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Messages - Moonraker

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781
Shares / Re: Compagnie Financiere Richemont (CFR)
« on: January 16, 2014, 10:36:22 am »
The stronger Euro played a huge roll. For example in Japan turnover in local currency grew 13%
but translated to € it fell by 13%. Of the Asian-Pacific markets, only China didn't record growth.

782
Shares / Re: CML
« on: January 16, 2014, 10:03:44 am »
AUM time again. Holding thumbs.

Release Date: 16/01/2014 10:00:00      Code(s): CML        Assets Under Management

Coronation Fund Managers Limited
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)
(Registration number: 1973/009318/06)
ISIN: ZAE000047353
JSE share code: CML
(“Coronation”)

ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT

Shareholders are advised that Coronation’s updated figure for
Assets under Management (AUM) as at 31 December 2013 will be
available on the Investor Relations section of
www.coronation.com within an hour of this release.

This is done for each calendar quarter end.

Cape Town
16 January 2014

783
Off topic / Why baked beans aren't for astronauts
« on: January 16, 2014, 08:49:49 am »
  8)


784
Shares / Emerging Markets - not all are bearish !
« on: January 10, 2014, 06:36:30 pm »
Skagen Says Ignore Wall Street, Bet on Emerging Markets

Quote
“Emerging markets fundamentals are actually stronger now than they were in the past, and they are certainly stronger than developed-market countries, especially if you factor in the policy room for maneuver,” he said in an e-mailed reply to questions. “In addition to that, I would argue that valuation and technicals matter just as much as fundamentals at this juncture.”

Stensrud sees emerging economies breaking away from dependency on these cycles as they rely more on service based industries.

“Looking at traditional emerging markets you could be tempted to think that they used to be commodities driven, that they used to be cyclical, but their service sector is growing very fast,” he said. “You could say South Africa is a mining country, but if you look at South Africa’s stock exchange, it’s basically a services index. The service sector is growing fast in all emerging economies.”

Stensrud said they’re also pursuing investments in South Africa and in Chinese Internet companies.

“Two years ahead, we think we are in a huge paradigm shift globally to what you might call a non-material economy,” he said. That means “less and less goods and energy produce services, so we are looking a good deal into global e-commerce.”

How's that folks !  :TU:

785
Shares / Re: GlencoreXstrata - GLN
« on: January 06, 2014, 01:25:24 pm »
JaDEB, I think you picked a good one for the challenge (GLN) for 2014. If I were to take part I would also pick GLN as one of mine for 2014 - not for the long term though.  8)




786
Off topic / Nic Borain: What I will tell investors in 2014
« on: January 03, 2014, 07:29:31 pm »
Nic Borain: What I will tell investors in 2014

Quote
This is the least confident I have been that the ANC will do the right thing, writes political analyst Nic Borain.

 :-X  :-X  :-X

787
Shares / Re: SAC
« on: December 31, 2013, 06:07:01 pm »
SA Corporate Real estate fund
They seem to have fairly high divi based on (http://www.topyields.nl/Top-dividend-yields-of-JSE.php).
anyone got more info on this company??
Is it worth investing in??

It's a 'Hold'. I would rather go for RIN (soon to be “RI PLC”, JSE share code: RPL due to inward listing.
Nice Rand hedge.

Yes, I am happy with RPL, purchased end August @ 7.50; now 10.24. Obviously the weak Rand also played a small part.
NEP is another to look at.
So, listed property is not to be maligned - remember the divs. (taxable), but growing on average by 7-10% p.a. ####

Have a prosperous 2014.  :TU:

#### In the case of RPL, it is subject to 15% withholding tax being a listed foreign entity (it has a secondary listing on the JSE).
For tax purposes you would declare the gross div. under section 4216 and the same gross dividend under 'exempt local and foreign dividends'.



788
Off topic / The ANC before the collapse of Communism. It's a must read !
« on: December 19, 2013, 01:38:08 pm »
If you have some time on your hands, the linked article is well worth reading. As S. Machel's ex, I would be extremely embarrassed. Oh boy..

The ANC before the collapse of Communism
This article was published with the assistance of the Friedrich-Naumann-Stiftung für die Freiheit (FNF). The views presented in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of FNF.


Quote
It's characteristic of this type of racial nationalism that it is quite incapable of acknowledging the contribution of the skills and expertise of racial minorities towards the common good, or of the basic interdependency between minority and majority. Ultimately, as in Zimbabwe post-1999, economic considerations are subordinated to ideological ones. South Africa's future depends almost completely on whether it will be able to avoid succumbing to this same destructive itch.


