Author Topic: Today's Outlook  (Read 840934 times)

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #555 on: February 25, 2014, 08:21:24 am »
Gold 1333 vs 1326      , $/R 10.83 vs 10.92    , Copper 7.13 vs 7.13 , Nickel 14.25 vs 14.20       , Oil 102.43 vs 102.50


GLEN.L

-0.74%   :whistle:



GLNCY

-0.89%  :whistle:



^DJI

+0.64%  :whistle:



HMY 

-0.30%    :mad:  :frustrated:  :frustrated:  :wall:

Asian share markets regained some altitude on Tuesday courtesy of a tailwind from Wall Street which sped to historic highs amid more mergers buzz, while gold consolidated its recent rally.
jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #556 on: February 25, 2014, 08:27:23 am »
T40 ended 42 880 (-0.17%), All Share 47394 (-0.12%), R/$  R10.86 , R/£  R18

IGM T40 -15 points @ 8:19.

New high Reinet, Sibanye, Glencore, new low Ellies, Tongaat, Santam.

No significant eco new for today except for 17:00 US Consumer Confidence.

Other side of the pond, US up Dow +0.64%, Nas +.69%, S&P +0.64%, futures negative.

Asia ends +1.4% , Topix end 1.2%.

Moonraker

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #557 on: February 25, 2014, 12:11:21 pm »
Fourth quarter GDP up by 3,8 per cent

The seasonally adjusted real gross domestic product (GDP) at market prices for the fourth quarter of 2013 increased at an annualised rate of 3,8 per cent. The main contributors to this increase in economic activity were the manufacturing industry (1,8 percentage points) and the mining and quarrying industry (0,8 of a percentage point).

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #558 on: February 26, 2014, 08:16:11 am »
Gold 1344 vs 1333     ;D  , $/R 10.72 vs 10.83  >:(   , Copper 7.12 vs 7.13 , Nickel 14.25 vs 14.25       , Oil 101.66 vs 102.43

0805.HK

-0.47%



GLEN.L

-0.74%



GLNCY

-1.16%



^DJI 

-0.17%



HMY

-0.60%

Asian stocks pared declines, with the benchmark index set for a first monthly gain since October, South Korea’s won strengthened and natural gas headed for its biggest three-day rout since 2007. The yuan traded near a seven-month low amid concern about financial stress in China
jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #559 on: February 26, 2014, 08:41:37 am »
Eco Calendar

SA Budget Speech, Gordon
11:30 GB GDP 2.8%  prev & exp
17:00 US New home sales

S&P closing -0.14% @ 1845, second failed break on S&P 500 (recent high 1850), prospect of pullback seems to be growing, Dow -0.17& & Nas -0.13%.

Nikkei ends -0.5% earlier, Topix -0.7%

Back home, ALSi -0.92%@ 46956, T40 -1.02% @ 42 442. 

T40: Short term sideways, volatility increasing, overbought, Support 42480, Resistance 43100

I’m looking for shorts on food retailers, (Pick nPay, Shoprite, Spar) & retailers in general (Fos, JD, MrP, Tru, Wool) but not Cfr, Shf & moving BGA to short watchlist, still shorting ACL since 17/2. What are you up to?

New high AECI, new lows Aveng & Santam.

Duals:

SHF:US  +10.80% (have to double check, seems odd)
OXV:GR  (SHF Stuttgart) +2.94%
TLKGY:US +1.66%
TENC:HK +0.87% (8:03)
CFR:US +0.30%
MT:NA (that’s Mittal in Amsterdam) -2.14%
BPH:AU -1.33%
GLNCY:US -1.16%
NPSNY -0.79%
BCS:US -0.46%
BARC:LN -0.42%

For the metal bugs out there, yes, talking to you jaDEB & yozzi:

Gold has near term support near $1308 with significant resistance at $1340-$1350.

Silver faces stiff resistance near $22 with near term support levels below $21.40 and $21.00.

Precious metals investors should be happy to see a further consolidation after the recent upside moves. Some cooling off in sentiment and working off a bit of the recent overbought condition in gold and silver will only serve to prepare the market for the next upside surge.

