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Messages - Moneypenny

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1006
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: October 03, 2014, 09:05:34 am »
Phew, F&G 'Extreme Fear' @ 3, VIX  @ 16.16.

Europe ended yesterday with FTSE -1.70%, DAX -1.98%, CAC -2.80%, MIB -3.92%, IBXEX -3.12%. (Draghi effect)

European futures up.

Dow ended -0.02%, Nas +0.18%, S&P +0.01%, futures up.

T40 +159 pips @ 43 158 (8:49am), Spot Gold 1210.83.

Bounce most probable today.

Asia Pacific at midday today:

Nikkei Average -0.1%
Hang Seng -0.8%
Shanghai closed
ASX 200 +0.3%
Kospi closed
Sensex closed
Taiex  +1.5%

Eco Calendar:

09:30 SA PMI prev 51.1
11:30 GB Services PMI 59.1 exp
15:30 US Non-farm
15:30 US Unemployment rate, prev & exp 6.1%
17:00 US ISM Non-manufacturing PMI

Alsi ended -1.40% @ 48 189, T40 -1.66% @ 42 956.

New highs for Capitec 25144.

New lows for:

/big breath in/  >:(

Astrapak, Dawn, ARM, Grindrod, Assore, Metair, Implats, Harmony, Lonmin, Richemont, Exxaro, Angloplat.

Traded most to negative this week NPN, RCH, AMS, to positive TKG, APN

1007
Off topic / Live chat
« on: October 02, 2014, 01:41:28 pm »
Ja jaDEB, hysteria with a touch of neurotic can become very creepy very quickly.  :D

1008
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: October 01, 2014, 08:38:49 am »
Thanks  :)

Dow ended -0.17%, Nas -0.29%, S&P -0.29%, futures red.

First case of E confirmed in the US, forecast worldwide 1.4 mil cases by January 2015.  Biotech stocks taking off as result.

F&G @ 12 ‘EF’, T40 -89 pips 8:15 @ 44 078

Gold spot 1206.47

Yesterday FTSE -0.36%, DAX & CAC up +0.54% & +1.33%

In Asia Pacific midday today:

Hang Seng & Shanghai closed for holiday.

Nikkei +0.2%
Sydney +0.3%
Kospi -0.7%
Sensex + 0.1%
Taipei +0.1%

JSE Alsi yesterday ended -0.07% @49 336, T40 -0.11% @44 160.

Major moves up Eastplats +13.31%, Nuworld +7.86%, Sibanye +4.75.

Major moves down Ellies -6.35%, DRDGold -4.71%, Reunert -3.43%.

New lows for Northam 3654, Richemont 9208, and intra-day lows for Grindrod 2230, ARM 13966, Lonmin 3241.

Traded most to negative this week RCH, NPN, WHL, to positive TKG.

Village Main Reef FY revenue R1.5 B.

Jubilee secured funding for upgrades.

Eco Calendar:


Hong Kong & China National Day

09:55 German Manufacturing PMI
10:30 GB Manufacturing PMI
14:15 US Non-farm
14:44 SA Vehicle Sales
16:00 US ISM Manufacturing PMI

Yesterday’s SA trade balance, previous -6.82B (revised from -6.88B), expected -8.00B, came in at -16.30B.  Somebody got it wrong.

T40 now 8:32am @ -113 pips.


1009
Shares / Re: Where are things going? Your opinion
« on: September 30, 2014, 01:25:29 pm »
Obviously I’m not one to comment seeing I left our Investor Challenge early Feb as I was convinced this was going to be an excruciatingly tormenting year for equities and I was proven wrong.

But since you've asked, I’ll give my opinion anyway.

This past year, we had a few wars, threats between major nations, missing and downed planes, ebola, and chilling economic news/company results; yet we are still on all-time and multi-year highs locally and internationally.
 
The markets are flooded with artificial liquidity and analyzing in retrospect I have to ask:

Where could all this money go? 

Gold? No.  Bonds? No.  Property?  No. 

Seems to me the correct answer was Equities/IPO’s.

So I’ve missed the bus. 

I still choose to stay in cash for now until at least Q1 next year. It’s not a sin to protect capital, you know? ;D  Let’s just call it ‘strategy’ and ‘protecting capital’ if someone should ask.

Something’s gotta give eventually.  Just don’t know when or why.

But that being said, if we are still hovering at all time highs come Q1, I'll go in after dips.

1010
Off topic / Live chat
« on: September 30, 2014, 08:47:10 am »
T40 @ -0.09% and going down atm

1011
Off topic / Live chat
« on: September 30, 2014, 08:44:51 am »
YOU magazine, hehe!

1012
Off topic / Live chat
« on: September 30, 2014, 08:43:46 am »
Haven't been visiting darkside in ages, always the same characters acting up.  

