Author Topic: CML  (Read 285319 times)

Orca

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Re: CML
« Reply #285 on: June 17, 2015, 01:35:20 pm »
Actually not but only as I am already overweight with CML. I look at it this way. If the market does poorly then CML will follow suit as will most stocks anyway. Bad results in a bear market will drop her lower than the ALSI though but the divi makes up for that.

We have 3 months to go until her FY results and the ALSI has to gain 12% to equal her 2014 results according to my rough method. I cannot see this happening. Hopefully, she is pricing this in now.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Orca

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Re: CML
« Reply #286 on: June 17, 2015, 06:57:15 pm »
CML Bonus Pool Trust still continuing to buy shares in it's own company. Now totalling R250m. They must surely know something. That is a whack of a lot to pay out for management bonuses.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Orca

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Re: CML
« Reply #287 on: June 25, 2015, 04:10:34 pm »
Moneyweb stated yesterday that last year had a net Inflow of foreign cash into SA Managed Funds and this year it has a net Outflow.
CML's performance depends largely on foreign investments and this will surely hurt the stock price. As it is, the AUM had "plateaued"  last year already according to management.
For this reason, I sold all my CML shares.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Orca

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Re: CML
« Reply #288 on: June 29, 2015, 08:00:10 pm »
Over the past 7 years that I had been married to CML, I have often been accused of hyping the price up on jaDEB's "dark side" due to my persistence on what a great stock it was.  :LHST:
If so, Coronation should give me a "Golden Handshake" I think. Perhaps she tanked because I sold now.

Jokes aside. I have just found the next CML and have been researching it for some hours today.
She might have many similarities to CML on a smaller scale but is more diversified and exposed offshore.

Both depend largely on performance fees and AUM but CML more so. Both also had trading statements out at the same time for March end period and CML was due to weaker results and the other for better results. Reason being that this one is a Hedge Fund Manager and can make money in bear markets that CML cannot.

With a PE of 11x and a much lower AUM, she can only grow compared to CML that is saturated by now.

I noticed a very similar pattern with this one that CML had when she was a fledgling. CML never flinched at market downturns for years until now. She was immune to market corrections. With the recent market correction this one actually went up.Perhaps due to her being a Hedge Fund manager and a brokerage.

http://today.moneyweb.co.za/article?id=487734&acid=544awEI2280eZeuwhd4cWQ%3D%3D&adid=4g7MXQEPLhseZeuwhd4cWQ%3D%3D&date=2015-06-29#.VZD0ovlVikp





 


 
« Last Edit: June 29, 2015, 08:57:14 pm by Orca »
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Orca

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Re: CML
« Reply #289 on: June 29, 2015, 09:28:38 pm »
I love momentum stocks and compare them to my Indi benchmark. Here is a 2 year comparison. With that low PE of 11x, she can only be a winner.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Orca

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Re: CML
« Reply #290 on: June 29, 2015, 10:31:35 pm »
Hi Orca, did you do any research on the company CEO, Directors?

Yes I did as that is very crucial when investing LT. Most are highly schooled and experienced in hedge Funds. Plus the fact that they are all ugly and have thick glasses makes me feel more secure. Not flamboyant like Arthur Brown.
http://www.peregrine.co.za/AboutTheGroup/BoardofDirectors
« Last Edit: June 29, 2015, 10:52:30 pm by Orca »
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Mr_Dividend

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Re: CML
« Reply #291 on: November 10, 2015, 07:50:40 am »
Assets under management of R610 billion, up 3.7%

- Diluted headline earnings per share of 516.0 cents, down 9.7%

- Total dividend per share of 516.0 cents

Not a bad set of results - final divi of 270c - happy I did not sell, hopefully we will see a slight recovery on the cards.

Orca

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Re: CML
« Reply #292 on: November 10, 2015, 01:19:24 pm »
The selloff was overdone and she does look like a buy at these levels but I don't think she will shoot the lights out again.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Patrick

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Re: CML
« Reply #293 on: November 11, 2015, 04:19:39 pm »
http://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/companies-and-deals/coronation-has-been-a-better-investment-than-its-unit-trusts/

So Moneyweb agree with me. Don't buy a unit trust, buy the company providing them. Over time they make more money out of your unit trust than you do!

Fawkes85

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Re: CML
« Reply #294 on: November 11, 2015, 05:26:25 pm »
http://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/companies-and-deals/coronation-has-been-a-better-investment-than-its-unit-trusts/

So Moneyweb agree with me. Don't buy a unit trust, buy the company providing them. Over time they make more money out of your unit trust than you do!

Thought about that. But here is my worry. They make all their money from their fees. Especially from questionable fees like performance fees. This cannot last. Every day people are getting wiser to the rip off that is the fee systems of these companies. This can only lead to two things. One, people continue investing more money in ETFs and less in actively managed funds or, two, these companies will drastically have to decrease the fees they charge. Either way their bottom lines are going to be hit and they are going to be hit hard. So would you still go long on them?

Patrick

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Re: CML
« Reply #295 on: November 11, 2015, 06:50:48 pm »
I know, I've been out of there for some time now, but I still believe they'll outperform their own funds, especially with divvies included.

The evidence us resoundingly against actively managed funds, it's an industry set for a long slow decline.

JDP

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Re: CML
« Reply #296 on: November 11, 2015, 07:33:47 pm »
http://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/companies-and-deals/coronation-has-been-a-better-investment-than-its-unit-trusts/

So Moneyweb agree with me. Don't buy a unit trust, buy the company providing them. Over time they make more money out of your unit trust than you do!

Thought about that. But here is my worry. They make all their money from their fees. Especially from questionable fees like performance fees. This cannot last. Every day people are getting wiser to the rip off that is the fee systems of these companies. This can only lead to two things. One, people continue investing more money in ETFs and less in actively managed funds or, two, these companies will drastically have to decrease the fees they charge. Either way their bottom lines are going to be hit and they are going to be hit hard. So would you still go long on them?

This is why there will be a long slow decline, the amount of people taking control of there own money, in relation to those that are happy to hand it of to someone else in the "hope" that they will
be better at it than themselves, will for a very long time lean towards the latter. For no other reason than laziness and/or a "cannot be bothered" lifestyle.

Orca

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Re: CML
« Reply #297 on: November 11, 2015, 11:01:22 pm »
All my family and friends have UT's because they do not know how to invest directly on the JSE.
My Boet is with Allan Gray and I sure bet he is wondering how I managed to retire early and comfortably. This must have been a great surprise to him as he always thought I was a washout with no prospects for the future.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Fawkes85

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Re: CML
« Reply #298 on: November 12, 2015, 07:11:38 am »
I get what you all are saying but I think that is slowly changing. The younger generations are very nifty at using the internet and doing things themselves. I think people of my generation will take more control of their savings and investments compared with previous generations just simply because we have more tools available to us.

Mr_Dividend

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Re: CML
« Reply #299 on: November 12, 2015, 09:42:40 am »
I get what you all are saying but I think that is slowly changing. The younger generations are very nifty at using the internet and doing things themselves. I think people of my generation will take more control of their savings and investments compared with previous generations just simply because we have more tools available to us.

Very few people actually save themselves - most rely on the companies retirement fund which generally make use of unit trusts/funds. Then people that do save themselves usually do so in an RA and the has to be sec 28 compliant. So there is very little left over for investing directly into ETF, that said, there is a swing towards them - but small compared to the overall picture.