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Messages - Broke(r)

Pages: 1 [2]
16
Shares / Re: SAB
« on: October 12, 2015, 07:21:29 pm »
I did something I never thought I would - cashed in my SAB at around 760...  :(

The first share I ever owned - served me very well. At least I'm on the CGT side of the tax hammer.
Always thought this would be the one that would be passed from generation to generation starting something of a 'small legacy'.

Then read a lot and some more and by accident tuned-in to the money show on 702 on my way home somewhere last week and realised that I cannot and should not hold on forever.
I've already made this mistake a couple of times as "I want to invest, not trade"...

I simply don't have a solid enough argument to question Garth Mackenzie et al's "take the money and run" stance on SAB.
Even if the 'big deal' happens, a helluva lot of good news is already priced in, in anticipation... and if it doesn't, well then I suppose a drop will be inevitable.

There's a lot of costs to be saved in SAB and InBev will likely be able to do so (http://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/companies-and-deals/sabmiller-better-get-ready-for-a-ceo-who-doesnt-like-to-have-fun/), but will that be enough?
ABInB wants Africa and they can only get it through SAB - but that's a lot of baggage to carry for a short trip...

In a way, I hope I'm wrong about my sale.
But for now, I'm pulling a Patrick and heading more towards the indexes to ride out the storms (INDI and DIVTRX being at the top of my list). Doubt that going forward 'megabrew' would be able to consistently outperform that which one can already earn with a lot less risk and panic via an index/ETF.

I might even wager a bet on more Sasol and some Discovery who I think represent some better and honest 'blue-chip' JSE value without having to work too hard for it.

SAB will remain firmly on my watchlist though... however long they remain on the JSE.

17
Shares / Re: ETF (Exchange Traded Funds)
« on: September 03, 2015, 03:57:56 pm »
With the recent market volatility, I once again realised the value of ETFs over direct shares... One simply cannot outperform the market, all of the time. Especially when investing, rather than trading.
When one is up, another is down... and so it goes - I know, I'm a slow learner...

This was a major driver... 10-year performance of the STXIND vs some popular blue-chips:
https://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&chdd=1&chds=1&chdv=1&chvs=maximized&chdeh=0&chfdeh=0&chdet=1441292400000&chddm=1212120&chls=IntervalBasedLine&cmpto=JSE:STXIND;JSE:BTI;JSE:SAB;JSE:SOL&cmptdms=0;0;0;0&q=JSE:MTN&ntsp=0&ei=SC_oVcGQOYuFmAG--o6gCw

Therefore, my focus forward is an ETF-only approach. Cherry picking only when I feel lucky... which is not often.

Right now, I own about 8 direct and 8 ETF counters - almost equally weighted (direct vs ETF) in current market value.

The bulk of the ETF component is the good ol' faithful STX40 dating back to the days when that was virtually the only ETF a layman such as myself knew about. It has done relatively well and I think I'll keep it, but no further money goes there.

Then there's a mixed bag of DBXUS, DBXWD, STXIND, BBET40, PTXTEN, STXDIV etc. A major irritation is the STXRAF (Satrix RAFI) which I bulk-purchased on the very same day as STXIND a couple of years ago - needless to say it has been shamed by most of the others especially INDI, bar STXDIV... I really thought that based on the selection of STXRAF constituents by underlying fundamentals bla bla bla, that it would be a stellar performer, but alas, it hasn't been (yet).

So the plan is to sell out on STXRAF ad STXDIV, move all to DIVTRX which I do not own yet.
Then going forward, invest in equal amounts into DIVTRX, STXIND and DBXWD (or DBXUS - not really sure, impending US rate hikes and other international economic woes coming to mind).

Any reason not to do this? Or different strategies you would follow?

18
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: August 31, 2015, 09:31:15 pm »
I would advise you to be very pedantic regarding base costs when switching your portfolio as it could significant implications when dealing with SARS on issues of CGT. Also I have a view that the receiving broker should record the original date on which you purchased the counters as the transfer from present to future broker is nothing more than an electronic transfer of counter volumes and there should be no price movements. When you come to sell a counter there should not be a necessity to convince SARS that you have held the counters longer than the prescribed 3 year period - the burden of proof should not be with you.
So once transferred - just check that the new records reflect the reality of when you purchased the counters and that the base figures are reflective of when you purchased them

Thanks, some very valid points - I didn't consider the tax implication.
Anyone with experience on transferring into EE? Holdings with multiple purchases at multiple price-points - is the EE portal showing this correctly for you?

19
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: August 31, 2015, 01:41:03 pm »
Thinking of moving my ETF portfolio from ETFSA to EasyEquities.. Any opinions?
I buy monthly via debit order and did the math, it's substantially cheaper to use EE, even with buying 4 shares monthly than the %pa cost of ETFSA..

