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Author Topic: Today's Outlook  (Read 840916 times)

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #525 on: February 07, 2014, 08:32:36 am »
Gold 1260 vs 1257 , $/R 11.03 vs 11.12 , Copper 7.20 vs 7.11        , Nickel 13.95 vs 13.79     , Oil 97.68 vs 97.57

GLNCY +3.2%      :TU:

Asian shares regained a measure of stability on Friday, stepping further away from five-month lows after a strong rally on Wall Street and hopeful signs the upcoming U.S. payroll report could put some global growth concerns to rest.
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jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #526 on: February 07, 2014, 03:36:48 pm »
Nonfarm Payroll, exp 185K, actual 113K  Oeps!
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Moonraker

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #527 on: February 07, 2014, 03:50:12 pm »
 The S&P 500 futures fell to lows following a below-consensus nonfarm payrolls report. Futures on the S&P 500 currently trade nine points below fair value.

January nonfarm payrolls came in at 113,000 while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 175,000. Nonfarm private payrolls added 142,000 against the 161,000 expected by the consensus. The unemployment rate fell to 6.6% while the consensus expected a reading of 6.7%.

Hourly earnings increased 0.2%, in-line with expectations. The average workweek was reported at 34.4 against the 34.5 expected by the consensus.

2/7/2014 8:00:13 AM ET

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Orca

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #528 on: February 07, 2014, 05:09:27 pm »
The markets like it. :) The unusual cold weather in January seems to be the culprit.
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #529 on: February 10, 2014, 08:10:46 am »
Gold 1269 vs 1260  8), $/R 11.05 vs 11.03 , Copper 7.20 vs 7.20        , Nickel 14.17 vs 13.95   ^-^   , Oil 99.73 vs 97.68

GLNCY

+1.61%   ^-^

Most Asian markets made guarded gains on Monday, encouraged that Wall Street was able to weather a seemingly disappointing U.S. jobs report, though there was more than enough event risk ahead to keep investors cautious. Crucially, the new head of the Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen, delivers her first testimony to the House on Tuesday and the Senate on Thursday, and markets will be hoping for reassurance that policy will stay loose for a long time to come.
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jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #530 on: February 10, 2014, 08:49:00 am »
US ditched weak US jobs report as jaDEB said in favour of higher markets with Dow up +1.1%, S&P + 1.3%, Nas +1.7%. Don’t know ‘about you but something feels off here, this doesn't bode well for me thus only focusing on shorts afters spikes atm; especially considering trading volume in US wasn't up to usual averages (6.09 billion shares traded, January average 6.94 billion). Call me a cynic, but I think we're in for a down week.

Alsi  up Friday to 45 340 (+0.79%) & T40 40 777 @ +0.77%.

Not much happening on eco reporting today.

Duals: 700HK +1.81% BHP:AU +1.41%, US futures flat, IGM +148 pips
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #531 on: February 11, 2014, 08:06:07 am »
Gold 1283 vs 1269  ;D  8)  ::)  :-*  :TU: , $/R 11.11 vs 11.05 , Copper 7.12 vs 7.20        , Nickel 14.02 vs 14.17      , Oil 100.09 vs 99.73


HMY

+4.81%



GLNCY

-0.47%

Asian shares firmed and gold prices hit a three-month high on Tuesday as investors wagered the new head of the U.S. Federal Reserve would navigate her first testimony to Congress without rocking the boat for markets. Fed Chair Janet Yellen appears before the House Financial Services Committee at 1500 GMT and will likely face questions on the state of the labor market and the future pace of tapering. "The market is more ready to be relieved than to cheer…
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jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #532 on: February 11, 2014, 08:51:47 am »
Eco Calendar:
11:30 SA unemployment rate, prev 24.70%
17:00 US, brand spanking new Fed Chair Janet Yellen testifies

IGT40 +57 atm
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #533 on: February 12, 2014, 08:01:34 am »
Gold 1285 vs 1283 , $/R 10.95 vs 11.11 , Copper 7.16 vs 7.12        , Nickel 14.23 vs 14.02      , Oil 100.43 vs 100.09


HMY

+9.19%   ;D



GLNCY

+2.90%  8)

Asian shares rallied for a fourth straight session on Wednesday, as upbeat trade data from China and an optimistic economic outlook from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen whetted investors' appetite for risk. Investors took heart from the strong performance on Wall Street and lifted MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan about 0.8 percent. Australia's main index added 0.7 percent

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jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #534 on: February 12, 2014, 08:52:59 am »
Hallo Harmony

Yellen indicated Fed will keep slashing bond purchases as all signs show economy is back on track, for now.  US ended with DJ +1.22%, S&P + 1.11% & Nas +1.03%.

