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Messages - erwintwr

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76
The Investor Challenge / Re: Blog post: How much do habits cost me?
« on: December 05, 2014, 04:19:18 pm »
Very good post.

i luckily managed to drop my list down drastically. still have bottled water. *damn*

77
Shares / Re: 77 reasons why you're awful at managing money
« on: December 03, 2014, 01:42:35 pm »
Yip. I made some "skillful" investments some years ago and now just having bad luck.  :whistle:

think that holds true for a few people. always a reason for the bad times :P

78
Shares / Re: Top performing shares(10 years)
« on: November 24, 2014, 11:41:44 am »
I was busy this weekend. Used some of the threads listed here with regards to Long term portfolio's and picked some shares from there.
After that i went to google to obtain the 10 year , 9 year, 8 year,7 year etc up to 1 year average performance of each, and then plotted them.

interesting to see how a share starts to "destabilize" once the average number of years goes less.
but still an interesting picture. Hope this helps someone else as well :)
*edit - scroll the image right to see the Legend/ Share names*


79
Shares / Top performing shares(10 years)
« on: November 22, 2014, 06:34:58 pm »
Hi guys

since most of the JSE statistics is available in a few online platforms, i was hoping someone could point me to the correct tool.

I am looking to find the top 10/20 shares as measured over the last 10 years, but looking at the number of shares that is currently available it seems a daunting task to randomly select shares and compare them with each other.

i could obviously look at international markets as well (probably via PSG online), but for now i will stick with SA markets is possible.

Unfortunately my google-skills on this is not the very best (sometimes a top performing article is released for a specific year, but i was hoping that a more accurate option is available.


hope someone can help

thx


80
Shares / Re: Long Term Portfolios.
« on: November 14, 2014, 12:17:08 pm »
Sorry, I must add that those figures are divides included.

Orca/Guys. Is there  any source to a calculator that could provide stats for shares where Divies was included in the performance?

since that will be the idea of a long term investment, it could make a huge difference in the returns obtained.

thx

81
Shares / Re: Easy Equities, any opinions?
« on: November 14, 2014, 09:26:32 am »
also started using them extensively this month - but yes time will tell.


anybody know of an Idea how to check directly at the JSE if the shares was actually purchased in your name?

don't worry to much about the partial shares as such...

82
Shares / Re: My retirement blog.
« on: October 27, 2014, 10:47:48 am »
Forgot to add this. Portugal wants to see funds coming in to our Portuguese bank account for self sustainability before we can get residence. FNB needs a residence certificate before they can send my own money here. A catch 22 situation.

sigh - and here we thought that the banks will have emigration under control by now.
hope they manage to remove some of the red tape... cant be that difficult :o


83
eBikes / Re: Building a R15k 65km/h bike
« on: October 23, 2014, 08:57:22 am »
Hi Patrick

any updates on this?

Or are you too busy zooming around?  >:D
 ;D

84
Shares / Re: My retirement blog.
« on: October 06, 2014, 12:13:28 pm »
Been here for 3 months now and enjoying it. No burglar bars

**snip**

This is why there are so many more females here than men.
If only I was younger.
This part is only for the single guys here.


Wonders if Orca wouldnt mind testing his camera on some of the females, and share with us poor single guys  O:-) >:D

85
Shares / Re: Living off Dividends.
« on: August 22, 2014, 03:52:51 pm »
Capital gains tax is one third of income tax (so a 13.3% max, not 10%), after the R30k exemption.

So if you decided to retire on your investments, and need to sell R600k worth of shares to live on every month. I'll assume you bought the R600k worth of shares 5 years, and they grew at 15%pa. I'll also assume you're now retired and have no other income. Dividends are pre-taxed, so they don't count here:
Selling price R600 000
Less cost price R300 000
=Capital gain R300 000
Less exemption = R270 000
Divided by 3 to get taxable income = R90 000

Tax on R90 000 p/a = R3474 if you're under 65, if you're over 65, you won't pay a cent!

As to whether it's better than an RA depends on many things. RA fees, performance, your current tax bracket etc. I would imagine that from next year, having the ability to put 27.5% of your salary away without paying tax on it is going to be a worthwhile thing to do. Just make sure you put it somewhere where the performance is good, and the fees are low.


Much much clearer now! Thx Patrick.

yes 27.5% really looks tasty, but i am not looking forward to working till 55 to wait for an RA. will see if i can get a balance going between the two.
I think i prefer a trustworthy RA maybe beats lower fee's eg Allangray or coronation vs ETFSA or 10x. will prefer being in control of my own shares rather to be honest.

