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Messages - Moonraker

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811
Shares / Re: Aspen Pharmacare
« on: November 21, 2013, 09:24:54 am »
Quote
GSK said the sale of the shares would not affect its relationship with Aspen. "GSK has a long and successful partnership with Aspen — and our investment in the company has grown in value significantly over time. Having assessed this investment we have now decided to realise some of this value without altering the basis of the partnership," GSK chief strategy officer David Redfern said.

"We remain committed to working closely with Aspen as shown by our remaining stake in the company and our board seat," he said in a statement.

GSK acquired a stake in Aspen in 2009 when the two drug makers entered into two collaborations in sub-Saharan Africa. Aspen has since acquired a number of over-the-counter and prescription brands from GSK which the UK company considered to be noncore. Aspen recently bought GSK’s thrombosis products Arixtra and Fraxiparine and their associated manufacturing site for £800m. The transaction was approved by Aspen shareholders on November 8 and is expected to close at the end of the year, according to GSK.

Aspen deputy group CE Gus Attridge said: "Aspen’s relationship with GSK remains strong. They continue to serve on our board and both Aspen and GSK believe our relationship will continue to be mutually beneficial."

Africfocus analyst Alec Abraham said that he believed the market’s response to GSK’s sale of part of its stake in Aspen was overblown as Aspen’s business remained unchanged.

GSK said the R7.059bn raised by the share sale would be used for "general corporate purposes".

Source

812
Shares / Re: Aspen Pharmacare
« on: November 20, 2013, 07:11:17 pm »
Hoping for a bounce back soon, now that Glaxo has completed their partial sale of APN stock.

GSK completes sale of Aspen shares

But what about that LT trade of 9,940,000 @250  ??

In accordance with section 122(3)(b) of the Companies Act, No. 71 of 2008 (“the Act”), and section
3.83(b) of the JSE Listings Requirements, holders of ordinary shares in the Company are advised
that:

Glaxo Group Limited (“GSK”), has disposed of Aspen Holdings ordinary shares, such that its
beneficial interests in Aspen Holdings now amounts to 12.4% of the total number of shares in
issue.



Last 10 Trades of the day

Date                PDT     Price     Volume

20/11 17:50   LT   25000   9,940,000

20/11 17:48   OP   25743   308

20/11 17:45   OP   25716   79,122

20/11 17:44   OP   25692   1,000,000

20/11 17:37   OP   25652   350,000

20/11 17:00   OCP   25700   0

20/11 17:00   AT   25700   138,022

20/11 16:49   AT   25699   100

20/11 16:49   AT   25699   466

20/11 16:49   AT   25699   89

813
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: November 20, 2013, 06:49:19 pm »
What a see-saw. Negative rates ? Well for the man in the street in Switzerland they have been in place for some time on current a/c equivalents.
Now the ECB is contemplating negative rates. This shows again the precarious state of the "recovery" in Europe. Truth be told there
has been zero improvement since 2008 and with all the debt creation since, I see bleak times ahead for a very, very long time yet.

Source = Nasdaq

The major averages continue to hold modest gains after being whipsawed by a pair of headlines that had conflicting implications for risk assets. First, stocks jumped to highs after reports out of Europe indicated the European Central Bank will weigh negative deposit rates if more easing is needed. The euro weakened on the news, falling below 1.3500 against the dollar.

It should be noted negative rates have been discussed in recent weeks and just yesterday ECB Executive Board member Joerg Asmussen said the central bank could implement negative deposit rates if the 2.0% inflation target remains elusive. However, Mr. Asmussen added he would be 'very, very careful' with regards to deploying the policy tool.

Equities then returned to their earlier levels after St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said that a strong November jobs report would increase the chances of tapering in December.

Treasuries have regained all of their morning losses, and the 10-yr yield now trades lower by two basis points at 2.70%.


814
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: November 20, 2013, 04:01:40 pm »
Source = Nasdaq

Looks like the partial gov. shutdown had zero effect on cosumer spending.

October retail sales ticked up 0.4% while the Briefing.com consensus expected an uptick of 0.1%. The prior month's reading was revised to reflect no change (from -0.1%). Excluding autos, retail sales increased 0.2% against the expectations of a 0.1% rise. Last month's reading was revised down to indicate growth of 0.3% (from +0.4%).

Separately, October consumer prices slipped 0.1% while the Briefing.com consensus expected no change. Core prices increased 0.1%, below the 0.2% expected by the Briefing.com consensus.

11/20/2013 8:00:51 AM ET
 [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -1.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +0.20. The S&P 500 futures trade one point below fair value amid cautious overseas action.

