16
I did something I never thought I would - cashed in my SAB at around 760...
The first share I ever owned - served me very well. At least I'm on the CGT side of the tax hammer.
Always thought this would be the one that would be passed from generation to generation starting something of a 'small legacy'.
Then read a lot and some more and by accident tuned-in to the money show on 702 on my way home somewhere last week and realised that I cannot and should not hold on forever.
I've already made this mistake a couple of times as "I want to invest, not trade"...
I simply don't have a solid enough argument to question Garth Mackenzie et al's "take the money and run" stance on SAB.
Even if the 'big deal' happens, a helluva lot of good news is already priced in, in anticipation... and if it doesn't, well then I suppose a drop will be inevitable.
There's a lot of costs to be saved in SAB and InBev will likely be able to do so (http://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/companies-and-deals/sabmiller-better-get-ready-for-a-ceo-who-doesnt-like-to-have-fun/), but will that be enough?
ABInB wants Africa and they can only get it through SAB - but that's a lot of baggage to carry for a short trip...
In a way, I hope I'm wrong about my sale.
But for now, I'm pulling a Patrick and heading more towards the indexes to ride out the storms (INDI and DIVTRX being at the top of my list). Doubt that going forward 'megabrew' would be able to consistently outperform that which one can already earn with a lot less risk and panic via an index/ETF.
I might even wager a bet on more Sasol and some Discovery who I think represent some better and honest 'blue-chip' JSE value without having to work too hard for it.
SAB will remain firmly on my watchlist though... however long they remain on the JSE.
The first share I ever owned - served me very well. At least I'm on the CGT side of the tax hammer.
Always thought this would be the one that would be passed from generation to generation starting something of a 'small legacy'.
Then read a lot and some more and by accident tuned-in to the money show on 702 on my way home somewhere last week and realised that I cannot and should not hold on forever.
I've already made this mistake a couple of times as "I want to invest, not trade"...
I simply don't have a solid enough argument to question Garth Mackenzie et al's "take the money and run" stance on SAB.
Even if the 'big deal' happens, a helluva lot of good news is already priced in, in anticipation... and if it doesn't, well then I suppose a drop will be inevitable.
There's a lot of costs to be saved in SAB and InBev will likely be able to do so (http://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/companies-and-deals/sabmiller-better-get-ready-for-a-ceo-who-doesnt-like-to-have-fun/), but will that be enough?
ABInB wants Africa and they can only get it through SAB - but that's a lot of baggage to carry for a short trip...
In a way, I hope I'm wrong about my sale.
But for now, I'm pulling a Patrick and heading more towards the indexes to ride out the storms (INDI and DIVTRX being at the top of my list). Doubt that going forward 'megabrew' would be able to consistently outperform that which one can already earn with a lot less risk and panic via an index/ETF.
I might even wager a bet on more Sasol and some Discovery who I think represent some better and honest 'blue-chip' JSE value without having to work too hard for it.
SAB will remain firmly on my watchlist though... however long they remain on the JSE.