Author Topic: Can you predict the Zexit?  (Read 3507 times)

Patrick

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Can you predict the Zexit?
« on: March 17, 2016, 10:37:17 am »
Just for fun, let's see who can call it. My guess is that it will be just after the constitutional court gives judgement on the Nkandla issue. Since we have no idea when that is, I'll just guess:

29 April 2016.

gcr

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2016, 11:31:34 am »
My view is that he will be withdrawn after the municipal elections where the showing of the ANC will be a disaster and the NEC will dump the blame on him and save themselves some face.
I think the bigger problem to be faced by the Zuma saga, is not his withdrawal but who to put in his place - so far Mbete, Duarte, Squirrel and the double barreled Zuma are all in contention but there is no unanimous choice so this is their dilemma. The NEC meeting this weekend may give more pointers especially since our jovial (but brainless) sporting minister has also been targeted as a Gupta appointment by Juju
Not everything that counts, can be counted, and, not everything that can be counted counts - Albert Einstein

Fanus

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2016, 12:08:06 pm »
Prosecuting corrupt members of government might act as a deterrent but it's not actually fighting corruption (it only puts a stop to the instance that was uncovered).  Fighting corruption would be putting more overwatch in place so that this type of state capture cannot grow (it's real it must be stopped) and cannot happen in future (until they find another loophole in the overwatch).  We are still miles away from having proper watch dogs.

Hamster

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2016, 12:21:45 pm »
OK, I'll be the overly optimistic one and say within the next two weeks

Orca

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2016, 01:59:25 pm »
If Zuma does not leave office tonight then it may happen over the weekend. If he has not been suspended by Monday then the NEC will keep him if office to his term end in 2019.
The Guptas will be charged for their intention to corrupt.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Moneypenny

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2016, 02:51:58 pm »
If Zuma does not leave office tonight then it may happen over the weekend.

The Guptas will be charged for their intention to corrupt.

Those 2 points right there will make my day.
Veni, vidi, vici

Patrick

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2016, 02:53:27 pm »
I also think Gordhan must now be bullet proof. I still think they'll wait for the concourt to rule against him but then he'll go.

Moneypenny

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2016, 03:01:06 pm »
I see Mmusi Maimane laid corruption charges against the Guptas earlier today.

Veni, vidi, vici

Moonraker

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2016, 03:53:51 pm »
I have a bet on with my neighbour that Z will be out within 2 months. Neighbour says no ways, and chances are he is going to pocket R10-00.

czc

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2016, 05:14:39 pm »
After the weekend. :D

Orca

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #10 on: March 31, 2016, 09:30:42 pm »
If JZ gets impeached, he will loose his state pension and his security at his citadel.
He knows that this is possible and may step down instead to avoid that but he may hang on for his pals to pay for the Nkandla non security improvements.
One problem with that. If his pals donate him the money, then he has to pay a further 40% odd extra as donations tax. :LHST:

At this moment he is one scared president. He knows now that he cannot make any changes to ministerial portfolios and the NEC also knows this after the Concourt ruling where they were themselves rapped on the knuckles.
So in effect, JZ has of now no power and his pals will distance themselves from him. He is on his own now. Left to his own demise. Good riddance JZ and go herd your cows until the can of worms opens further as it will.
 
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

MoneyChief

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #11 on: April 01, 2016, 09:02:38 am »
I am a bit unclear about something. He took money that was not his and a court has now ruled that he has to pay it back. Isn't it actually theft? Why is he not being sentenced?  ???

Orca

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #12 on: April 01, 2016, 02:00:21 pm »
I am a bit unclear about something. He took money that was not his and a court has now ruled that he has to pay it back. Isn't it actually theft? Why is he not being sentenced?  ???
Graft has a minimum sentence of 15 years and as to theft.....I don't think they will pursue that as it will affect the economy severely. It will involve the Dept of Public Works, the Dept of Finance and many individuals such as procurement officers, tender officers etc. Not enough beds in the prisons.
I started here with nothing and still have most of it left.

Patrick

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 11:06:04 am »
Time for part 2 of this contest? It seems as if the teflon man is coming unstuck. I predict a week after the state capture report is released.

Hamster

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Re: Can you predict the Zexit?
« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 12:18:04 pm »
The guy is like a cockroach and just seems to survive through everything.

1 month after state capture report is released...