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Messages - gcr

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376
Shares / Re: Stock picks 2017
« on: December 08, 2016, 07:28:03 pm »
Stock picks for 2017
AVI
BID
CLS
CSB
DSY
PIK
PSG
RFG
STX40
TRU
WHL

If Zuma goes earlier than anticipated it will provide a huge lift to our economy and manufacturers will be at the front of the charge and retailers will rise with the tide
Should be a very year for our markets - if we stay as we are in terms of policy then we will suffer a downgrading, but if the anti Zuma clique in the ANC take hold we could have meaningful growth.
It is regrettable that our economy is so significantly influenced by our political mayhem


377
Off topic / Re: How can i build credit in SA with foreign income? Ideas??
« on: December 08, 2016, 12:09:56 am »
MC - I think that is a matter of opinion and what your current debt is. I would never use my capital to buy a big ticket item (house or car) use the banks money, but manage you repayments/interest rate/ additional deposits. My view is that once you erode your capital to pay for these items you seldom have the discipline to build the capital back up again

The idea that debt is good is unfortunately a myth that is very prevalent in our society planted in our brains by clever marketing people who want to sell us stuff even if we don't have the money to buy it right now...

There are in fact several benefits to NOT having debt:

1. If you don't have a massive car payment and a massive house payment it is very EASY to build up capital.
2. Debt is the PRODUCT that banks sell and I don't like supporting banks.
3. Less stress, because you don't need to make those massive payments every bloody month.
4. You can retire earlier if you don't have a house and/or car payments. Invested capital gives 4% (trinity studies), but house (-10%) and car loans (-13%).
5. You need a smaller emergency fund, so less money needed in cash where it is not earning much.
6. You will tend to spend less if you buy cash. Spending cash hurts. This is why most beemers are bought with loans...
7. If you buy cash you can negotiate a better price than with a loan.
8. Less homework. Car loan statements and doing the payments is not fun.

MC - all your points are brutally practical and have merit, but, there are a few real live experiences that a young person faces when fleeing the nest of the parents. They get themselves a job with the aim of accumulating capital to buy the 1st house/car - they have to have a roof over their head so the choices are remain at home and pay rent or get a place and pay rent. These rent payments have a tendency to decrease the capital saved. I suppose if you live like a Trappist monk you may be able to save your fun capital. Salaries are pretty poor when you start work only really incrementing when you gain experience, knowledge and improve your educational levels. I wonder how long it would take a new employee to accumulate sufficient funds to meet the cash requirements of a flat or second hand car as a starter pack in life, You seem to have an aversion to banks and their policies on lending but having been in banking for 40 years there are two sides to an equation - the people over borrow have themselves to blame as they are not exercising any for of money management or prudence.
Anyway don't want to hijack this thread too much, lets just leave it that we have differing opinion on debt and the use/non use of it as a financial management process 

378
Off topic / Re: How can i build credit in SA with foreign income? Ideas??
« on: December 07, 2016, 07:19:21 pm »
MC - I think that is a matter of opinion and what your current debt is. I would never use my capital to buy a big ticket item (house or car) use the banks money, but manage you repayments/interest rate/ additional deposits. My view is that once you erode your capital to pay for these items you seldom have the discipline to build the capital back up again

379
Shares / Re: Good time to take R out to $ ?
« on: December 06, 2016, 05:11:36 pm »
There are a few things which could alter the exchange rate quite a bit:- Zuma getting recalled due to his 783 charges being instituted, the Con Court making a ruling on the PP's State of Capture report. Zuma being replaced by another next December at the ANC convention and very dependent on who it is, the ratings agencies seeing no improvement in the political situation by next year and then downgrading the country

380
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: December 02, 2016, 07:35:40 pm »
I see Angelique de Rauville has resigned as acting CEO of Texton but has now also resigned from all board positions - Nic Morris is now confirmed as the new CEO. Some on this forum follow Texton and have invested in the company. Was this a palace revolt, as I thought that she started this company many years back - could be mistaken. Can anybody who knows, clear up what happened here, she has family that operate other companies as far as I know

381
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: December 01, 2016, 02:26:07 pm »
A dog can hear sounds that are 100 times fainter than the faintest sounds that a person can hear. If a person can just hear a noise that is coming from 10 feet away, a dog could hear that same noise from 100 feet away
Well I don't know whether that is true or not - my wife heard me and was waiting at the front door when I came home in the early hours of the morning, and I know I tried to be like a ghost :LHST:

