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Messages - gcr

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331
Off topic / Re: Wanted - a detailed Retirement Calculator
« on: March 05, 2017, 11:00:15 pm »
Time2Retire - the most important pointer I could give you is to take stock of your financial standing right at this point in your career - thus list salary, benefits, special awards, and bonuses (shares or cash), R.A's, Mutual funds, Life Policies, endowments (if you have any), leave accumulated, retrenchment package that the company may offer if retiring at 55, any penalties if you exit your pension fund early etc.
List all these income streams, plus any longer term liabilities that may be in play beyond your retirement horizon age.

I would create a spreadsheet of all your income streams salary and allowances for cast at 3% growth to age of retirement. Then determine from your HR department what portions of your salary package fall away upon retirement and what is your likely pension payout as a percentage of your gross income. If you get anything above 70% as a percentage and that they will give you an annual increase at the CPI rate whilst in retirement, then you will live comfortably. If you have wealth beyond this and you invest judiciously you will survive quite handsomely in your later years which is why you need capital and investments beyond a stable pension program.
I can't see a financial calculator working out whether you can or can't retire at a given age that is totally dependent on present salary what you lose from that gross salary and what your liabilities are currently and how quickly you can liquidate such liabilities. Also as a warning never cash in a portion of your pension to liquidate your liabilities as you will never regain that capital and all future CPI awards will be based on a lower pensionable income. If you have a bond extend its repayment end date - mine is to age 75 and I use it to purchase shares, or to do large property maintenance and repairs, and/or  my latest to settle the balloon payment on my car loan.
My advice be creative in using you finances - I turn 70 this year so nobody is going to employ me so I can't generate a new income stream unless I turn my hobby into a business which I have no intention of doing - I retired at 58 and am thoroughly enjoying myself
So best advise do you own sums and underestimate your returns on the income side and overstate the interest rates on the liabilities side of your calculations - some like to call it worst case scenario     

332
Shares / Re: What happened to all the 20, 25 & 30%+ stocks?
« on: February 28, 2017, 12:27:23 pm »
KAP, RLF, AXL all served me pretty good. But yes since Zuma and Gupta everything went to shiat. pretty much everything till November 2016.

DbxJP fcked.
dbxwd fcked.
STXIND fcked.
Stick with your STXIND and DBXWD both are long term investments - the old adage time in the market, not timing the market needs to be heeded - on my INDI I am still up 45% - and simply if this economy is to improve then the INDI will be the first to improve. The DBXWD is your backstop - if Zuma and his corrupt cadres bullet Gordhan then the Rand will see its ar%$ and you will be thankful for being in this DBX - I too am taking some pain on DBXWD but only .6% at present so can sit out the volatility

So play the long game
You really reckon Indi is the place to be over NFEMOM or CTOP50? Feels like we shifted back to resources being the best place to be (I use that term very very loosely)
I don't hold any resources shares as my take on sunny RSA is that as soon as we get improved prices on resources we end up with strikes and all sorts of delays in actually getting the ore out of the ground. The government has mouthed off about beneficiation for years and gets no closer to doing anything in this direction as it is just not viable as labour costs are exorbitant and we have a lazy workforce who find more satisfaction in striking than in doing an honest days work. So in reality (my opinion) resources will not be the countries saviour and we need to look elsewhere, also with the latest tax disincentives who will really want to take on investment risk.   
Fair enough. But that's the reason I don't like sector ETFs like INDI or RESI. I prefer those that "auto adjust". Latest SENS update showed NFEMOM dropping a couple of resource shares (and Clicks altogether btw...Was the largest constituent before that).
Certainly curious about the dropping of Clicks as I'm showing 172.9% share price growth since purchasing in 2011

333
Shares / Re: What happened to all the 20, 25 & 30%+ stocks?
« on: February 28, 2017, 10:15:04 am »
KAP, RLF, AXL all served me pretty good. But yes since Zuma and Gupta everything went to shiat. pretty much everything till November 2016.

DbxJP fcked.
dbxwd fcked.
STXIND fcked.
Stick with your STXIND and DBXWD both are long term investments - the old adage time in the market, not timing the market needs to be heeded - on my INDI I am still up 45% - and simply if this economy is to improve then the INDI will be the first to improve. The DBXWD is your backstop - if Zuma and his corrupt cadres bullet Gordhan then the Rand will see its ar%$ and you will be thankful for being in this DBX - I too am taking some pain on DBXWD but only .6% at present so can sit out the volatility

So play the long game
You really reckon Indi is the place to be over NFEMOM or CTOP50? Feels like we shifted back to resources being the best place to be (I use that term very very loosely)
I don't hold any resources shares as my take on sunny RSA is that as soon as we get improved prices on resources we end up with strikes and all sorts of delays in actually getting the ore out of the ground. The government has mouthed off about beneficiation for years and gets no closer to doing anything in this direction as it is just not viable as labour costs are exorbitant and we have a lazy workforce who find more satisfaction in striking than in doing an honest days work. So in reality (my opinion) resources will not be the countries saviour and we need to look elsewhere, also with the latest tax disincentives who will really want to take on investment risk.     

