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Messages - gcr

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826
The Investor Challenge / Re: How to identify frequently traded shares
« on: February 05, 2014, 10:06:17 am »
Another proposal, how about we allow investing in companies like ITE, but not trading, ie no sell option for ITE?
Patrick - I would support you proposal. I don't know of a trader in his right mind that would want to trade ITE as volumes are low and price movements are normally gradual. Another suggestion is that you limit buy and sell orders against that days volumes for the day - if you buy/sell volumes greater than those traded for the day then you will only have your order executed up to the volumes traded and at the price that the shares traded at not your order price
Just my views

827
The Investor Challenge / Re: How to identify frequently traded shares
« on: February 03, 2014, 02:02:52 pm »
I would not add ITE - none traded today so far and quite big swings in price
see attached
I can't agree with you on this - this competition is all about investing and if the company can have a swing of between R 5.50 to say R 8.00 over a 12 month period then surely that change could be meaningful in such a competition - we should not exclude such shares from the competition. In my private portfolio I bought Poynting Holdings at R0.82 cents 2 years ago and today they are trading at R 2.70 - Poynting I think is also excluded from shares one can buy though why I have no idea

828
The Investor Challenge / Re: How to identify frequently traded shares
« on: February 03, 2014, 11:32:58 am »
Thanks Aragorn, seems reasonable enough to me, ABSA shows a 2.5% spread, I'd say we add it. Any more comments from the rest of the players?
ITE does not seem to be a high traded counter and does move sometimes quite a bit 40 cents at a time. The shares are tightly held by the Ravazzotti clan. I bought these shares over 3 years ago and they pay reasonable dividends. It seems that the price over the last 12 months has had a low of R 5.50 and a high of R 8.00 but it does hover around the R 7.60 price for long periods. As a counter I think it should be in the competition, but as a stellar performer I think you may well have to look elsewhere

829
Shares / Re: Does anyone here gear their investments?
« on: January 24, 2014, 10:26:09 am »
I am with Aragorn on this borrowing matter with some proviso's - I borrow from my bond account quite often to buy shares as my bond interest rate is 7.5% and the amount I borrow can be repaid within 6 months from my pension income. I can do this because my only debt is my 2 credit cards (which are liquidated monthly) and my bond - which I service monthly. I use my bond to top up or buy new holdings in shares when their prices have fallen quite substantially. The only problem is that my ceiling on my bond is R 100,000 (don't want to record a bond increase as the costs are quite horrendous and the banks are quite short sighted lending to people over the age of 65)

830
Off topic / Re: Starting up an Investment Club
« on: January 21, 2014, 12:01:30 pm »
You need to concentrate over the next few weeks on constructing rules and regulations which bind the club. You need to address the issues of what happens when one of the members decides to bail out of the club in the future - will they be allowed to take their initial investment, will they get paid part or profits on exiting, and will they have to pay in where the club has sustained an overall loss. Since its a club the chances are there will be some churn on your investments and you may well sell shares which you have not held for a SARS prescribed 3 year period which then categorises all profit as revenue and tax will be paid at marginal rates. You may have to register your club to avoid having to pay tax at private individual marginal tax rates.
I think there is a lot of ground work that you need to do before you even contemplate transacting as a club

831
The Investor Challenge / Re: New feature requests go here
« on: January 13, 2014, 09:51:00 pm »
@Patrick
it seems like the prices here are not the closing prices as on the JSE?
as an example: KIO here R420.56   and on JSE closing price R422.82

Can people still buy after hours?

Yep you can buy now, but the prices will be pending until tomorrow morning at +- 9:20 when the 9am live prices update.

Incidentally the JSE website where I get my data lists R420.56 for some reason.
The last traded price prior to the auction was R 420.56 at 16:49:42 and 43 shares were traded. At 17:00:15 (at conclusion of auction) the price was R 422.82 and 54631 shares were traded.
My assumption is that you are getting prices for end of day trading excluding the auction transactions

832
The Investor Challenge / Re: The 2014 Challenge has begun!
« on: January 10, 2014, 03:08:32 pm »
From this thread and the other on frequency of traded stock, here is something to consider.
The objective of the competitors is to win the competition at year end; the objective of the moderators is to ensure everyone gets a fair shake at winning and that unjustified trades are taken out of the equation as the specific counter may not have sufficient trades.
This is an option to be considered
1) All shares are included on the list of shares one is permitted to purchase/sell
2) Orders to buy/sell are subject to sufficient volumes of the counter being bought/sold having traded on the day. If insufficient volumes then the order is rolled back totally or the buy/sell order is limited to the volumes that went through that day. This infers that the competitor can not buy or sell shares in a low volume counter greater than the shares traded on that day. Thus the buy/sell order would take up the maximum number of shares and the unexecuted volume would revert to cash in the competitors trading account
3) All sales effected are subject to 40% tax and are to be lost in the ether of the sale and this tax is to be taken at the time of the sale. Thus those people who buy and hold their portfolio to the end of the competition would not incur any taxation, but those who buy and sell frequently will suffer capital losses each time they sell. Competitors would then look very carefully at the net result of selling out of a counter either fully or partially. 

