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Off topic / Performance of JSE listed shares 2013
« on: January 16, 2014, 02:15:48 pm »
Courtesy Moneyweb.
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“Emerging markets fundamentals are actually stronger now than they were in the past, and they are certainly stronger than developed-market countries, especially if you factor in the policy room for maneuver,” he said in an e-mailed reply to questions. “In addition to that, I would argue that valuation and technicals matter just as much as fundamentals at this juncture.”
Stensrud sees emerging economies breaking away from dependency on these cycles as they rely more on service based industries.
“Looking at traditional emerging markets you could be tempted to think that they used to be commodities driven, that they used to be cyclical, but their service sector is growing very fast,” he said. “You could say South Africa is a mining country, but if you look at South Africa’s stock exchange, it’s basically a services index. The service sector is growing fast in all emerging economies.”
Stensrud said they’re also pursuing investments in South Africa and in Chinese Internet companies.
“Two years ahead, we think we are in a huge paradigm shift globally to what you might call a non-material economy,” he said. That means “less and less goods and energy produce services, so we are looking a good deal into global e-commerce.”
This is the least confident I have been that the ANC will do the right thing, writes political analyst Nic Borain.
It's characteristic of this type of racial nationalism that it is quite incapable of acknowledging the contribution of the skills and expertise of racial minorities towards the common good, or of the basic interdependency between minority and majority. Ultimately, as in Zimbabwe post-1999, economic considerations are subordinated to ideological ones. South Africa's future depends almost completely on whether it will be able to avoid succumbing to this same destructive itch.
There are a lot of different indicators and studies that technical analysts use, and all of those tools came into usage due to some degree of merit. But the one factor which seems to be trumping everything else lately is what the Fed is doing with its QEternity program, which shows no sign of stopping anytime soon, or maybe ever.
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