Author Topic: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)  (Read 46427 times)

Fawkes85

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #45 on: January 04, 2016, 05:40:21 am »
Hey,

Monthly review time. As mentioned last month I did not plan on doing any buying until February or March since sending money back home every month was killing me with fees. It really sucked because TEX was trading at such a discount. Luckily though I did manage to scrape together some loose change in my SA accounts to capitalise on the situation a little bit and I ended up buying a coupla hundred TEX shares. That's all there is to tell.

Current portfolio makeup:

RPL: 53.55%

TEX: 44.18%

FDP: 2.11%

Cash: 0.16%

Performance(divs incl):

December: +8.49% :D

Since Inception:+1.17% :D

I know :) would be more appropriate for a mere 1.17% growth in 6 months but it's my first month that I am up from inception!!! Not even Zuma could stop my portfolio from ending the year on a positive!!!

Fawkes85

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #46 on: January 08, 2016, 05:32:59 am »
For those who question the dividend approach:

http://www.moneyweb.co.za/investing/dividends-both-saviour-and-villain-in-2015/

"It is also important to appreciate just how important dividends were in 2015. The FTSE/JSE All Share showed a dividend yield for the year of 3.17% and the S&P South Africa Composite a dividend yield of 3.28%. In both cases, these outstripped the capital gains on offer."

On the All Share Index dividends would have helped you get a return of 5.1% last year opposed to 1.9% for those who did not reinvest dividends. 7.5% to 4.2% on the Top40.

Not saying the dividend approach is superior. Just saying it has its merits.
« Last Edit: January 08, 2016, 05:35:06 am by Fawkes85 »

Mr_Dividend

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #47 on: January 08, 2016, 05:50:34 am »
Backtested: Well worth a look for the Divs vs. not camp.

http://www.easystockpicker.co.za/articles/EffectDY.php

To cut a long story short, it seems it doesn't really matter on average, over time.

Patrick

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #48 on: January 08, 2016, 07:42:59 am »
For those who question the dividend approach:

http://www.moneyweb.co.za/investing/dividends-both-saviour-and-villain-in-2015/

"It is also important to appreciate just how important dividends were in 2015. The FTSE/JSE All Share showed a dividend yield for the year of 3.17% and the S&P South Africa Composite a dividend yield of 3.28%. In both cases, these outstripped the capital gains on offer."

On the All Share Index dividends would have helped you get a return of 5.1% last year opposed to 1.9% for those who did not reinvest dividends. 7.5% to 4.2% on the Top40.

Not saying the dividend approach is superior. Just saying it has its merits.
Just don't calculate the $ growth for any of those, unless of course you want to cry...
Backtested: Well worth a look for the Divs vs. not camp.

http://www.easystockpicker.co.za/articles/EffectDY.php

To cut a long story short, it seems it doesn't really matter on average, over time.
Great read. That goes along with the global consensus too from my reading on bogleheads. Now knowing that, would the difference have you leave the security of dividend payments for a more tax beneficial capital growth situation?


Mr_Dividend

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #49 on: January 08, 2016, 08:29:49 am »
Quote
Great read. That goes along with the global consensus too from my reading on bogleheads. Now knowing that, would the difference have you leave the security of dividend payments for a more tax beneficial capital growth situation?

It's a tough one, but probably not for one simple reason. Once invested in the dividend method you never really worry about capital growth and having to time your selling, there is no selling. So it's pretty maintenance free and hands off. I like that. Sure, there are some tax advantages, at the same time - I have a fair amount in REITs which negates a lot of that. But not touching and messing with your portfolio is definitely a plus in my book.

Fawkes85

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #50 on: January 08, 2016, 08:43:43 am »
Quote
Great read. That goes along with the global consensus too from my reading on bogleheads. Now knowing that, would the difference have you leave the security of dividend payments for a more tax beneficial capital growth situation?

It's a tough one, but probably not for one simple reason. Once invested in the dividend method you never really worry about capital growth and having to time your selling, there is no selling. So it's pretty maintenance free and hands off. I like that. Sure, there are some tax advantages, at the same time - I have a fair amount in REITs which negates a lot of that. But not touching and messing with your portfolio is definitely a plus in my book.

I second that

gcr

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #51 on: January 08, 2016, 10:04:38 am »
Interesting thread this in the sense that the old adage "different strokes for different folks" I can't recall ever reinvesting dividends received on a given counter back into that same counter, other than some 20 years ago it was quite fashionable for a number of companies offering you an option to take your dividend in shares. However the companies soon learnt that it was a nightmare to control the share register and if a shareholder wished to sell out of a counter it was more difficult to sell odd lots rather than lots of 100's or 1000's.
I get about R 50,000 per annum in dividends and I use these funds to but additional shares or augment an existing holding of a particular counter. This methodology may not work for many, but it has worked for me, and, I have been involved in the JSE since 1967
So the reality is that you need to work out a play that suites your requirements - in my case dividend yields play little part in my particular investing strategy, I am more interested in capital growth over an extended period, the dividend is merely a bi product of that growth.
Further with dividends the first you know of when a dividend is going to be reduced or passed is when the sens comes out which is a bi annual event, so the share price could stagnate and it has an impact on the dividend, you have to then make a decision stay with the company and take the lesser dividend, and live with the stagnated price or sell out of the counter. It also seems that those companies which do reduce their dividends, it takes ages for them to get back to previous dividend payments so you could take strain on both fronts - lack of capital growth and slow or dismal dividend returns
Just my opinion on this matter
Not everything that counts, can be counted, and, not everything that can be counted counts - Albert Einstein