382
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: November 30, 2016, 02:20:43 pm »
What a lot of hogwash !
http://www.fin24.com/Economy/Eskom/brian-molefes-new-mission-to-defeat-white-dominated-economy-20161130
Same stupid mission he applied when he was head of PIC - seems like this guy has a chip on his shoulder which he is unable to rid himself of

383
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: November 29, 2016, 06:28:37 pm »
Why are UK taxi roof's so high?
To keep passengers above the waterline on mud island no doubt

384
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: November 24, 2016, 11:45:05 am »
GCR - it really depends what they do with the money. Since listing, RFG as been highly acquisitive, using listing money as well as debt. I understand there are more acquisitions on the horizon money will have to come from somewhere. I have no problem as long as management use capital wisely and will be watching EPS closely. It's not like they using this money to did them out of a hole, as many issues are.
Concur with your views but I am merely lamenting the fact that I as a private shareholder didn't get the opportunity to take up additional shares, which I could have done. Anyway I can now buy at less than R 26.50 as they have fallen back to R 26.38 (11:43:25) :TU: 

385
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: November 24, 2016, 09:51:20 am »
Don't know how many forumites hold Rhodes Food Group (RFG), but I do - not a lot 1,500. The company announced a book build exercise this week where they were offering up 25 million shares to institutional investors, but, not to ordinary shareholders. Today they announced the successful placement of all shares at an agreed price of R 26.50 being a 2.3% discount to the 30 day weighted average price. These shares will now rank alongside the ordinary shares and will enjoy any dividends going forward.
I find these types of book build exercises most disingenuous given that ordinary shareholders can't apply in the first instance, secondly the allocation is done at a discount, and thirdly they will enjoy dividends like the excluded shareholders all from a smaller pot of dividend funds. To my mind the shares should have been taken up at a premium so that the ordinary shareholders are compensated in a sense for lose of dividend value.
But hey I suppose that's how the big businesses roll these days - screw the smaller shareholders. This does have a downside of course in that the JSE will not be able to encourage small investors to invest in the JSE boards - in fact our private individual investment in the bourse is nowhere near what the private investment is in say the NYSE, or even the LSE
Just my thoughts on a ticklish issue   

386
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: November 23, 2016, 06:45:53 pm »
The graph of the ALSI started dropping quite dramatically from about 2.30 p.m. today. From about midday today the R/$ exchange rate started deteriorating quite significantly. Zuma was in parliament this afternoon from 3.00 p.m. answering questions but most of the answers have been non answers (typical avoidance and the blame game yet again). They say the market know everything so I think there is a downgrade coming on our ratings but not to junk. Also tomorrow is Thanks Giving in US of A so their markets will be closed.
I think our JSE's poor performance may be as a result of a combination of the above factors and probably another bunch of unknowns

387
Shares / Re: My retirement blog.
« on: November 23, 2016, 12:41:52 am »
Orca - all strength to you and your wife, and, may she recover shortly. Must be very distressing to your whole family - Graham

388
Off topic / Re: Holidays - Show us what you did
« on: November 22, 2016, 09:31:14 am »
When up in Namibia I frequently travelled the road between Windhoek, Swakopmund and Walvis Bay and without exception on all of the trips to Swakopmund and back you often had to slow down whilst the "hogs" crossed the national road with their tails erect as they ran across the road with the "tribe". Fascinating to see them in the open habitat

389
Shares / Re: STXIND ... any thoughts
« on: November 21, 2016, 07:02:04 pm »
I bought most of my STXIND in June 2013 (I sold out of the DIVI as it was going nowhere) and to date have shown a price improvement of 41%. I have a view that if the economy is to improve it will happen firstly in the retail sector, then followed by the industry/manufacturers who will have to ramp up product to meets sales demands. However I am also mindful of new car sales as this is also an indicator (when volumes increase) that the economy is on the mend - currently new car sales are still in the doldrums so I can't see the economy improving in the short term. And of course the political set up is not very encouraging at present, if Zuma had to go soon then we may see a substantial turn around in our economy, and we may see different trading partnerships being developed as is happening in Brazil currently

390
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: November 10, 2016, 10:40:01 am »
Kinda disappointed that shares didn't fall more.
Why - my shares were devalued by R 102,000 on opening this morning and the Rand pulled back all of 44 cents
Well that was 2 days of most interesting share price movements
So have recovered all my paper losses and things look like they are back to normal - if that's possible these days

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