T40 +24 pips atm (8:15)
T40 +112 PIPS @ (8:35), idiots:

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #560 on: February 27, 2014, 09:00:09 am »
Gold 1327 vs 1344     :(   , $/R 10.83 vs 10.72     , Copper 7.09 vs 7.12 , Nickel 14.17 vs 14.25       , Oil 102.29 vs 101.66


HMY

-3.59%



0805.HK

-0.93%



GLEN.L

-1.24%



GLNCY

-1.00%


Asian shares struggled to find a solid footing on Thursday as escalating tensions in Ukraine sent investors scurrying to the safety of the dollar and U.S. Treasuries. Wall Street's failure to extend its rally above historical highs on Wednesday did not help soothe the anxiety that a wider conflagration in Ukraine could lead to more risk aversion and damage vulnerable emerging markets.
jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #561 on: February 27, 2014, 09:01:15 am »
Dow ended -0.12%, Nas -0.10%, S&P flat.

Asia mostly green (just), except Nikkei -0.32%

Rand weaker after Gordhan R1.3 trillion budget-2014 speech yesterday, R10.81/$.

Growth forecast 2.7%, deficit forecast cut to 4.0% of GDP from 4.1% (Oct13).

Eco Calendar:

Swiss GDP just came in at 1.7%, expected 2.0%, Spanish GDP @ 10:00, German unemployment rate @ 10:55 (prev & exp 6.8%)

11:30 SA PPI, prev 0.50%, exp 0.80%.
15:00 German CPI
15:30 US Continuing &  Jobless Claims & Core Durable Goods Orders
17:00 Fed Chair Yellen speaks

Dual:

BARC:Ln -1.84%
Tenc:HK +3.67%
SNHFY:US -0.13%
BHP:AU -0.52%
BB:US -0.34%
TCEHY:US -0.04%

New highs for Comair, Reinet, Steinhoff & new lows for Shoprite, Santam.

IGM T40 +201 pips atm (0.48%)

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #562 on: February 28, 2014, 08:37:03 am »
Gold 1333 vs 1327        , $/R 10.72 vs 10.83   8)   , Copper 7.11 vs 7.09 , Nickel 14.29 vs 14.17       , Oil 101.99 vs 102.29


0805.HK

-1.05%



HMY

-1.24%



GLEN.L

-0.05%



GLNCY

+0.37%

Asian stocks shook off their gains and headed south on Friday, as unrest in Ukraine offset comforting words from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen that markets took as confidence in the U.S. economy. The fear factor helped the yen rise against the dollar and euro on its traditional safe-haven appeal as tensions mounted in Ukraine, even after Yellen's testimony to a Senate committee helped the S&P 500 (.SPX) close at a record high
jaDEB

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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #563 on: March 03, 2014, 08:12:41 am »
Gold 1343 vs 1333        , $/R 10.81 vs 10.72      , Copper 7.04 vs 7.11 , Nickel 14.46 vs 14.29       , Oil 103.78 vs 101.99


GLNCY

-0.64%



0805.HK

-1.75%



HMY

+1.89%



GLEN.L

-0.15

China's services sector regained some momentum in February but its manufacturing sector struggled, separate surveys showed on Monday, with the divergence adding to the difficulty in assessing the strength of the economy at the start of 2014.
jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #564 on: March 03, 2014, 08:14:36 am »
So much happening today, it’s hard to keep track of it all.

Wall Street Cash already at -109.5 points atm (7:52am) and consider if you would, it just turned Monday morning over there.  FTSE -53 points atm and gold @ 1343, that says something.

Putin authorised by law-makers to employ military, Ukraine’s military on full alert, Russia on its way to be kicked out of the G8 and US threatens Russia. We have the Oscars and Oscar, an earthquake and an erupting volcano but those seem to take a back-seat considering the bigger picture today.

In Asia this morning Nikkei -1.52% thus far, Hang Seng -0.83%, Shanghai +0.67%, Singapore -0.89%.  US futures -0.57%, -0.73%.

Eco Calendar:
15:53 German PMI
11:28 GP PMI
16:00 EU Draghi
17:00 US PMI

Back home, February was SA’s biggest monthly gain for markets since July last year eding 47 328 & 42 771.  New highs for Old Mutual, Mondi, Adaptit, Steinhoff, Clover, Pallinghurst & new lows for JDGroup, Tiger Brands & Tongaat.

IGM T40 -64 pips atm.