Orca

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #52 on: January 08, 2016, 10:46:26 am »
@Fawkes85. You and I don't pay tax on gains but we do pay tax on dividends so it will be more sensible to go for capital growth. Unless of course, you are taxed in Aussieland.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

JohnnyH

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #53 on: February 29, 2016, 03:41:55 pm »
@ Fawkes85

If you don't mind me asking in your thread, did you every have a look at Delta Property Fund?

I am looking at TEX & Tower. Looking for a cash generator of sorts, something that gives me money every year to invest in other growth stocks. Hoping to get ~10% div yield which seems possible.

This will make up 5% of my total portfolio, so I am happy with the risk.

Delta, on its current price has a ~13% yield. Maybe I should split it 70/30 TEX/Delta.

Comments please?

Fawkes85

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #54 on: February 29, 2016, 05:06:19 pm »
@ Fawkes85

If you don't mind me asking in your thread, did you every have a look at Delta Property Fund?

I am looking at TEX & Tower. Looking for a cash generator of sorts, something that gives me money every year to invest in other growth stocks. Hoping to get ~10% div yield which seems possible.

This will make up 5% of my total portfolio, so I am happy with the risk.

Delta, on its current price has a ~13% yield. Maybe I should split it 70/30 TEX/Delta.
Comments please?

After I selected TEX and RPL I didn't look at other REITs since I didn't want to continue just investing in the same sector. FDP is just a fun little gamble I am making. Not really an investment thus the reason it makes up such a small part of my portfolio. But I did look at Delta now that you mentioned it just for interest's sake and I don't like it. The P/E is in the minuses which is not normal and it is in the red on it's balance sheet. It is nonsensical for a company to pay high dividends when it is struggling to eke out a profit which it hasn't done since 2012, barely. As I have also said many, many times, I hate debt. I understand that I will never ever find a company that doesn't make/have any debt so I will only ever invest in a company that has it's debt under control. Delta does not. Again, why the high dividend then? I would rather they pay a lower dividend and service that debt. This all, to me personally, points to an irresponsible management team. I wouldn't invest in Delta.

I like TEX. It is very volatile stock but I think it is a good company. It is also expanding internationally which I like. Christo Wiese, who is no idiot when it comes to world of business and investing, gave TEX his vote of confidence when he took a considerable stake in the company which makes me feel comfortable with being invested in TEX.

JohnnyH

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #55 on: February 29, 2016, 05:33:47 pm »
@ Fawkes85

If you don't mind me asking in your thread, did you every have a look at Delta Property Fund?

I am looking at TEX & Tower. Looking for a cash generator of sorts, something that gives me money every year to invest in other growth stocks. Hoping to get ~10% div yield which seems possible.

This will make up 5% of my total portfolio, so I am happy with the risk.

Delta, on its current price has a ~13% yield. Maybe I should split it 70/30 TEX/Delta.
Comments please?

After I selected TEX and RPL I didn't look at other REITs since I didn't want to continue just investing in the same sector. FDP is just a fun little gamble I am making. Not really an investment thus the reason it makes up such a small part of my portfolio. But I did look at Delta now that you mentioned it just for interest's sake and I don't like it. The P/E is in the minuses which is not normal and it is in the red on it's balance sheet. It is nonsensical for a company to pay high dividends when it is struggling to eke out a profit which it hasn't done since 2012, barely. As I have also said many, many times, I hate debt. I understand that I will never ever find a company that doesn't make/have any debt so I will only ever invest in a company that has it's debt under control. Delta does not. Again, why the high dividend then? I would rather they pay a lower dividend and service that debt. This all, to me personally, points to an irresponsible management team. I wouldn't invest in Delta.

I like TEX. It is very volatile stock but I think it is a good company. It is also expanding internationally which I like. Christo Wiese, who is no idiot when it comes to world of business and investing, gave TEX his vote of confidence when he took a considerable stake in the company which makes me feel comfortable with being invested in TEX.

Thanks for the feedback. I did go through their balance sheet briefly as well. What made me think it could be "ok", is the fact that you can get the share at a ~33% discount to the NAV.