334
Shares / Re: What happened to all the 20, 25 & 30%+ stocks?
« on: February 27, 2017, 10:01:52 pm »
Everything has been going for a ball of cr@p since Orca upped and left  :'( . Even CML does not make u a profit anymore.
I sold out of my CML shares once there price started falling after their banking investments went to the wall - but I move those funds into their Top20 fund which seems to have saved my bacon in terms of neutralising some of my potential lack of growth on the share price

335
Shares / Re: What happened to all the 20, 25 & 30%+ stocks?
« on: February 27, 2017, 09:55:38 pm »
KAP, RLF, AXL all served me pretty good. But yes since Zuma and Gupta everything went to shiat. pretty much everything till November 2016.

DbxJP fcked.
dbxwd fcked.
STXIND fcked.
Stick with your STXIND and DBXWD both are long term investments - the old adage time in the market, not timing the market needs to be heeded - on my INDI I am still up 45% - and simply if this economy is to improve then the INDI will be the first to improve. The DBXWD is your backstop - if Zuma and his corrupt cadres bullet Gordhan then the Rand will see its ar%$ and you will be thankful for being in this DBX - I too am taking some pain on DBXWD but only .6% at present so can sit out the volatility

So play the long game 

336
Shares / Re: What happened to all the 20, 25 & 30%+ stocks?
« on: February 27, 2017, 02:53:33 pm »
Those who look at stats may ponder the under mentioned numbers

ALSI hit an all time high 55,298.92 on 24/4/2015 and is currently sitting at 51.649.14 - which is quite a retracement (probably affected by the stronger Rand)
Top40 hit an all time high 49,192.90 on 4/12/2015 and is currently sitting at 44,618.67 - again quite a sizeable retracement

On my personal portfolio I have budgeted an 18% annual increase in the portfolio value growth - I missed out in 2007 and 2008 but have more than recovered these shortfalls, however last year my growth was almost half the budget figure and though February to date has been more than satisfactory I think the rest of the year could be flat and possibly even go into decline for the year. I think our market is going to take some battering due to political issues rather than fundamentals - so expect another year at least of rocky roads - especially as we have ANC changing of the guards at the end of this year and then a run up to 2019 national elections 

337
Off topic / Re: My Story as a Seller of Books
« on: February 26, 2017, 04:02:14 pm »
Hope you didn't full scrap your 5000 word short story - put it in a library and revisit again at some future stage.
Good to see your resolve to write

338
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: February 23, 2017, 10:25:04 pm »
gcr must be doing penny stocks and not saying how much he lost beforehand or he is a billionaire.
Only penny stocks held are Alert Steel (suspended) and Nutritional - Bidvest, Cashbuild, Discovery. Massmart, PicknPay, and Truworth's all did very well today - reality is they could all be down tomorrow.
Yes I am a pensioner - since 2005 

339
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: February 23, 2017, 06:55:56 pm »
Well my position improved significantly today, but, nothing like how my personal portfolio which improved by more than R 100,000, best single day this calendar year

340
Tax

Tax is a by product of success. I have no issue paying it. I like roads, I like security, I like water and hospitals etc.
Tax is not a bi - product of success - it is the direct result of a spendthrift and greedy government and its connected cadres. If their was accountability for tax receipt spend I would not mind paying the level of taxes that I do, but without it I am disappointed every time they increment taxes. The poor are certainly not the beneficiaries of tax receipts

341
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: February 23, 2017, 09:33:51 am »
Oh dear. I got another smite. Maybe I should tone down a little.
Smites are good - its character building ;D

342
Off topic / Re: My Story as a Seller of Books
« on: February 21, 2017, 08:44:15 pm »
*********insert update here*****************

 :)
F85 - I think you should do updates periodically.
The advantages are that you have a narrow and a world view - but you don't know how close it is to reality.
I for one would like to see you succeed in your endeavours as this represents your hearts desire, and sure as hell beats mundane activities for sustain yourself.
So post and those who wish to see you succeed will also counter post (hopefully) with rational, objective observations based on their life experiences and knowledge of what life can throw at you.
Some of us on this forum have been involved in many spheres of life/business/endeavours so suss their views out and learn about life's knocks and how to restart your passion
Never be discouraged as you will regret it for the rest of your life

343
Shares / Re: STXIND ... any thoughts
« on: February 20, 2017, 01:48:11 pm »
You only need to have your funds in the TFSA by 28th of this month the underpinning ETF can be bought anytime.
So in the case of INDI move the funds to the TFC and then place an order on record with your broker.
I have placed an order for INDI at R 65.90 and will wait out until it gets to that level

344
Off topic / Live chat
« on: February 15, 2017, 10:28:36 pm »
The Rand Thread can someone pull up this thread as there were predictions as to where the Rand was heading

345
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: February 09, 2017, 04:07:28 pm »
It might be, but he's a lot easier to get along with than my wife when I forget buy everything I promised I would ;)
The real message here is don't promise - you would sound like any old Yank prime time series they are either promising to keep some alive, look after them forever - so false

Rather just get what your wife wants and if you forget apologise and tell her you are human and fallable ;D   

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