Dual:
BAR:LC -3.75%
700HK +1.42%
SNHFY:US +2.05%
BHP:AU +1.78%
BBL:US +2.7%
TCEHY:US +1.14%
NPSN:US +1.55%

Back home SA jobless rate down to 24.1% in Q4 from 24.5% (Q3). Today YoY Retail sales exp 2.7%.

New highs for Comair, Steinhoff, Atlatsa, Clientele, Richemont, Capco & new lows for Abil (935) Imperial (16015), Truworths (6700), Astral (8270), TFG (8665)

Eco Calender:
04:00 CNY Chinese Trade balance, exp 23.65B, actual 31.86B
12:30 GB   Inflation Report
13:00 SA   Retail sales YoY
17:30 ECB Draghi Speaks
 
IGM T40 +262 pips atm
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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #535 on: February 12, 2014, 01:33:49 pm »
HAR has been on an overall steady decline since 2012.  On the other had it has also been up 17% in the last 30 days which might have you thinking that maybe the tide has turned.
It was last doing okay-ish Feb 2009 @ 13285 but in June the same year it was @ 6870, July’09 to Nov’11 back to 10402 and then again Dec’11 (11400) to Dec’13 (2378) down hard.

2009:   -41%
2010:    +9.51%
2011:    +14.46%
2012:    -24.74%
2013:    -53.43%

For me personally, a good one to play with but not considering it as a LT-buy atm.  Not until at least second half of this year when a second look might be more appropriate. 
The good news for those who like this one is:  that’s just one opinion and it happens to be mine so don’t fuss and do your own thing. ;D
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jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #536 on: February 13, 2014, 06:42:24 am »
Gold 1290 vs 1285  :), $/R 11.05 vs 10.95 , Copper 7.16 vs 7.16        , Nickel 14.37 vs 14.23    :)   , Oil 99.84 vs 100.43


HMY

-2.91%   :frustrated:



GLNCY

+1.91%   ;D

Asian markets held steady near three-week highs on Thursday, as investors were cautiously optimistic after upbeat trade data from China eased concerns over the global economy and helped take some of the sting off the recent emerging markets turmoil
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jaDEB

If it scares you, it's a sign you need to do it

jaDEB

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #537 on: February 14, 2014, 06:55:12 am »
Gold 1304 vs 1290  ;) , $/R 11.00 vs 11.05 , Copper 7.17 vs 7.16        , Nickel 14.16 vs 14.37       , Oil 100.22 vs 99.84


HMY

+3.00%   8)



GLNCY

-1.96%   :wall:

Asian shares rose on Friday while the U.S. dollar struggled to regain traction after downbeat U.S. economic data pushed it to a nearly three-week low against the euro.
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jaDEB

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Moneypenny

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #538 on: February 14, 2014, 09:00:29 am »
Chinese CPI earlier constant @ 2.5% YoY, French GDP QoQ  better than expected @ 0.3% (prev 0.2%).  German GDP @ 9:00 & Euro GDP @ 12:00.

US ended +0.40%, +0.95% & +0.59% respectively and in Asia Nikkei closed -1.5% earlier this morning with Topix @ +1.3.
 
Gold rises to highest level since Nov’13, IGM T40 @ + 302  atm.

New highs yesterday for Reinet, Sibanye, Naspers, Billiton, Anglo, Glencore, Arm.

Results expected for Anglo (Dec final) & Implats (Dec interim) today.

And its Valentines today, be kind to those around you.
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Moonraker

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Re: Today's Outlook
« Reply #539 on: February 14, 2014, 10:48:55 am »
German gross domestic product rose 0.4 percent from the third quarter, when it increased by 0.3 percent, the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said today. It predicted an expansion of a quarter of a percent on Jan. 15, while economists forecast growth of 0.3 percent, according to a Bloomberg News survey. French GDP rose 0.3 percent after stagnating in the third quarter, more than the 0.2 percent economists predicted, while the Dutch economy grew 0.7 percent, compared with estimates for a 0.3 percent expansion.
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