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Messages - Moneypenny

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1021
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 15, 2014, 09:43:10 am »
Dow ended Friday -0.36%, Nas –0.52%, S&P -0.57%, futures negative.

Today Asia-Pacific closed with:

Nikkei holiday (Respect for Elders Day)
Hong Kong -0.7%
Shanghai +0.3%
Sydney -1%
Seoul - 0.3%
Tapei -0.1%

Europe currently with FTSE -0.22%. DAX -0.65%, CAC -0.36%, MIB -0.56%. IBEX -0.20%.

T40 currently trading (only telephonic trades atm) -35pips (-0.08%).

F&G 43 Fear, VIX 13.31 +3.98%

Terrible things going on in the world this weekend, not even going to elaborate but I understand the shift in investor’s outlook.

Alsi ended +0.03%, T 40 +0.08%

New high Hyprop +9440, New low ARM 16050, Lonmin 3777

No important data release today, JSE still down.

1022
Off topic / Live chat
« on: September 15, 2014, 09:25:20 am »
Europe trading negative

1023
Shares / Re: Gold & Gold Shares
« on: September 15, 2014, 09:21:33 am »
Good luck mikehasi, you're braver than me.  (or more brave, don't know appropriate lingo here :P)

Gold 10 Year Chart:

1024
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 12, 2014, 08:21:12 am »
Ohh eh eh, yesterdays SA Manufacturing Production figures at -8%, 5 year low (prev 1.40%, exp -1.90%, actual -3.60%) should have been enough to rob you of your sleep last night.  That, coupled with just as dismal mining industry figures (-7.7%) caused R/$ to lowest since Feb 14 at 10.9965, nearly hitting 11.0 psychological key level. Thank you numsa & kie.

Economic Calendar:

14:30 US Core retail sales prev 0.1%, exp 0.3%
14:30 US Retail sales, 0.0% exp 0.6%.

VIX 12.80 -0.62%, F&G 46 'Neutral', T40 +132 pips 45 968 (8:02am)

Dow ended -0.12%, Nas +0.12%, S&P +0.09%

Asia-Pacific latest:

Tokyo flat
Hong Kong -0.4%
Shanghai + 0.2%
Sydney -0.7%
Seoul +0.4%
Mumbai +0.1%
Taipei -0.8%

Trading to top this week SHF, MTN  - to negative ANG, NPN, VOD.

Trading most to positive this month, APN, MTN.

New high MrP 21625, Netcare 3430, Aspen 34589, Invplc 9968, Invltd 10003, JSE 10925.

New low Assore 25000, ARM 16131.

Alsi ended -0.06% @51 230, T40 -0.11% @45 830.

And on an unrelated but interesting note, Australia raised its terrorist-threat level to "high” indicating near future attack likely.

1025
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 10, 2014, 09:11:35 am »
SA current account came in wider than expected yesterday at 6.2% of GDP in Q2, from 4.5% Q1 resulting in >1% fall R/$. (Previous -161.0B, Exp -198.0B, Actual -222.0B.  Rand down as low as 10.94.)

Not much happening with economic reporting worldwide today.

F&G up @ 42 ‘Fear’

SA40 -191 pips at 46 099 (8:57)

Dow ended -0.57%, Nas -0.88%, S&P -0.68%

Asia all red except Nikkei +0.25%

Alsi ended +0.19%, T40 +0.30% yesterday

New high Sappi 4663, Omnia 24120, new low Assore 27327.

Europe opened negative thus far.

1026
Shares / Re: KIO
« on: September 09, 2014, 08:09:23 am »
Kumba hit new intraday low yesterday at 29202.

1027
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 09, 2014, 08:06:03 am »
US ended last night with Dow -0.15%, Nas +0.20%, S&P -0.28%, futures red.

F&G 46 Neutral

Asia-Pacific at midday:

Tokyo +0.3%
Hong Kong closed
Shanghai +0.1%
Sydney +0.4%
Seoul closed
Mumbai -0.4%
Taipei +0.3%

Eco Calendar:

Hong Kong on holiday
10:00 SA Current Account, prev -161.000B, exp -198.000B (FYI:  Rand expected to weaken more, should deficit come in wider than expected.)
10:30 GB Manufacturing Production, prev & exp 0.3%
12:45 GB BoE Carney announcement
Alsi ended -0.35%, @ 51 630, T40 @ -0.40% @ 46 204.

Trading most to positive this month, MTN, VOD, APN, to negative ANG, KIO, SHF

New high yesterday Advtech 986, Bidvest 30190, Aspen 32482, Tigerbrands 32597, MTN 26344.

New low Assore 28551, Kumba 29202 intraday

T40 currently -28 pips 46 161 (7:28am), Spot Gold 1255.77, Brent Crude 9995.0

1028
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 05, 2014, 09:04:25 am »
Scary avatar you've got there jaDEB.