Duals:

NPS:NY -2.91%
700HK Tenc -1.77%
BHP:AU -2.55%


Edit:  9:25am

Russia's MICEX market drops -8%.   Hikes rates from 5.5% to 7% as ruble plunges.


« Last Edit: March 03, 2014, 09:28:40 am by Moneypenny »

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #565 on: March 04, 2014, 08:17:18 am »
Gold 1342 vs 1343        , $/R 10.86 vs 10.81      , Copper 7.04 vs 7.04 , Nickel 14.50 vs 14.46       , Oil 104.74 vs 103.78


GLNCY

-0.46%



GLEN.L

-0.91%



0805.HK

-1.52%



HMY

+1.23%


factory activity rebounded last month from an eight-month low and consumer spending increased more than expected in January, suggesting the economy was regaining some strength after abruptly slowing in recent months. The signs of a comeback, also evident in a surprise gain in construction spending, should bolster the Federal Reserve's resolve to keep scaling back its massive monetary stimulus

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #566 on: March 04, 2014, 08:22:13 am »
Yesterday’s European close: FTSE -1.49%, DAX -3.44%, CAC -2.66%, FTSE MIB -3.34%, IBEX -2.33%, Stoxx 600 -2.37%

SA T40 closed yesterday -0.45%, Alsi -0.40%

US last night DOW -0.94%, NAS -0.72%, S&P -0.72%

Just now Nikkei ended +0.5%, Topix +0.6%.

IGMT40 +167 (8:03) +332 (8:09)

Eco Calendar:
5:30 AUZ Leaving interest rate @ 2.50% as expected

Duals:
700:HK TC +2.57%
HMY:US +1.23%
BHP:AU  -0.11%
SNHF:US -0.13%
GLNCY:US -0.46%
TLKGY:US -1.11%
MT:NA ARCMIT -4.10%
NPSNY:US -2.62%
VOD:LN -2.19%
BCS:US -1.88%
BARC:LN -1.69%
CFRUY:US -1.12%

New high Sabvest, Mondi (plc) & new low WBHO and JDG.

Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #567 on: March 05, 2014, 09:02:00 am »
Theme for day is probably ‘stand-off’, obviously referring to Crimea abroad and platinum producers locally.

US ended +1.41%, +1.75%, +1.53%, futures negative atm.

Nikkei closed +1.2% , Topix +0.7% just now.  Still going, HangSeng -0.36%, Shanghai -0.80%, Sensex flat.

IGM T40 -11 pips @ 8:46

Eco Calendar:
02:30 AUS GDP came it at 2.8%, expected 2.5%
11:28 GB Services PMI
12:00 EUR GDP
15:15 US Nonfarm
17:00 ISM Non-manufacturing PMI

New highs Sabvest, Sappi, Grandparade, Bats, Mondi (both) Sasol, Old Mutual, Steinhoff.

New low Aveng, JDG, CAT

Dual:
NPSNY:US +4.41%
VOD:LN +2.24%
BARC:LN +1.98*
TENC:HK +1.88%
CFR:VX +1.68%
GLN:US +1.66
HMY:US -1.83%
TLKGY:US -1.11%
BHP:AU +1.18%

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #568 on: March 05, 2014, 10:08:31 am »
Gold 1335 vs 1342        , $/R 10.76 vs 10.86      , Copper 7.12 vs 7.04 , Nickel 15.15  :TU: vs 14.50       , Oil 103.30 vs 104.74


GLNCY 

+1.66%



GLEN.L

+1.72%



0805.HK

+0.36%



HMY

-1.83%

Asian stocks jumped and the safe-haven yen licked its wounds after a sharp tumble on Wednesday, following remarks from Russian President Vladimir Putin that allayed fears of an imminent military conflict in Ukraine, and revived investor risk appetite. Putin said Russia reserved the right to use all options to protect compatriots who were living in "terror" in Ukraine, but that force was not needed for now
jaDEB

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Moonraker

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #569 on: March 05, 2014, 04:30:48 pm »
Companies added fewer workers than projected in February, a sign that U.S. employers were waiting for a pickup in demand before boosting headcount, a private report based on payrolls showed today.

The 139,000 increase in employment followed a revised 127,000 gain in January that was weaker than initially reported, the weakest two months since August-September 2012, according to the ADP Research Institute in Roseland, New Jersey. The median forecast of 39 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 155,000 advance.