Only concern is reinvestment of dividends. ETFSA is a debit order and forget, where as EE needs bit more management.
EE also doesn't have an adequate amount of ETF shares in "stock", e.g. divtrax can only buy R1600 at time...

Due to the exact same reasons, I'm in the process of making a similar move from Satrix Direct (AOS Partners) to EE. Last debit order and subsequent purchase takes 40-days to 'clear' so my move should be concluded by 16 Sep. They charge R 170 per holding to transfer, but should be worth it in the long run, unless EE starts charging a p.a. fee too...

Regarding auto divi re-investment, if I remember correctly, this is something EE are looking into 'for the future', but for the time being, you'll have to manually buy more with divi returns. Not a big pain for me, actually prefer it that way flexibility wise.

The liquidity issues for some of the EE ETFs have been raised a couple of times on threads here - seems that a call to their call centre will sort that out - they might charge a fee (R50?) for this. I recently bought some on which the limit was about R3,5k per purchase - I just repeated the process a few times until I had the amount what I was looking for. I think it costs the same as any bulk purchase as there's no pricing tiers, but I might be wrong.

From another poster in another thread, it seems that getting EE to show the correct base cost for all your transferred holdings might be a bit of an issue, since there are multiple purchases on the ETFSA portfolio due to DD. I simply calculated the base cost  by taking total cost by number of shares held - that matched my Satrix total base cost and that is what I will provide EE to show as my base cost once my Satrix portfolio has transferred.

20
Shares / Re: Peregrine
« on: August 27, 2015, 02:08:04 pm »
Actually, once read something that said that the best performing portfolios are those where they are:

Ether in probate, the owner has died or the owner has forgotten about them.

Very much the opposite of watching them  :D

Well this owner might just die from watching them... ???

21
Shares / Re: Preregrine
« on: August 27, 2015, 11:06:53 am »
There's no news to indicate that the company is badly run all of a sudden.

Good, thanks, because I'm betting a lot of money on that...
Don't think I've watched the markets and individual movers this closely since the day I made my first share purchase

22
Shares / Re: Preregrine
« on: August 27, 2015, 10:11:50 am »
I see there was yet another sale by a PGR director on Tuesday. Same one as last week.
http://www.peregrine.co.za/SENSRead.aspx?cid=cbd9a227-3afd-4763-ba4e-bc50c1dbc0fa

Not comforting if they seem to have little faith during these times - I would have preferred seeing directors buy at these cheap prices... What's up?

23
Off topic / Re: Live chat
« on: August 24, 2015, 03:45:04 pm »
and there I was last week and the week before thinking I got myself some bargains...  :wall:  :'(

24
Shares / Re: Preregrine
« on: August 21, 2015, 09:51:51 am »
Quote
Tomorrow she will go up again or I will sneak back here when no body is looking and delete this post. :whistle:

Quote
I'm seeing a buying opportunity here and not the doom and gloom.  :TU:

Mmm... another 4% down in less than an hour this morning... Hope to heavens you are all 100% right. We all know (or rather hope... believe...) that this is just temporary, but exactly how temporary is 'temporary'...

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/20/markets-ride-wave-of-global-meltdown-fears.html

http://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2015/aug/21/stock-markets-tumble-global-growth-china-ftse100-live


25
Shares / Re: Preregrine
« on: August 20, 2015, 11:36:48 am »
This is my first post on this forum.
Cannot wait any longer as I'm hurting on PGR...

Been stalking local threads, financial news portals etc. for almost four years and mixed with some of my own research and info, made some solid direct share picks which have all (apart from SOL) served me well.
Took what I considered a 'gamble' on CML early 2012 and the results were always rewarding, until of course this year... I eventually bailed at R90 and again at R80, which now seems to have been a good move. My position in CML ended up being one of my larger weightings in my portfolio, which I was comfortable with, until recent times...

Like some others, I've also been eyeing PGR as a replacement for (or supplement to) CML for a long time and read this article the morning it came out:
http://www.moneyweb.co.za/mymoney/moneyweb-financial-planning/coronation-peregrine-or-anchor-where-should-you-invest/

Also this: http://www.cnbcafrica.com/video/?bctid=4306808045001

The fact that it was relatively 'cheap', well managed with resilient growth prospects even in these trying times added to divis looking promising was all I needed to reaffirm my beliefs, so I went in, proper. I took a substantial position and right now, in the past week, there has been some very discouraging beneficiary activity with another one selling off in a serious way yesterday, showing in yet another share price drop today.

I am worried. Should I be? Or should I be running for more?  :wtf:


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