1029
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 05, 2014, 09:01:20 am »
Dow ended -0.05%, Nas -0.23%, S&P -0.14%

In Europe, FTSE +0.06%, DAX +1.01%, CAC +1.65% after surprise Euro Interest Rate cut from 0.15% to 0.05%.

Asia:
Nikkei flat
Hang Seng -0.3%
Shanghai +0.5%
ASX -0.6%
Kospi -0.4%
Taiex -0.3%

Eco Calendar

08:00 SA Foreign Reserves (USD), prev 49.89B, exp 49.68B, actual 49.77B
14:30 US Nonfarm payrolls, prev 209K exp 225K
14:30 US Unemployment rate prev 6.2%, exp 6.1%

T40 -54 pips (8:55) 46 565, F&G 47 ‘Neutral’

Alsi +0.56%, T40 +0.62% yesterday, new high JSE, RMBH, TigerB, Disc, FirstR, Sunint, MrPrice, Sanlam.

New low ARM 17022

1030
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 04, 2014, 08:17:10 am »
Dow ended +0.06%, Nas -0.55%, S&P -0.06%, futures red.

Asia trading all red atm, Nikkei -0.31%, Hang Seng -0.39% & Aus -0.60%.

BoJ holds policy unchanged as expected.

Eco Calendar:

BoJ Press Conference

13:00 BoE QE Total, prev  375B & Interest Rate prev and exp 0.50%
13:45 EUR Interest Rate, prev and exp 0.15%
14:15 US Nonfarm Employment prev 218K exp 220K
14:30 ECB Press Conf

F&G @ 51 ‘Neutral’, T40 -131 pips (8:00) @ 46 347.

New high PNR-Foods +5.38% 12807, Sanlam 6829, Telkom 6290, Aspen 32200, MTN 25150, Remgro 25229, Netcare 3350, Sunint 12147.

New low Kumba 30374, Implats 8976

Having second consecutive really bad day, Steinhoff -5.23% @4852

Discovery posted 24% rise in full-year profit, up 2.5% @ 101.77

Trading most to positive this week, APN to negative SHF.


1031
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 03, 2014, 08:28:14 am »
Dow ended -0.18%
Nas +0.39%
S&P -0.07%, futures up.

Asia Pacific so far this morning:
Nikkei +0.49%
Hang Seng +1.79%
Shanghai +0.84%
Singapore +0.20%

Eco Calendar:
10:30 GB Services PMI prev 59.1, exp 58.5

Alsi ended 51 462 (+0.68%), T40 46 076 (+0.71%), Gold $ 1538.07 (17:00), now 1268.37 (8:10)

F&G @ 47 ‘Neutral’, T40 -1 pip @ 46 155 (8:15)

Major moves up:
Cashbuild  +5.81% @ 13750
EOH +4.59% @ 9980
SunInt +3.42% @ 11935
Telkom +3.30% @ 6040

Major moves down:
Holdsport -3.98% @ 4050
Steinhoff -3.74% @ 5120
Tongaat -3.24% @ 16837

New highs for EAO, SunInt, Telkom, RMBH, Remgro and new low for Implats @ 9110.

Traded mostly to the positive this month so far APN, MTN and to the negative SHF, BIL, IMP.

1032
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 02, 2014, 11:28:19 am »
 ;)

1033
Shares / Re: Steinhoff
« on: September 02, 2014, 11:27:56 am »
SHF down -3.16% now because JD Group last night reported a serious full-year loss (570 c/share, previous year 395.2 c/share earning).  JD group will also sell their financial division with bad debt rising (another Abil waiting in the wings).

DJ Group share price up today +4.23%.

SHF full-year earning up by 15%.  Both companies due to report this month.

Now does this seem fair.  Rhetorical.

1034
Off topic / Live chat
« on: September 02, 2014, 11:14:41 am »
You should try shorting jaDEB, seems you can spot them well. :-)

1035
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 02, 2014, 08:17:53 am »
US closed yesterday, futures up.

Asia-Pacific at midday 2 Sep:

Nikkei +1.5%,
Hang Seng -0.6%
Shanghai +0.3%
Sydney +0.4%
Seoul -0.8%
Taipei -1%

Australia keeping interest rate at 2.5% earlier today.

Yesterday Euro hitting new 1-yr low on ECB uncertainty later this week.

Brent Crude below $103 on new unrest in Libya balanced with slowing oil demand growth due to weak economic recovery  in China/Europe.

Back home, Alsi ended +0.30% 51 113, T40 +0.27% 45 752.

New high Tongaat 17493, EOH 9790, Clicks 7109 and new low Implats 9389.

Bidvest (+2.5%) to list food unit in London, Eqstra FY HEPS falls 26%, Cashbuild FY HEPS up 12%.

SA car sales (YoY) falls 1.4% yesterday.

T40 @ 45 910 +0.35% 8:05 am

Fear & Greed @ 42 ‘Fear”.

Most traded to positive this week APN, to neg BIL, IMP.

Eco Calendar:

16:00 US Manufacturing PMI, prev 57.1 exp 56.8

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