1013
Off topic / Live chat
« on: September 30, 2014, 08:42:17 am »
Hallo munchkins, hope you're doing okay. ;-)

1014
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 30, 2014, 08:36:43 am »
Pfft? ::) We are back to 9 (EF) on F&G, VIX 15.87.

Europe ended negative yesterday (range between –0.04% to -1.52%.)

US ended last night with DOW -0.25%, Nas -0.14%, S&P -0.24%, futures green.

Asia at midday today:

Nikkei -1.5%
Hang Seng -1.6%
Shanghai +0.1% (19-month high Monday)
Sydney +0.2% (lowest in 7 months Monday)
Kospi -0.8%
Taiex -0.6%

T40 +27 pips @ 44 245 8:11 am

Gold spot 8:11am $1217.29.  Gold set for worst month in 15 on strong $.

Pinnacle Group remains in final liquidation.

Orion FY revenue R101.5 mil.

York Timer Holdings FY revenue up 17%.

Traded most to positive this month APN, to negative ANG.

Traded most to negative this week AMS, NPN, RCH, to positive TKG, APN.

Alsi ended -0.59% 49 371, T40 -0.67% 44 209

New high Calgro 880, Afro-C 500, new lows for ARM 14050, Grindrod 2242, Northam 3731, Richemont 9277, Implats 8364, Alexander 795, new intra-day lows for Lonmin 3276, DrDGold 380, ComAir 410


Eco Calendar:

03:45 China Manufacturing actual PMI 50.2, exp 50.5
09:55 German Unemployment change prev 1K, exp -2K, Rate 2.901m
10:30 GB GDP (YoY) exp & prev 3.2%, (QoQ) exp & prev 0.8%
11:00 Eur CPI (YoY) prev 0.4%, exp 0.3%
11:00 Eur Unemployment rate prev & exp 11.5%
14:00 SA Trade Balance, prev -6.88B, exp -8.00B
16:00 US Consumer Confidence exp 92.5

1015
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 18, 2014, 09:10:23 am »
Dow ended +0.15%, Nas +0.20%, S&P +0.15%, futures flat.

Asia up after BoC added tens of billions $ into the banking system after worse-than-expected slowdown.

Nikkei +1.13%
Hang Seng -1.04%
Shanhai +0.05%
Sensex +1.25%
Singapore +0.02%

T40 (8:54am) 45869 +94 pips, Gold 1224.17

F&G 44 ‘Fear’, VIX 12.65 -0.63%

African Oxygen signs R400 mil contract with Scaw Metals Group.

Eco Calendar:

10:30 GB Retail Sales
14:30 US Cont jobless
14:45 US Fed Chair Yellen
15:00 SA Interest Rate, prev & exp 5.75%
15:00 SA Prime Rate prev 9.25%

Yesterday, SA CPI and Retail Sales better than expected.

Alsi ended -0.01%, T40 -0.15%

Up were Ellies +10.16%, Sabvest +6.06%, Brait +3.45%, down Richemont -4.25% on slowing demand, SABMiller -2.41%.

New high MrPrice 21850

Europe opened positive just now.

1016
Off topic / Re: Extreme Rock Climber.
« on: September 17, 2014, 08:12:13 am »
That's what you call a workout. ???

1017
Off topic / Live chat
« on: September 16, 2014, 04:53:00 pm »
New CFO yesterday?

1018
Shares / Re: Today's Outlook
« on: September 16, 2014, 09:02:11 am »
Dow ended +0.26%, Nas -1.06%, S&P -0.08%, futures flat to red.

Asia-Pacific at midday today:

Nikkei -0.1%
Hang Seng -0.1%
Shanghai +0.2%
ASX 200 -0.6%
Kospi +0.4%
Sensex -0.2%
Taiex -0.8%

Economic Calendar:

10:30 GB CPI
11:00 Ger Zeq Eco Sentiment
14:30 US PPI

Alsi ended 51 376 +0.25%, T40 +0.36% 46 032.

New high SAB +9.66% @ 68907 on report that larger rival Anheuser-Busch InBev interested in possible $122 billion takeover bid.

New lows WHLN 1205 (-12.23%), ARM 15742, Ellies 175

TKG -4.98% on profit taking.

T40 -32 pips (8:47) 45 940, Spot Gold 1235.93, Brent 9928.0

F&G 38 ‘Fear’, VIX +6.09% 14.12

Pan Afr Resources full-year earning falls 7.2%

Clover headline earnings falls 12.8%

1019
Off topic / Live chat
« on: September 16, 2014, 08:35:44 am »
to start what?

1020
Shares / Re: Gold & Gold Shares
« on: September 16, 2014, 08:34:15 am »
Groovy

Their prediction for 2014:   "$900/ozt. & nogold-and-currencies higher than $1,435/ozt."

We are sitting on 1236.12 right now.

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