901
Off topic / Re: Under attack!
« on: August 23, 2013, 09:46:32 am »
Too slow to browse/post. Pity - hope it improves soon.
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Rand will be closer to R11/$ by year end - expert
Ek het ook nie geweet nie.Ja, en wat van bonds wat nie staatseffekte maar corporate bonds is ?
Google Translate sę: 'Staatseffek' maar niemand gaan weet waarvan jy praat nie.
A sane RBG should really see the need to raise rates. Our real rates are negative whereas in the US they are postive to the tune of nearly 3%.
We will trundle along as we have done under Zuma until he is retired, removed, gone. Big business are in limbo until clear economic policies are there to encourage growth coupled with a revision of the more onerous labour laws. Cut the red tape for small business & if possible get the stealing down to R10 billion per annum. Sorry to see Vavi plot his own downfall as this will embolden Zuma even more. Lets wait and see who emerges front & centre at the 2014 trough.
If Marcus does raise rates banks & credit retailers will be a screaming short.
More than a year after South Africa’s worst mining violence since the end of apartheid, platinum mines are still striving to restore peace, a factor driving up the nation’s default risk faster than for emerging-market peers.
Current account and fiscal deficits, slower economic growth and the lowest interest rates in more than 30 years leave South Africa vulnerable to external shocks, Mphaphuli said. The nation needs average inflows of 16 billion rand ($1.6 billion) a month to finance the shortfall on its current account, according to Standard Bank Group Ltd. (SBK), Africa’s largest bank.
Foreign investors have sold a net 6.23 billion rand of bonds since May 22, when Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. may reduce monetary stimulus that has helped boost demand for emerging-market assets. Inflows have dropped to 24.8 billion rand this year, compared with 63.1 billion rand a year earlier, according to JSE Ltd., which runs the nation’s stock and bond exchanges.
SOUTH Africa’s composite leading business economic indicator continued to rise in June, suggesting that the country’s growth prospects are improving.
The indicator rose 2.4% year on year in June, the Reserve Bank said on Tuesday.
It bottomed at a 0.1% increase in March‚ before rising by 1.3% in April and 2% in May, the Bank’s data show.
The indicator provides a guideline for economic growth for at least six months ahead.
Positive influences on the indicator in June were a widening of the interest rate spread, as well as an acceleration in the six-month smoothed growth rate in real M1 money supply.
The main negative factors included a drop in the number of residential building plans passed, followed by a decline in the export commodity price index.
Housing starts hit an annualized rate of 896,000 units during July, which was essentially in-line with the 895,000 Briefing.com consensus estimate. Prior month figures were revised upward to reflect an annualized rate of 846,000 starts (from 836,000). As for building permits, they increased to 943,000 from the prior month's upwardly revised rate of 918,000 (from 911,000). That was slightly above the pace of 934,000 that had been expected among economists polled by Briefing.com.
Separately, second quarter unit labor costs increased 1.4%, which was noticeably higher than the 0.3% decrease that had been anticipated by the Briefing.com consensus. During the same period, productivity increased 0.9%, according to the preliminary reading. The consensus expectation was for no change.
“E-commerce is growing at a rapid rate, it’s a low margin business,” Billy Leung, an analyst at RHB Research Institute Sdn. in Hong Kong, said by phone before the earnings. “If there’s any down tick in the e-commerce margins, that could drive down the bottom line. E-commerce is a double-edged sword.”