The competition was set up as an investment competition and not as a trading competition, but it does allow those who want to "trade" to do so it just means the tax will hurt them when they sell more frequently
This is not the only solution but is an option for the competitors to consider and then decide the best way forward >:D

833
The Investor Challenge / Re: The 2014 Challenge has begun!
« on: January 10, 2014, 11:04:57 am »
I see Poynting (POY) has been removed from the list of shares one can buy. To my knowledge they trade quite frequently and their price is running around the R 2.18 to R 2.20 mark, and their all time high has been R 2.35.
Can't for the life of me see the logic in removing it as a counter when it was in the system last year.
I hold some of these shares in my personal portfolio and bought at an all in cost of 82 cents against todays price of R 2.18 and some 43,000 shares have traded today - not big numbers when compared to the top 20 companies, but sufficient numbers to make a market

834
The Investor Challenge / Re: How to identify frequently traded shares
« on: January 09, 2014, 02:30:22 pm »
do you get the bid and offer prices?
That would be closest to reality IMO
I don't know that the bid and offer prices are closer to reality than the real transaction prices. In some cases the highest bid/offer price would be a few cents off the transaction figure. By the same token in a choppy market the bid and offer could be quite substantial. The fundamentals of the exchange are that at a point the bidder and offeror agree a price at which they are prepared to buy/sell and the transaction is concluded. So my view is that we need to stick with the last transaction price 

835
The Investor Challenge / Re: The 2014 Challenge has begun!
« on: January 08, 2014, 07:50:33 pm »
I agree with Bundu and Tgg. Not with the gambler and wannabe cheater gcr. At this stage I have not even bothered to enter the competition and will not do so. I cannot compete against cheaters.
This is purely an INVESTING for CLIENTS in a MANAGED ACCOUNT and not TRADING. If you want to trade then go to a trading website. Leave us investors alone to do our investing.
To avoid scalping, the only way to go is to use closing or opening prices only. Same as ShareNet does. The starting gun has been fired and should be fired again to get all back to the start point.

 
Orca - you really need to watch your mouth especially after 6.30 p.m.  :-[

 :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :laugh: :LHST:

Oops. Sorry. Problem is that the sun only sets at around 8pm here in CT this time of the year.What are you and Bundu doing here at 1am??? Hic. Burp.
For me - just getting ready for bed  ???

836
The Investor Challenge / Re: The 2014 Challenge has begun!
« on: January 08, 2014, 12:38:11 am »
I agree with Bundu and Tgg. Not with the gambler and wannabe cheater gcr. At this stage I have not even bothered to enter the competition and will not do so. I cannot compete against cheaters.
This is purely an INVESTING for CLIENTS in a MANAGED ACCOUNT and not TRADING. If you want to trade then go to a trading website. Leave us investors alone to do our investing.
To avoid scalping, the only way to go is to use closing or opening prices only. Same as ShareNet does. The starting gun has been fired and should be fired again to get all back to the start point.

 
Orca - you really need to watch your mouth especially after 6.30 p.m.  :-[

837
The Investor Challenge / Re: The 2014 Challenge has begun!
« on: January 07, 2014, 06:43:29 pm »
I am totally against rolling back the transaction - in the context of the competition I recommended that we split the competition into two parts those who wanted to enter the competition as investors and those who wanted to enter as traders. This recommendation was not carried and now because we want to run a single competition we want to unwind a trade where a "trader" has been opportunistic. I hold CSB (Cashbuild) in my real portfolio and towards end of day the price dropped to R 155 a move of R 5.05 from yesterday. I too could be opportunistic and buy the shares after hours and wait for it to return to yesterdays close and thus show a gain of R 5.05 and more as it got as high as R 160. At this time of the year the fund managers are all playing games having window dressed their year end results with almost all time highs - and now the reality sets in. You could also potentially make significant gains if you bought BEL (Bell); YRK (York); POY (Poynting); PSG (PSG) after hours tonight as surely these share prices will recover during the course of tomorrow. To my mind the only time a trade can be unwound is if there is a trade at the competition level but not at the market level, thus if no trade on the market then the trade can't happen in the competition.
We need to realise that the essence of this competition is to end in the number 1 slot, how it is achieved is incidental, and if there are loopholes in the competition then we need to get consensus to close those loopholes without damaging a competitors situation adversely   

838
The Investor Challenge / Re: The 2014 Challenge has begun!
« on: January 07, 2014, 01:37:24 pm »
and griffin sells at 11.29, price dropped on jse at 11.11.

not very sporting

very unsporting! :wtf: I can't help but wonder, if that is also the tactics he employed when buying last year..... ::)
I don't believe griffin is unsporting at all - he saw a gap in the process/system/and rules and exploited it. The only way you get a robust system that caters for the majority is letting lose some mavericks to test the system and find the gaps. I get live prices on my broker system and I too watch the price being used by this system and buy in when there is a difference in price, and I will do the same when selling - its called playing the odds

839
The Investor Challenge / Re: The 2014 Challenge has begun!
« on: January 07, 2014, 09:25:37 am »
The moment the administrators allowed "selling on demand" was the moment the competition was opened to traders, who would hunt down low volume but high volatility shares. If you apply real life principles then you can't buy shares after the daily auction, you can only buy the following day at your elected price (if the counter gets to your price reserve). Again I advocate that selling should only be allowed once per quarter (maybe keep to calendar quarters to start with), and if anyone sells outside of these conditions the trade is reversed. Also the tax on sale should be removed from the capital amount that the competitor has to invest - maybe deduct tax at CGT rates of say 13% and that will also make competitors think twice about selling part of their portfolios

840
The Investor Challenge / Re: Rules for next year
« on: December 20, 2013, 04:28:37 pm »
Six of the top 10 are penny share holders of which 5 are 1c that doubled to 2c. This already tells you that 1c stock holders will always be in the top 10. If this is allowed then most participants will in future buy 1c stocks and make a mockery of the competition and the genuine investors will not bother to partake.
By the same token those who have bought penny stocks to win the competition may well also not participate next year because of the rules, so it makes sense to split the competition in two - the serious investors are happy and the gamblers are happy

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