789
Shares / Stock Picks 2014
« on: December 12, 2013, 09:38:46 am »

790
Shares / Re: CML
« on: December 07, 2013, 12:30:30 pm »
Broken through the bottom Bollinger Band for the first time ever and pushed it down. Tug of war between the bad SA economy results and the good NFP. Tomorrow will tell. My guess is that she will jump back up above the band if that drop was with thin volumes.
Ah.. NFP ? wotdat ?

791
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: December 06, 2013, 06:41:53 pm »
US up almost 1% with this news. Some economists said that the markets will dip on good news as the Fed will stop or cut down the stimulus sooner. Seems to me that the markets don't actually care if the stimulus is stopped as thing normalize.
That baffled me as well - not the typical knee-jerk reaction.

Various pundits have suggested today that the November employment report increases the odds of the Fed making a tapering announcement in December or January.  The early action suggests either the market isn't buying the notion of a December tapering or that it isn't fearful of a December tapering.

To wit, stocks have rallied sharply, Treasury prices have increased as stock prices have increased, gold prices (+$2.60 at $1234.50/oz.) are up modestly, and the US Dollar Index has surrendered its post-report gains and is now flat for the day.  The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX 14.01, -1.07), meanwhile, is getting clipped pretty good



792
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: December 06, 2013, 04:10:10 pm »
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +5.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +10.80. November nonfarm payrolls came in at 203,000 versus the 188,000 expected by the Briefing.com consensus. Nonfarm private payrolls added 196,000 against the 200,000 expected by the consensus. The unemployment rate ticked down to 7.0% while the consensus called for a downtick to 7.2%.

Hourly earnings increased 0.2% while the consensus expected an increase of 0.2%. The average workweek was reported at 34.5 against the 34.5 expected by the consensus.

October personal income declined 0.1%, below the increase of 0.3% expected by the Briefing.com consensus. Meanwhile, personal spending rose 0.3% while the consensus expected an uptick of 0.3%.

Lastly, core PCE prices ticked up 0.1% (consensus +0.1%).


793
Shares / Probably the only chart that matters now.
« on: December 06, 2013, 02:35:47 pm »
Perhaps The Only Chart That Matters (For Now)

Quote
There are a lot of different indicators and studies that technical analysts use, and all of those tools came into usage due to some degree of merit.  But the one factor which seems to be trumping everything else lately is what the Fed is doing with its QEternity program, which shows no sign of stopping anytime soon, or maybe ever.

 :-X

794
Shares / Re: Remgro
« on: December 04, 2013, 01:55:25 pm »
My question is: Which share price will benefit the most, Remgro or Caxton?
That is the one I need to own.
False alarm - neither here nor there. Caxton is very illiquid. Read the statement by Rupert for a better picture.
Rupert hits out at the ANC

Quote
Earlier in the meeting, Rupert interrupted proceedings to tell shareholders: “We’re not interested in going into the print media.”

He was responding to recent media speculation that Remgro’s involvement in the buyout of ElementOne’s stake in Caxton was the start of a bid to move into the media industry.

“It’s amazing how the print media finds its own industry so interesting,” Rupert said about the speculation on the offer from Bidco for the Caxton stake. Bidco comprises RMB Investments, Remgro and Caxton directors Terry Moolman and Noel Coburn.

Rupert said Remgro had an effective shareholding of less than 7 percent in Caxton. “These are shares that we acquired about 20 years ago when there was a huge fight between Naspers and Perskor.”

Caxton subsequently acquired Perskor.

Rupert said part of Remgro’s holding in Caxton would be used in the new structure that would control Caxton after the ElementOne buyout. “We are not contributing any cash, we are merely helping to unlock value,” Rupert said.

He added that if Caxton’s profit increased two-fold or even four-fold it would not make a difference to Remgro.

“It would make a difference to Moolman but not to us.”

795
Shares / Re: Remgro
« on: December 04, 2013, 07:55:09 am »
Quote
“It is very, very precarious,” Rupert said at the annual general meeting in Cape Town of Remgro Ltd., where he is also chairman. “There will be tears, but we don’t know when, and we don’t know whether it’s going to be a big inflation or whether it’s going to be a depression. Just hedge your bets.”

Remgro is an investment holding company with interests including banking and financial services, packaging, wine and spirits, and personal care products. Rupert said that if the global economy doesn’t do well, Remgro is still well positioned, while Richemont isn’t.

“The luxury goods market is very cyclical and relies on consumers discretionary spend,” Rey Wium, an analyst at Renaissance Capital in Johannesburg, said by telephone. “When times are tough, consumers will tighten their belts.”

Johann Rupert says global economy is ‘very precarious’

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