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General Category => Shares => Topic started by: jaDEB on June 20, 2016, 10:08:14 am

Title: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 20, 2016, 10:08:14 am
Risky business

I am going to use this thread to look at risky investments, i.e. PPC, LON, MTN etc.. Please feel free to add.
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 20, 2016, 10:11:37 am
 :question:
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 21, 2016, 07:35:29 am
PPC - market value 4Bil, need to raise 4Bil (Rights issue)   :question:
MTN - Fine down to 1.6 Bil $, over 3 years, new CEO, Nigerian moola down 40% against dollar  :whistle:
LON - Just sold mine 114% up.  :TU:
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 21, 2016, 12:21:23 pm
LON Down to R38.

 South Africa's Amplats warns H1 profit to fall at least 20 pct

Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 21, 2016, 01:02:29 pm
BSI Steel
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 21, 2016, 03:13:29 pm
NUT
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: dividendtycoon on June 21, 2016, 03:48:12 pm
NUT
JOB..

Seriously though, I think this not even worth gambling money. NAV is 1.2c and it loss making...no real margin of safety.
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 21, 2016, 03:54:29 pm
Thanks, appreciate the advice. Just building up a list  ::) , was going to buy PPC Yesterday, but my broker is not in.... maybe a sign  :question:
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: dividendtycoon on June 21, 2016, 04:00:52 pm
Thanks, appreciate the advice. Just building up a list  ::) , was going to buy PPC Yesterday, but my broker is not in.... maybe a sign  :question:
Well, perhaps do some research anyway to convince yourself...I have not looked at it in detail, but a 1c share is normally 1c for a reason.. good luck with your others. I do not like PPC as a business, but could be a short term trading opportunity.
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 21, 2016, 04:11:44 pm
HLM
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: Mr_Dividend on June 22, 2016, 03:00:36 pm
I am also thinking about doing a little trading - but not looking at distressed companies - whole catching a falling knife thing - more looking at fairly liquid small caps that are very volatile.  Thinking some of the junior miners, CSG, GPL ect. Trying to catch 15 - 20% over a few weeks, sell, repeat. - But being prepared to hold for a few months and maybe having a SL at around 10% or so. 
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: dieWerner on June 22, 2016, 03:46:47 pm
NUT
BEG

Seems to be doing the same thing as NUT, one day 2c a share, next day 3 cents a share... buy @ 2c, tomorrow sell @ 3c...
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 22, 2016, 04:50:33 pm
BEIGE HOLDINGS LIMITED
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)
(Registration number 1997/006871/06)
(“Beige” or “the Group”)
ISIN Code: ZAE 000034161 Share code: BEG

UPDATE ON DELISTING AND RENEWAL OF CAUTIONARY ANNOUNCEMENT

Shareholders are referred to the cautionary announcement released on SENS on 13 May 2016
and are advised that the intended offer price is R0.03 per share. A firm intention
announcement containing the full details of the offer and scheme of arrangement will be
published once the offeror has obtained the required confirmation of funds.

Accordingly, shareholders are advised to continue to exercise caution when dealing in the
Group’s securities until such time that a full announcement is issued.

Johannesburg
22 June 2016
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 23, 2016, 11:21:06 am
KIO.
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: dieWerner on June 23, 2016, 03:44:11 pm
I know it's not on the JSE, but on the NYSE, but how about something like this:
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/NUGT:US
year to date return: 311.61%
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: dieWerner on June 23, 2016, 03:50:29 pm
and this one sitting @ YTD 424.38%
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/JNUG:US
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on June 23, 2016, 05:20:09 pm
OK, and the winner is drum roll ... .... ...

KIO  ... bought  @ , R90.38  :TU:   :-*
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on July 08, 2016, 02:45:43 pm
Thank goodness KIO won, if I took PPC would have been crying....
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on July 11, 2016, 02:00:48 pm
 :TU:

TRADING STATEMENT

Despite a tough trading environment, particularly in the local market which
has been impacted by depressed economic conditions and competition from
imports, and a slow first quarter in both domestic and export markets,
sales volumes for the six-month period ended 30 June 2016 have improved
considerably on growing production volumes.

The improved volumes and a significantly weaker Rand have assisted the
Company to remain cost competitive in the face of lower international
selling prices in general which have prevailed since the fourth quarter of
2015.

Consequently, shareholders are advised that Hulamin expects earnings per
share (“EPS”), headline earnings per share (“HEPS”) and normalised EPS for
the six months ended 30 June 2016 to be within the ranges shown below:


                      30 June 2016                30 June 2015
                      Expectation (cents) and     Reported (cents)
                      percentage increase
EPS                   46(92%) – 50(108%)          24
HEPS                  46(84%) - 50(100%)          25
Normalised EPS        46(77%) – 50(92%)           26


The financial information on which this trading statement is based has not
been reviewed and reported on by the Company's external auditors.

Hulamin's results for the six months ended 30 June 2016 are expected to be
released on the Stock Exchange News Service on or about 25 July 2016.

Pietermaritzburg
11 July 2016
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on August 15, 2016, 12:53:30 pm
uPDATED lIST: -

MTN
HLM
CCO
PPC
ACL
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on August 22, 2016, 03:25:42 pm
Sold KIO, Bought DRD
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on September 13, 2016, 05:03:52 pm
BSI Steel  :question:
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on March 08, 2017, 10:41:20 am
OK, bought/Sold
 
LON - Positive outcome
KIO - Positive outcome
DRD - Negative outcome

Currently have PPC - Positive


Looking at LON, but I think that might be foolish.....
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on March 13, 2017, 04:42:37 pm
LON

Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on April 28, 2017, 08:21:28 am
PPC vs ACL
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: gcr on April 28, 2017, 02:46:49 pm
Rather than risky - I would say that it was crazy not to get out of PPC in late 2014 at latest. In this instance charts tell you nothing of the impending disaster which actually started around 2011/2 with other producers muscling in on their turf and that they took forever to get their new CT factory up and running
Title: Re: Risky business
Post by: jaDEB on May 01, 2017, 09:14:10 pm
Agree, but I bought small qty at low price.... only 2% of port