Author Topic: STXIND vs DIVTRX  (Read 48274 times)

Fawkes85

  • Guest
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #30 on: December 17, 2015, 07:58:30 am »
The VWRD has averaged a mere 10% pa.
True, but it is 10% in Dollar terms, which means it's a lot more in Rand terms.

And also less at the mercy of Zuma and Malema.

Orca

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2280
  • Karma: +54/-3
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #31 on: December 17, 2015, 12:09:43 pm »
The VWRD has averaged a mere 10% pa.
True, but it is 10% in Dollar terms, which means it's a lot more in Rand terms.

Lets work it out with the exchange rate then.

More accurately, VWRD has gained 40% in 5 years. That will average 8% pa.
The USD has doubled against the ZAR in 5 years looking at the NEWUSD chart.

When you factor that in, then according to the chart I posted, that would put VWRD at 80% or 16% pa.
All the others are above 100%.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Patrick

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2551
  • Karma: +47/-2
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #32 on: December 17, 2015, 03:27:22 pm »
It's actually done way better than that, in rand terms it's done 200% in 5 years if you include divvies. I think your calculation didn't take into account the fact that the dollar strengthening against the rand also compounds. A better way to compare would be to compare both funds in Rand. The closest to that would be to compare STXIND and DBXWD over a 5 year period:

As you can see, DBXWD wins, most likely because the rand is a big loser. VWRD should have the same performace as DBXWD, but pay 0.43% more in dividends. VWRD pays about 2% per year after taxes, while STXIND pays 1.4% before taxes, so about 1.2% after. That means that even though VWRD has outperformed, it would also have paid about 0.8% a year more in dividends.

Plus of course, VWRD is VERY diversified, 6000+ companies, so a far lower risk than STXIND which has just 25 companies, but a huge 40%+ in two companies, SAB and NPN. With VWRD the biggest holding I believe is apple at 1.8%.

I've done a lot of research into the best play for a non-US resident to put their money, and the bight sparks at bogleheads suggest VWRD almost without fail. I'm going to transition all my holdings into it as soon as I can without incurring a huge amount of fees and taxes.

Edit, just thought I'd try a $ denominated graph. Here's VWRD compared to the iShares MSCI South Africa ETF, basically the SA all share index over the last 4 years (VWRD is only 4 years old):

How miserable does that make you, that in $ terms, the JSE has lost 20% over the last 4 years.

One more graph comparing VT, the world index US citizens can buy (lowest cost but foreigners mustn't buy it) to the JSE all share, all available data:

Here you can see that during the commodities boom, from 2009 to 2013, South Africa outperformed the world by a fairly long way. But in 2013 that ended, anyone want to place money on SA outperforming the world in dollar terms again anytime soon?
« Last Edit: December 17, 2015, 03:44:39 pm by Patrick »

Orca

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2280
  • Karma: +54/-3
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #33 on: December 17, 2015, 10:18:50 pm »
We may have missed the boat as this chart of yours shows. Although it is a year old the ZAR seems to have dropped in value more aggressively than normal.
It is not the ZAR that has devalued as much but the USD has gained. You have to measure the currency against a basket of main currencies to reflect the correct gain or loss in value of a single currency.
The normal decline of the ZAR is 2.5% pa but the USD has made huge gains.
The NENEGATE saga will be short lived and I admit that it did do damage bur for how long?
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

indexer

  • I've just arrived
  • *
  • Posts: 25
  • Karma: +1/-0
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #34 on: December 18, 2015, 09:05:42 am »
@Patrick

In your post above you say: "One more graph comparing VT, the world index US citizens can buy (lowest cost but foreigners mustn't buy it)"

Why do you say foreigners mustn't buy VT? Are you referring to the estate tax implications?
(If you have a GlobeTax agreement in place, will VTI+VEU not give you an overall lower expense ratio?)

Also, how will you be buying your VWRD? (From a USD based account with Standard Bank WebTrader or Absa World Trader?)

Some links I have been reading:
https://www.irs.gov/Individuals/International-Taxpayers/Some-Nonresidents-with-U.S.-Assets-Must-File-Estate-Tax-Returns
http://www.turtleinvestor.net/faq-vanguard-ftse-world-ucits-etf-vwrd/
http://www.turtleinvestor.net/establishing-bogleheads-3-fund-portfolio-singapore/



« Last Edit: December 18, 2015, 09:08:43 am by indexer »

Patrick

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2551
  • Karma: +47/-2
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #35 on: December 18, 2015, 10:16:05 am »
@Patrick

In your post above you say: "One more graph comparing VT, the world index US citizens can buy (lowest cost but foreigners mustn't buy it)"

Why do you say foreigners mustn't buy VT? Are you referring to the estate tax implications?
(If you have a GlobeTax agreement in place, will VTI+VEU not give you an overall lower expense ratio?)

