The short answer to a complicated question:
For me it all depends on two monetary policy decisions this week. First up, Wednesday 1 May @ 20:0 in the US with the FOMC statement (and the rest of the world on a public holiday so by the way
) and the very next day @14:30 the ECB with their policy decision. If markets don’t get some sort of a fix, it will get very ugly very quickly. I believe the downturn has already started after mid March highs and no fix will accelerate decline, thus a tussle between expectation vs. reality – expectation being stimulus and up, reality being well, reality and whatever that may be.
Exciting times, going to be a make or break week and I for one, looking forward to it.
As always, only one opinion - make up your own mind.