R13.37/$ now!
Part of me is cursing my missed opportunity, but with the big picture it's not too bad. Half my money was in DIVTRX, it's still doing fine, the other half was in STXIND which has been hit by the strong rand. I also remember how I felt last year after Nenegate. I was so down in the dumps, I thought if only I could've sold yesterday... if it ever gets back to those levels I'm out of here. That level was R14.50, I moved my money at R14.30, so I can't really complain. Dawie Roodt also said he'd buy $ at R14.50 and buy rand at R16.50. He's an expert. Apparently.
Now what's changed. Let's see, the JSE has owned up to making a massive screw up. There's no record inflows, it was all a computer error. The reserve bank has said growth won't be 0.6% anymore, it's now 0% yet the rand gets stronger
The only thing I can confirm, is that nobody has the faintest clue what is going to happen going forward. Junk status in December? Possibly? Probably? Who will win the fight for control of the ANC, Cyril? Or maybe Zuma will get even stronger and get rid of the Gauteng leadership ensuring that he can pick his successor, or even keep his seat as ANC president.
I'll stick with the statistics in my investing. You can't pick shares and beat an index. You can't pick an economy and beat the global average. The rand should depreciate by the inflation rate differential.
I'm sad I didn't move my money at the bottom, but I still earn in Rand, so I'll be using the stronger rand to keep investing in my low cost global fund. The Rand has just given me a raise in dollars to do that with.