Also, how will you be buying your VWRD? (From a USD based account with Standard Bank WebTrader or Absa World Trader?)

Some links I have been reading:
https://www.irs.gov/Individuals/International-Taxpayers/Some-Nonresidents-with-U.S.-Assets-Must-File-Estate-Tax-Returns
http://www.turtleinvestor.net/faq-vanguard-ftse-world-ucits-etf-vwrd/
http://www.turtleinvestor.net/establishing-bogleheads-3-fund-portfolio-singapore/
Yes, it's the estate tax. If you are going to invest more than $60k in the US and you die, your family will have to pay huge taxes on the money. Also if you invest in the US you would pay 30% divvy tax. Our tax agreement will lower it to 15%, but if you're ever classed as a non-resident, it'll go back up to 30%. Or if you go to a country with a higher divvy tax rate, you'll pay that rate. With the Irish domiciled funds you'll never pay more than 15%, and currently it's 11%.

VTI and VEU would be low cost, but it's not a world index, just US and Europe. Also again, they're US domiciled so divvy tax as above applies.

I'm buying through interactive brokers. Their costs are the best I've found for a foreigner, particularly if you can keep $100k there, as then they drop the $10 a month minumum charge fee. ABSA wants a custodian fee, and I refuse to pay that anywhere! Also I quite like the idea that the money is out of reach of the SA government. I've opened an account, I'm just busy doing tax clearance etc, and looking for the cheapest way to move funds out of SA and into Dollars. Once I have it all figured out and successfully done then, I plan to do a blog post on it.

indexer

  • I've just arrived
  • *
  • Posts: 25
  • Karma: +1/-0
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #36 on: December 18, 2015, 10:21:06 am »
Thanks Patrick, I will be interested to hear what you think about https://exchange4free.co.za/.

I have done a few transfers and got better rates than through my bank. If you do R100k+ you don't pay any fees. They also cover the fees on the receiving end.

Patrick

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2551
  • Karma: +47/-2
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #37 on: December 18, 2015, 10:27:14 am »
Thanks Patrick, I will be interested to hear what you think about https://exchange4free.co.za/.

I have done a few transfers and got better rates than through my bank. If you do R100k+ you don't pay any fees. They also cover the fees on the receiving end.

They're one of the brokers I'm looking at. It seems all the brokers charge pretty much the same. There are no fees, but their rate is mid-market+1%, so in the end you still pay R10 000 per million. Interestingly, they all use mercantile in the background to do the transfer, so I'm trying to cut out the middle man by dealing with mercantile directly to see if it will lower my fees.

indexer

  • I've just arrived
  • *
  • Posts: 25
  • Karma: +1/-0
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #38 on: December 18, 2015, 02:01:06 pm »
Does it not become easier to hold your offshore shares in a trust rather than limiting yourself to non-us or Irish domiciled shares?



Orca

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2280
  • Karma: +54/-3
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #39 on: December 18, 2015, 03:33:45 pm »
Does it not become easier to hold your offshore shares in a trust rather than limiting yourself to non-us or Irish domiciled shares?
Trusts are taxed at a much higher rate than individuals and taxed from rand one.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Orca

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2280
  • Karma: +54/-3
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #40 on: December 19, 2015, 07:55:17 pm »
Think carefully before you just pile into VWRD. It has had zero returns over a 2 year period. Actually it was negative in USD terms and the gains you get is merely the exchange rate of the USD/ZAR.

The selloff of the ZAR was overdone so there is little prospects of it continuing to do so over time or even the near future. It may even correct.

The normal decline of the ZAR may persist at 2,5% pa and if the VWRD carries on with it's spectacular gains of next to nothing then that is all you will get. A mere 2,5% pa.

If your actions are politically motivated, then go ahead.

I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

indexer

  • I've just arrived
  • *
  • Posts: 25
  • Karma: +1/-0
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #41 on: December 23, 2015, 01:45:15 pm »
Regarding estate duty on US assets and using a US broker:

It appears that a cash balance in a US bank is not US situs, but a cash balance in a US brokerage is.

https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=150851

"The thing not to do is die after liquidating but before moving cash out of the broker. If you die before liquidating, and only hold non-US investments you are fine. At some point your heirs will have to liquidate and that means moving to a cash or sweep account, but at this point because you are already dead the US estate tax will be calculated on the non-liquidated stuff, which is by design non-US. If you die after liquidating and after moving cash from the broker to a bank (either US or non) you are also fine. It's just cash in a broker on date of death that causes issues."