Reviewing overnight developments:
Asian markets ended on a mixed note. Hong Kong's Hang Seng +0.2%, China's Shanghai Composite +0.6%, and Japan's Nikkei -0.3%.
In regional economic data:
Japan's trade deficit widened to JPY1.09 trillion from JPY932 billion (JPY814 billion expected) as exports grew 18.6% year-over-year (16.5% forecast, 11.5% prior) and imports increased 26.1% year-over-year (19.0% consensus, 16.5% last). Meanwhile, the adjusted trade balance narrowed to JPY1.07 trillion from JPY1.13 trillion (JPY0.88 trillion forecast). Also of note, the All Industries Activity Index ticked up 0.4% month-over-month (0.5% prior, 0.3% last).
Australia's MI Leading Index came in at 0.1% (-0.1% last).
New Zealand's input PPI rose 2.2% quarter-over-quarter (0.5% forecast, 0.6% last) while output PPI increased 2.4% quarter-over-quarter (1.0% expected, 1.0% prior).
Looking at news:
Japan's trade deficit was among the worst on record as larger-than-expected energy imports outweighed the benefit of increased exports.
Major European indices hover near their lows. Germany's DAX -0.2%, Great Britain's FTSE -0.4%, and France's CAC -0.4%. Elsewhere, Italy's MIB -0.6% and Spain's IBEX -1.1%.
Economic data was limited:
Germany's PPI slipped 0.2% month-over-month (0.1% expected, 0.3% prior) while the year-over-year reading fell 0.7% (-0.6% expected, -0.5% last).
Spain's trade deficit widened to EUR2.59 billion from EUR1.80 billion (-EUR2.50 billion expected).
Swiss ZEW Expectations improved to 31.6 from 24.9 (30.0 forecast).
In news:
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said her party hopes to finish coalition talks in the middle of next weeks.



815
Off topic / Forum member Orca
« on: November 20, 2013, 01:53:40 pm »
His avatar...should give you a clue.  :)


816
Shares / Re: CML
« on: November 19, 2013, 05:45:25 pm »
Another one from Moneyweb.

Has Coronation gotten too big?

(Si Señor, it ees beeg) - but not in Mexico.  :))

817
Shares / Re: GlencoreXstrata - GLN
« on: November 19, 2013, 03:04:02 pm »
Why JSE resources investors should eye Glencore

Diversification, baby, especially if combined with either AGL or BIL.

818
Shares / Re: CML
« on: November 19, 2013, 02:43:14 pm »
SENS ..

Shareholders are advised that Foord Asset Management (Pty) Ltd, on behalf of its clients, have acquired a beneficial
interest in Coronation ordinary shares, such that the total of all interests of Coronation ordinary shares held by
Foord Asset Management (Pty) Ltd, on behalf of its clients, are now 5.03% of the total issued Coronation ordinary
shares.

Cape Town
19 November 2013

819
Shares / Re: All things ZA economic outlook
« on: November 19, 2013, 10:52:20 am »
Yes, sure doesn't look as good as one would think for investing in ZA if you are living in S. Korea.

10 yrs. ago you were looking at about 180 Won to 1 Rand.
Now ± 100 Won to 1 Rand. That is a 44½ % depreciation of the Rand vs. the Won.

(Can someone factor this into the chart ?)



820
Shares / Re: All things ZA economic outlook
« on: November 18, 2013, 09:17:48 am »
The inclusion of trade data for Swaziland, Botswana, Lesotho and Namibia (SACU member countries), has almost halved the
trade deficit, which includes the current account deficit. The timing is a mystery; why only now ?

Some see window-dressing in S. Africa data changes

Anyway that, and Janet Yellen are the reasons for the stronger Rand these past couple of days.

You think the rand will increase in value or even plateau at this point in this year?When will it start to steadily strengthen?Hard to speculate ,right.Not even 24 hours after your comment the rand took a little dip after its peak.
Have a look at Sudden and severe tapering by the US Fed could crash the rand by Magnus Heystek
We will see a weaker Rand in 2014 - anything between 10.50 to 12.00 to the US$ depending on whether tapering is mild or severe.
I agree with Heystek on that. However I don't fully agree with his comments on listed property, due to the 7% average consensus prognosis
of distribution increases in 2014 (unlike with bonds where your yield is fixed). Maybe a 20% max. decline is what one could expect.
You should be in rand hedge stocks.
If you are living in, what was it, S. Korea ? - why bother with our market ?

822
Shares / Re: All things ZA economic outlook
« on: November 16, 2013, 09:08:51 am »
The inclusion of trade data for Swaziland, Botswana, Lesotho and Namibia (SACU member countries), has almost halved the
trade deficit, which includes the current account deficit. The timing is a mystery; why only now ?

Some see window-dressing in S. Africa data changes

Anyway that, and Janet Yellen are the reasons for the stronger Rand these past couple of days.

823
Shares / Re: Any thoughts on Invicta Holdings
« on: November 13, 2013, 12:45:21 pm »
Not bad. I think W. Buffet would like this stock, after all we are looking at real world equipment, not some obscure social media stuff.  ;)


824
Off topic / The DA in crisis Part 1 - Must Read
« on: November 12, 2013, 08:13:00 pm »
The DA in crisis Part 1

Now you will know why the future for non-blacks, and the economy in general, looks very bleak indeed.

and Part 2..

The DA: How did we get here? (II)

825
Shares / Re: Any thoughts on Invicta Holdings
« on: November 11, 2013, 02:22:03 pm »

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