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Messages - Moneypenny

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1351
Shares / Re: South Africa Top 40
« on: February 03, 2014, 03:25:11 pm »
I guess you could definitely say we saw the downside trigger today. Markets are going to be tough and chopping around sideways to down for most of next week.


Well spotted there fc.

With 1 hour to go before US open, S&P/DOW/NAS futures up +0.30%,

1352
Off topic / Live chat
« on: February 03, 2014, 09:29:47 am »
Geez, that's risky for day trading, using 2 min charts here you know? lol, But nothing ventured... , tx :-)

1353
Off topic / Live chat
« on: February 03, 2014, 09:16:38 am »
What was the outcome re delayed price buying in the IC? Do we get the price as indicated on the buying list or edited price whenever it updates? Apologies, didn't follow the discussion.

1354
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: February 03, 2014, 08:24:14 am »
From extreme greed to extreme fear, what a difference only one month makes.

Hong Kong, Mexico and China on holiday, US ended down Friday night with DOW -0.94%, NAS -0.46%, S&P -0.62%.  Of note perhaps, Wall Street enters first month of loss since Aug ’13. Futures +0.13%, 0.15%, +14%@ 7:49. 

China Manufacturing PMI Saturday morning 3am drops to 6 month low, prv 51.0, exp 50.5 actual 50.5 & Non-Manufacturing PMI 3am today drops from 54.6 to 53.4 (lowest on record ever).

Nikkei 225 closed 10% below 30 Dec high just now and enters an official correction @ -1.98%. 

Back home, platinum producers getting hit yet again, strikes usual culprit with Implats -3.80%, Angloplat -3.75% RBPlat -3.30%.  Also Dec final results expected today for both Amplats and Angloplat.

Edit: Just in:  Amplats FY profit R1.45B vs 2012 loss.

Petrol price to rise 2.9% (39c) from Wednesday & diesel 1.9% (24c) and

Eco Calendar:

10:43 Italian Manufacturing PMI
10:48 French Manufacturing PMI
10:53 German Manufacturing PMI
10:58 European Manufacturing PMI
11:28 GB Manufacturing PMI
16:00 US Manufacturing PMI & Treasury Secretary speaking
17:00 US ISM Manufacturing PMI

New high for AME, full stop, no more.

Dual Listed:

BHP:AU -0.36%
NPSNY:US +2.45%

1355
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: February 03, 2014, 07:23:39 am »
Dear Admin, I can not find the 'buy short button' on the competition, please advise. ;0

1356
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: January 30, 2014, 05:03:28 pm »
US open for 30 minutes:  DOW +0.32%, S&P +0.67% NAS +1.12%

1357
Off topic / Live chat
« on: January 30, 2014, 09:01:09 am »
Hey

1358
Shares / Re: Rand / $
« on: January 30, 2014, 09:00:52 am »
Depending on what you consider long term. SA has large current account deficit, political issues, domestic unrest/strikes and SA Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs) due in 12 months jumped almost 7% yesterday, suggestive that rates could go up by as much as 200 basis points this year.  Unfortunately I'm no expert in this field; maybe others with more scope can elaborate.

1359
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: January 30, 2014, 08:33:12 am »
Fed kept to its plan and reduced monthly bond purchases by $10 billion per month as overall improvement in the US economy is still in place.  At least one can say they are consistent in their approach I guess.

Latest buzzword in global market is EM Contagion (that’s us unfortunately) as a cut in stimulus reduces liquidity in emerging markets and causing sell-off, hence rate hikes from Turkey, India & SA yesterday.  But to no avail I’m afraid to say, as markets appeared to view the rate rise as insufficient and the rand was down more than 2% after the rate decision at 11.25.  Same story for Turkey.

If you've wondered who are the EM Counties, here they are:

BRICS:
Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa

MIKT:
Mexico, Indonesia, South-Korea, Turkey

And if you wondered what contagion means, it is not nice either: infection, pollution, corruption, contamination. 

So you would be forgiven to think that first world economies are afraid that itty-bitty us and others like us will have a negative impact on their markets and that’s why they are selling off. And we are selling off because they are reducing liquidity in our markets.  We'll that my simplistic interpretation of events in any case.  Fun times ahead.


DJ -1.19%
S&P -1.02%

VIX +9.81% to 17

IGMT40 Cash +24 points

Eco Calendar:

South Korea on holiday

US GDP 15:30
US Pending home sales 17:00

New lows for Ellies, Reunert, Growthpoint, Shoprite, Aveng, Emira, Acucap, AVI,Massmart, new high Lonmin.

1360
Off topic / Live chat
« on: January 29, 2014, 04:00:13 pm »
Dual listed co's not doing bad considering the .5% - exp SHF

1361
Off topic / Live chat
« on: January 29, 2014, 03:59:20 pm »
Jislaai oom, jou auntie gaan jou uithaal.

1362
Shares / Re: Rand / $
« on: January 29, 2014, 11:46:18 am »
Old article from 5 Sep 2013 but still relevant:

Mohammed Nalla, head of strategic research at Nedbank Capital, said: "South Africa’s equity markets are expected to correct in the short term and underperform in both rand and dollar terms." Barclays still expects the rand to weaken to about R10.80/$ when tapering starts, though technical analysis shows R9.50/$ as fair value.


05 SEPTEMBER 2013, 06:26
http://www.bdlive.co.za/business/2013/09/05/dual-listed-companies-confound-rand-critics


Currently 10.97


1363
Off topic / Live chat
« on: January 29, 2014, 10:13:14 am »
Other emerging markets taking action with rate hikes (Turkey & India), wonder if we will follow suit @ 15:00?

1364
Off topic / Live chat
« on: January 29, 2014, 09:43:15 am »
Hallo Middle Earth :D

1365
Off topic / Live chat
« on: January 29, 2014, 08:55:35 am »
jaDeb, where art thou? Nobody saying hallo.☺

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