JohnnyH

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 96
  • Karma: +0/-0
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #42 on: January 12, 2016, 02:43:30 pm »
Latest STXIND rebalancing :

Interesting to see the retail groups being added?

http://www.moneyweb.co.za/mny_sens/satrix-collective-investment-scheme-rebalancing-of-the-satrix-indi-portfolio-stxind-7/

STXIND 201601120019A

Rebalancing of the Satrix Indi Portfolio –  STXIND


SATRIX COLLECTIVE INVESTMENT SCHEME

SATRIX INDI PORTFOLIO

JSE code: STXIND

ISIN code: ZAE000036364

(‘Satrix Indi’ or the “ETF”)


A portfolio in the Satrix Collective Investment Scheme, registered

as such in terms of the Collective Investment Schemes Control Act,

45 of 2002


REBALANCING OF THE SATRIX INDI PORTFOLIO


Notice is hereby given that the quarterly review of the FTSE/JSE Indi Index

has resulted in a rebalancing of the Satrix Indi ETF Portfolio.


There have been changes to the Satrix Indi constituents,and the

constituent weightings.


The complete list of current constituents and their respective weightings

have been included in the table below:


                                                           Previous         New

Code         Share                                          weight        weight

     APN    Aspen Pharmacare Holdings Ltd                    2.39%      2.48%

     BTI    British American Tobacco plc                     5.60%      6.36%

     BVT    The Bidvest Group Ltd                            2.57%      2.67%

     CFR    Compagnie Financičre Richemont SA               13.28%     13.74%

     DST    Distell Group Ltd                                0.19%      0.18%

     IPL    Imperial Holdings Ltd                            0.71%      0.51%

     LHC    Life Healthcare Group Holdings Ltd               0.91%      0.87%

     MDC    Mediclinic International Ltd                     1.31%      1.47%

     MRP    Mr Price Group Ltd                               0.00%      1.15%

     MND    Mondi Ltd                                        0.85%      0.00%

     MNP    Mondi plc                                        2.63%      0.00%

     MPC    Mr Price Group Ltd                               1.20%      0.00%

     MTN    MTN Group Ltd                                    7.93%      6.14%

     NPN    Naspers Ltd                                     17.77%     22.67%

     NTC    Netcare Ltd                                      1.35%      1.26%

     PFG    Pioneer Food Group Ltd                           0.64%      0.52%

     PIK    Pick n Pay Stores Ltd                            0.00%      0.37%

     REM    Remgro Ltd                                       2.99%      3.03%

     SAB    SABMiller plc                                   18.39%     22.27%

     SHF    Steinhoff International Holdings                 5.02%      0.00%

     SHP    Shoprite Holdings Ltd                            1.73%      1.56%

     SNH    Steinhoff International Holdings N.V.            0.00%      4.98%

     SPP    The SPAR Group Ltd                               0.00%      0.81%

     SOL    Sasol Ltd                                        5.72%      0.00%

     TBS    Tiger Brands Ltd                                 1.21%      1.29%

     TFG    The Foschini Group Ltd                           0.74%      0.60%

     TKG    Telkom SA SOC Ltd                                0.52%      0.51%

     TRU    Truworths International Ltd                      0.95%      0.99%

     VOD    Vodacom Group Ltd                                1.15%      1.24%

     WHL    Woolworths Holdings Ltd                          2.25%      2.35%

                                                              100%       100%


The following constituents have been added to the Satrix Indi:


                                                      Previous        New

Code         Share                                     weight        weight

MRP           Mr Price Group Ltd                         0.00%          1.15%

PIK           Pick n Pay Stores Ltd                      0.00%          0.37%

SNH           Steinhoff International Holdings N.V.      0.00%          4.98%

SPP           The SPAR Group Ltd                         0.00%          0.81%


The following constituents have been removed from the Satrix Indi:


                                                      Previous         New

Code         Share                                     weight        weight

MND           Mondi Ltd                                 0.85%          0.00%

MNP           Mondi plc                                 2.63%          0.00%

MPC           Mr Price Group Ltd                        1.20%          0.00%

SHF           Steinhoff International Holdings          5.02%          0.00%

SOL           Sasol Ltd                                 5.72%          0.00%


These changes were applied after the close of business on 18 December 2015

and are effective from 21 December 2015.

Hamster

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 535
  • Karma: +13/-0
    • View Profile
    • Off Topic
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #43 on: January 19, 2016, 08:26:41 am »
Anybody know when DIVTRX is paying out again?

czc

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 118
  • Karma: +3/-0
    • View Profile
Re: STXIND vs DIVTRX
« Reply #44 on: January 19, 2016, 09:20:50 am »