86
Shares / Re: Living off Dividends.
« on: August 20, 2014, 06:16:03 pm »
Hi guys

sorry to resurrect an oldish thread, but since its tax related, i think it better to continue the discussion/ line of questions here.

I assume it was concluded more or less, that, should you hold a share for 3 years, and then sell it, Capital gains tax will apply at a max of 10% after the annual exclusion has been deducted...

Thus leaves me the question - doesnt this make ETF investments a much much much better choice over Retirement annuities.

yes the RA is not taxed  with your investments, but the moment you start "retiring" they see it as income, and tax you as such :

Tax Rate   Withdrawal Lump Sum   Retirement Lump sum
0%           0 – R22,500                    0 – R315,000
18%            R22,501 – R600,000   R315,001 – R630,000
27%           R600,001 – R900,000   R630,000 – R945,000
36%           R900,001+                  R945,001+


See withdrawal lumpsum - even if i sell R600,000 every year, 18% of that goes back to treasury, and it just gets worse from there. :wall:

My questions thus - did anyone maybe already do the math already comparing investing in an RA paying tax after or in an ETF where you pay tax before you can invest?



87
Shares / Re: Julia's updated position
« on: August 04, 2014, 01:52:31 pm »
very interesting!!

88
Shares / Re: Shares vs compound interest
« on: August 04, 2014, 12:16:31 pm »
Satrix charges fees every single year on the full amount invested. The brokersonly charge when you buy or sell. ABSA has a 0.4% or R120 minimum charge, so it make the most sense if your transactions are R30k or more at a time.

yes thought as much (can only reach 5K currently). I think when the yearly fees reach  big enough level i will consider switching. is it possible to transfer shares bought via the Satrix platform to another broker?

89
Shares / Re: Shares vs compound interest
« on: August 04, 2014, 10:23:08 am »
Erwin, you will need to use the first in, first out method (fifo) and not the weighted average in your case. In other words, you can start selling your shares monthly after 3 years. Only the amount of shares you bought 36 months back at earliest.
This takes some work as you need to file each purchase monthly with the cost price (not share price). Plus management fees and other charges.
If you want to buy/sell shares, you must do your bookkeeping and filing religiously otherwise you will get into the mess I was in. It will also save you some coronary events or infarctions.

Very very good advice - even if i am currently thinking investment (ie constant buying shares) is the way to go, i could consider trading on a future date - and thus records of all transactions is a good way to go.

next challenge in my mind - where to buy - safest bet being SATRIX EFT's ( Indi about 60% with the rest divided between FINI / RAF and SWIX), it seems the cheapest at the time to buy directly via satrix.
Going through a online stockbroker like Absa/FNB i will have an account fee plus about R100 per transaction(eg for the above about R400), which will go to about R4800  per anum.
Satrix is states 0.65% , which at R400,000 is R2600 per anum (will only reach that level in 5 years time), which seems to be lots cheaper(first year will be R318)

i however see most of you guys prefer a stock broker. am i missing something? (yes a stock broker gives you access to many other shares - eg trader options)

thx

Erwin




90
Shares / Re: Shares vs compound interest
« on: July 30, 2014, 07:32:20 pm »
Bank interest will practically never exceed inflation. It's a guarenteed loos over time regardless of how it's compounded. The indi most likely will beat inflation by a fair margin.

Aside from that, growth in shares takes two forms, share price increases, and dividends. The dividends for the indi are paid every three months, but growth takes place at any time, and does compound just like interest. If you gain 2% this month, and 2% next month, the growth this month would be from say R60 per share to R61.20 a share, a gain of R1.20. Next month though, the same 2% would be from R61.20 to R62.42, a gain of R1.244.

If that keeps up, and it has for some time, you'll be faaaaaaar better off than some type of cash account earning you 6% p/a.

Here's your R1000 a month (increasing with inflation) in the bank at 6%: http://www.investorchallenge.co.za/calc_compound.php?initial_deposit=0&monthly_deposit=1000&yield=6&years=20&inflation=6
Balance of R749 516,77

And here the same R1000 a month (increasing with inflation) in shares at 15% (the indi has done 20% since inception): http://www.investorchallenge.co.za/calc_compound.php?initial_deposit=0&monthly_deposit=1000&yield=15&years=20&inflation=6
Balance of R1 894 004,61

So the difference is huge. Cash is not a good place to keep cash! http://investorchallenge.co.za/the-only-way-to-get-rich/

WOW

really informative answer - and the blog post also explains it alot better :)


will definitely spend my spare time to investigate this early retirement rumour ;)


capital gains tax sounds like a possible problem though (ok all taxes is for that mattter  >:D).

trying to figure out how sars will determine if shares sold is older than 3 years old if i buy every month?



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