBH 5771, Remgro 23885, Standard 1490, TigerB 32000, PickPay 6082.

New low, again Ellies 255

T40 -0.15% @ 47 036 7:59am, traded most to positive this week KIO, to neg SGL.
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #747 on: July 30, 2014, 08:27:55 am »
Moneypenny, do u have Ellies ?
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jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #748 on: July 30, 2014, 02:05:12 pm »
Uh-uh. 

You?
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #749 on: July 30, 2014, 02:52:05 pm »
Nope. SGL is stress enough thanks.
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jaDEB

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