Anyway, I agree on the debt vs high div yield. I think I might split between TEX and possibly RDF ( Also currently looking fairly good, has a 7.7% div yield )

Mr_D suggested Tower as another option, but I have yet to look at them.

conradl

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #56 on: March 02, 2016, 06:43:57 am »
Interesting thread this in the sense that the old adage "different strokes for different folks" I can't recall ever reinvesting dividends received on a given counter back into that same counter, other than some 20 years ago it was quite fashionable for a number of companies offering you an option to take your dividend in shares. However the companies soon learnt that it was a nightmare to control the share register and if a shareholder wished to sell out of a counter it was more difficult to sell odd lots rather than lots of 100's or 1000's.
I get about R 50,000 per annum in dividends and I use these funds to but additional shares or augment an existing holding of a particular counter. This methodology may not work for many, but it has worked for me, and, I have been involved in the JSE since 1967
So the reality is that you need to work out a play that suites your requirements - in my case dividend yields play little part in my particular investing strategy, I am more interested in capital growth over an extended period, the dividend is merely a bi product of that growth.
Further with dividends the first you know of when a dividend is going to be reduced or passed is when the sens comes out which is a bi annual event, so the share price could stagnate and it has an impact on the dividend, you have to then make a decision stay with the company and take the lesser dividend, and live with the stagnated price or sell out of the counter. It also seems that those companies which do reduce their dividends, it takes ages for them to get back to previous dividend payments so you could take strain on both fronts - lack of capital growth and slow or dismal dividend returns
Just my opinion on this matter

gcr, seeing as you have been in the market for so long, and from your comments, do you think you have been better off chasing capital growth instead of dividends? Thus, did you have specific growth margins for your portfolio, ie 15-20% growth p.a over three years and then cycle the underperforming shares out?

gcr

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #57 on: March 02, 2016, 11:19:13 am »
Interesting thread this in the sense that the old adage "different strokes for different folks" I can't recall ever reinvesting dividends received on a given counter back into that same counter, other than some 20 years ago it was quite fashionable for a number of companies offering you an option to take your dividend in shares. However the companies soon learnt that it was a nightmare to control the share register and if a shareholder wished to sell out of a counter it was more difficult to sell odd lots rather than lots of 100's or 1000's.
I get about R 50,000 per annum in dividends and I use these funds to but additional shares or augment an existing holding of a particular counter. This methodology may not work for many, but it has worked for me, and, I have been involved in the JSE since 1967
So the reality is that you need to work out a play that suites your requirements - in my case dividend yields play little part in my particular investing strategy, I am more interested in capital growth over an extended period, the dividend is merely a bi product of that growth.
Further with dividends the first you know of when a dividend is going to be reduced or passed is when the sens comes out which is a bi annual event, so the share price could stagnate and it has an impact on the dividend, you have to then make a decision stay with the company and take the lesser dividend, and live with the stagnated price or sell out of the counter. It also seems that those companies which do reduce their dividends, it takes ages for them to get back to previous dividend payments so you could take strain on both fronts - lack of capital growth and slow or dismal dividend returns
Just my opinion on this matter

gcr, seeing as you have been in the market for so long, and from your comments, do you think you have been better off chasing capital growth instead of dividends? Thus, did you have specific growth margins for your portfolio, ie 15-20% growth p.a over three years and then cycle the underperforming shares out?
My buying of shares has never been based on dividend returns, only capital appreciation. Dividends earned are dropped into my trading account and then I buy shares which have either done well over the years, or if there is a counter that I wished to buy. The "better" shares will generally show reasonable capital growth and the dividend will increment with their better results. Also in the early days I used to commit 5% to higher risk shares - speculative if you like, however today 5% is too large a sum of funds so I now only commit 2% to these type of shares. In 2005 when I went on retirement I dabbled in installment shares, which limited losses but also achieved slower growth, but at least I could have a wider spread of shares in my portfolio. In those years I also used to sell off 80% of my holdings in a particular counter when the price had appreciated by 35%. These days those shares which have done exceptionally well for me - ADI, AVI, CLS, CSB, MRP, STXIND, WHL I still keep in my portfolio and add every now and again. Some shares CML, MSM, PIK, TAS have been disappointing over the last year or so but I do think they are big enough to return to their higher levels in the next 2 years so I hold them and buy up more every now and again
My objective is to have a portfolio value of R x millions by 2020 and currently I am 66% there so I am on track to achieve this objective. I currently have 2 speculative counters in my Portfolio AET and NUT the former is costing me money because I expect it to be liquidated so I will lose R 21,000, the latter is giving me a profit of R 14,850 but it fluctuates dropping to 1 cent every now and again (like yesterday) and has been as high as 4 cents last year but there is little likelihood that I could dump my holding on the market and they would probably be sold piecemeal so I am holding them.
So the way I operate in the market is different to some of the forum members - but you also need to have cast iron balls in this market. In 2007/8 my portfolio dropped by about R 600,000 in a month, which has now been fully recovered and then some. The last "crash" my portfolio dropped about R 225,000 in a week, but as of today I am about R 100,000 shy of my all time high for my portfolio
I am not a trader so don't sit with the same type of angst that they would and generally keep away from speculative shares and new listings     
Not everything that counts, can be counted, and, not everything that can be counted counts - Albert Einstein

conradl

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #58 on: March 03, 2016, 08:02:35 am »
Very insightful post. I like the way you think!

jaDEB

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Re: My Beginner's Portfolio Blog(Experiment)
« Reply #59 on: March 03, 2016, 08:58:25 am »
Very insightful post. I like the way you think!

Agree ...  :TU:
jaDEB

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